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535

House

All 435 districts.

as of Aug 19, 2026, 8:30 PM EDT

House

Democrats favored to control — 93 in 100 simulations.

218 = majority

93% Dem control 7% Rep control mean 242.2 Dem-caucus seats Dem-caucus seats per simulated world; dashed line = majority.

Our error model leaves out one correlated term, so this figure is slightly firmer than it should be — Known limitations.

435 of 435 districts

District ▲ Rating Win prob. Margin 2024 baseline Polls Last poll
AK-1 Favors Dem D 72% D+6.3 R+2.4 9 Aug 5, 2026
AL-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+47.8 R+57.0 0
AL-2 Favors Dem D 94% D+16.2 D+9.2 2 Jul 30, 2026
AL-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 est. 0
AL-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.9 R+35.0 est. 0
AL-5 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.9 R+35.0 est. 0
AL-6 Favors Rep R 100% R+31.6 R+40.8 0
AL-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+36.7 D+27.4 0
AR-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+39.7 R+48.9 0
AR-2 Favors Rep R 78% R+8.4 R+17.8 2 May 8, 2026
AR-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+22.5 R+32.0 0
AR-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+36.5 R+45.8 0
AZ-1 Favors Dem D 71% D+5.6 R+3.8 0
AZ-2 Tossup D 51% D+0.3 R+9.0 1 Jun 15, 2026
AZ-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+53.7 D+44.3 0
AZ-4 Favors Dem D 94% D+16.5 D+7.2 0
AZ-5 Favors Rep R 87% R+11.4 R+20.8 0
AZ-6 Favors Dem D 74% D+6.8 R+2.5 3 Jun 11, 2026
AZ-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+36.2 D+26.8 0
AZ-8 Tossup R 63% R+3.6 R+13.0 0
AZ-9 Favors Rep R 98% R+21.3 R+30.6 0
CA-1 Favors Rep R 98% R+21.3 R+30.6 0
CA-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+52.8 D+43.8 0
CA-3 Tossup R 57% R+1.8 R+11.0 1 Jul 10, 2025
CA-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+42.2 D+33.0 0
CA-5 Favors Rep R 92% R+14.5 R+23.6 0
CA-6 Favors Dem D 99% D+24.5 D+15.2 1 Jul 16, 2026
CA-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+43.0 D+33.6 0
CA-8 Favors Dem D 100% D+57.2 D+48.0 0
CA-9 Favors Dem D 89% D+12.9 D+3.6 0
CA-10 Favors Dem D 100% D+42.2 D+33.0 0
CA-11 Favors Dem D 100% D+71.3 D+62.0 0
CA-12 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.2 D+35.0 est. 0
CA-13 Favors Dem D 82% D+9.5 D+0.1 0
CA-14 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.9 D+35.6 0
CA-15 Favors Dem D 100% D+55.5 D+46.2 0
CA-16 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.3 D+35.0 est. 0
CA-17 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.5 D+35.4 0
CA-18 Favors Dem D 100% D+38.4 D+29.2 0
CA-19 Favors Dem D 100% D+47.9 D+38.6 0
CA-20 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 est. 0
CA-21 Favors Dem D 92% D+14.4 D+5.2 0
CA-22 Tossup D 59% D+2.4 R+6.8 2 Jun 21, 2026
CA-23 Favors Rep R 85% R+11.1 R+20.2 0
CA-24 Favors Dem D 100% D+34.5 D+25.4 0
CA-25 Favors Dem D 98% D+21.8 D+12.6 0
CA-26 Favors Dem D 98% D+21.5 D+12.2 0
CA-27 Favors Dem D 88% D+11.9 D+2.6 0
CA-28 Favors Dem D 100% D+39.1 D+29.8 0
CA-29 Favors Dem D 100% D+48.8 D+39.6 0
CA-30 Favors Dem D 100% D+46.0 D+36.8 0
CA-31 Favors Dem D 100% D+28.7 D+19.4 0
CA-32 Favors Dem D 100% D+41.6 D+32.4 0
CA-33 Favors Dem D 99% D+26.7 D+17.6 0
CA-34 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.4 D+35.0 est. 0
CA-35 Favors Dem D 99% D+26.1 D+16.8 0
CA-36 Favors Dem D 100% D+46.8 D+37.4 0
CA-37 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.4 D+35.0 est. 0
CA-38 Favors Dem D 100% D+28.8 D+19.6 0
CA-39 Favors Dem D 99% D+22.6 D+13.4 0
CA-40 Tossup R 55% R+1.4 R+10.6 2 Jan 19, 2026
CA-41 Favors Dem D 71% D+5.8 R+3.4 0
CA-42 Favors Dem D 100% D+45.5 D+36.2 0
CA-43 Favors Dem D 100% D+59.4 D+50.2 0
CA-44 Favors Dem D 100% D+51.9 D+42.8 0
CA-45 Favors Dem D 82% D+9.5 D+0.2 0
CA-46 Favors Dem D 100% D+35.9 D+26.8 0
CA-47 Favors Dem D 88% D+12.1 D+2.8 0
CA-48 Favors Rep R 80% R+8.7 R+18.6 2 Jul 14, 2026
CA-49 Favors Dem D 91% D+13.7 D+4.4 0
CA-50 Favors Dem D 100% D+37.8 D+28.6 0
CA-51 Favors Dem D 100% D+30.6 D+21.4 0
CA-52 Favors Dem D 100% D+42.0 D+32.6 0
CO-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+64.4 D+55.0 0
CO-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+48.8 D+39.5 0
CO-3 Tossup D 64% D+3.7 R+5.0 3 Jul 23, 2026
CO-4 Tossup R 60% R+2.5 R+11.6 0
CO-5 Favors Rep R 67% R+4.5 R+13.8 2 Jul 21, 2026
CO-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+29.7 D+20.5 0
CO-7 Favors Dem D 99% D+23.2 D+14.1 0
CO-8 Favors Dem D 79% D+8.5 R+0.8 0
CT-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+37.6 D+28.3 0
CT-2 Favors Dem D 99% D+25.2 D+16.0 0
CT-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+26.9 D+17.8 0
CT-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+32.9 D+23.8 0
CT-5 Favors Dem D 94% D+16.0 D+6.8 0
DE-1 Favors Dem D 99% D+25.1 D+15.8 0
FL-1 Favors Rep R 99% R+22.8 R+32.0 0
FL-2 Favors Rep R 91% R+13.9 R+23.2 4 Jul 26, 2026
FL-3 Favors Rep R 91% R+14.0 R+23.2 0
FL-4 Favors Rep R 70% R+5.3 R+14.6 0
FL-5 Favors Rep R 95% R+17.0 R+26.2 0
FL-6 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.8 R+33.0 0
FL-7 Tossup R 64% R+3.7 R+13.0 1 May 21, 2026
FL-8 Favors Rep R 91% R+13.9 R+24.4 2 Jul 29, 2026
FL-9 Favors Dem D 98% D+21.9 D+12.5 0
FL-10 Favors Dem D 100% D+34.1 D+24.8 0
FL-11 Favors Rep R 84% R+10.5 R+20.8 1 Jul 29, 2026
FL-12 Favors Rep R 100% R+32.0 R+42.0 1 Jun 27, 2026
FL-13 Tossup R 56% R+1.7 R+9.6 3 Aug 6, 2026
FL-14 Favors Dem D 99% D+24.6 D+15.3 2 Jul 15, 2026
FL-15 Tossup R 61% R+3.0 R+12.4 0
FL-16 Favors Rep R 83% R+9.8 R+19.0 0
FL-17 Favors Rep R 96% R+18.4 R+27.8 0
FL-18 Favors Rep R 98% R+21.4 R+30.6 0
FL-19 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.2 R+32.6 0
FL-20 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.3 D+35.0 est. 0
FL-21 Favors Rep R 92% R+14.1 R+23.6 0
FL-22 Favors Dem D 97% D+18.9 D+10.0 1 Jun 25, 2026
FL-23 Favors Dem D 91% D+14.1 D+4.8 0
FL-24 Favors Dem D 100% D+45.8 D+36.4 0
FL-25 Favors Dem D 96% D+18.3 D+9.0 4 May 6, 2026
FL-26 Favors Rep R 100% R+32.4 R+41.8 0
FL-27 Favors Rep R 87% R+11.4 R+20.8 3 Mar 8, 2026
FL-28 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.8 R+29.2 1 Mar 7, 2026
GA-1 Favors Rep R 92% R+14.7 R+24.0 0
GA-2 Favors Dem D 98% D+21.9 D+12.6 0
GA-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.3 R+32.6 0
GA-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+60.5 D+51.2 0
GA-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+80.7 D+71.4 0
GA-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+58.8 D+49.4 0
GA-7 Favors Rep R 98% R+20.5 R+29.8 0
GA-8 Favors Rep R 100% R+28.4 R+37.8 0
GA-9 Favors Rep R 100% R+28.8 R+38.0 0
GA-10 Favors Rep R 95% R+16.8 R+26.2 0
GA-11 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.2 R+34.6 0
GA-12 Favors Rep R 86% R+11.2 R+20.6 0
GA-13 Favors Dem D 100% D+53.1 D+43.6 0
GA-14 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.4 R+28.8 0
HI-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+52.9 D+43.6 0
HI-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+45.5 D+36.3 0
IA-1 Favors Dem D 80% D+8.8 R+0.2 2 Jul 16, 2026
IA-2 Favors Rep R 71% R+5.7 R+15.5 2 Jul 19, 2026
IA-3 Favors Dem D 71% D+5.5 R+3.8 2 Mar 14, 2026
IA-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.1 R+34.4 0
ID-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+32.6 R+45.6 4 Jul 30, 2026
ID-2 Favors Rep R 98% R+21.1 R+30.4 0
IL-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+41.0 D+31.8 0
IL-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.5 D+35.2 0
IL-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+43.7 D+34.6 0
IL-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+45.2 D+40.2 1 Aug 1, 2026
IL-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+47.4 D+38.0 0
IL-6 Favors Dem D 95% D+17.6 D+8.4 0
IL-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+76.0 D+66.6 0
IL-8 Favors Dem D 99% D+23.5 D+14.2 0
IL-9 Favors Dem D 100% D+46.0 D+36.8 0
IL-10 Favors Dem D 100% D+29.2 D+20.0 0
IL-11 Favors Dem D 98% D+20.4 D+11.2 0
IL-12 Favors Rep R 100% R+39.1 R+48.4 0
IL-13 Favors Dem D 99% D+25.4 D+16.2 0
IL-14 Favors Dem D 97% D+19.6 D+10.2 0
IL-15 Favors Rep R 100% R+25.7 R+35.0 est. 0
IL-16 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.6 R+35.0 est. 0
IL-17 Favors Dem D 96% D+18.1 D+8.8 0
IN-1 Favors Dem D 96% D+17.7 D+8.5 0
IN-2 Favors Rep R 97% R+18.9 R+28.1 0
IN-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+24.4 R+33.6 0
IN-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+24.7 R+33.9 0
IN-5 Favors Rep R 80% R+9.0 R+18.6 1 Jul 20, 2026
IN-6 Favors Rep R 99% R+22.9 R+32.2 0
IN-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+48.5 D+39.3 0
IN-8 Favors Rep R 100% R+29.1 R+38.5 0
IN-9 Favors Rep R 99% R+22.5 R+31.7 0
KS-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+28.9 R+38.2 0
KS-2 Favors Rep R 82% R+9.5 R+18.9 0
KS-3 Favors Dem D 97% D+20.1 D+10.8 0
KS-4 Favors Rep R 98% R+20.8 R+30.0 0
KY-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+39.9 R+49.4 0
KY-2 Favors Rep R 100% R+37.0 R+46.2 0
KY-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+33.2 D+24.0 0
KY-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.7 R+35.0 est. 0
KY-5 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.6 R+35.0 est. 0
KY-6 Favors Rep R 95% R+17.5 R+26.8 5 Jul 30, 2026
LA-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+40.8 R+50.1 0
LA-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+51.1 D+41.9 0
LA-3 Favors Rep R 100% R+40.1 R+49.3 0
LA-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 est. 0
LA-5 Favors Rep R 100% R+38.9 R+48.2 0
LA-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+33.8 D+24.5 0
MA-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.0 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.1 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.3 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.2 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.3 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.2 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.3 D+35.0 est. 0
MA-8 Favors Dem D 100% D+50.3 D+41.0 0
MA-9 Favors Dem D 98% D+22.1 D+13.0 0
MD-1 Favors Rep R 89% R+12.7 R+22.0 0
MD-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+27.9 D+18.7 0
MD-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+30.8 D+21.4 0
MD-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+86.4 D+77.2 0
MD-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+45.0 D+35.8 0
MD-6 Favors Dem D 93% D+15.8 D+6.4 0
MD-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+72.3 D+63.1 0
MD-8 Favors Dem D 100% D+65.6 D+56.3 0
ME-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+31.4 D+22.3 0
ME-2 Favors Dem D 83% D+9.8 D+0.6 13 Jul 16, 2026
MI-1 Favors Rep R 87% R+12.0 R+21.2 0
MI-2 Favors Rep R 99% R+24.2 R+33.4 0
MI-3 Favors Dem D 97% D+19.1 D+9.9 0
MI-4 Tossup R 59% R+2.4 R+11.7 3 Jun 1, 2026
MI-5 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.7 R+32.9 0
MI-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+36.1 D+27.0 0
MI-7 Favors Dem D 70% D+5.3 R+3.7 7 Jun 30, 2026
MI-8 Favors Dem D 93% D+15.6 D+6.6 0
MI-9 Favors Rep R 100% R+28.1 R+37.3 0
MI-10 Tossup D 62% D+3.0 R+6.1 3 Jan 17, 2026
MI-11 Favors Dem D 100% D+27.8 D+18.6 0
MI-12 Favors Dem D 100% D+53.5 D+44.3 0
MI-13 Favors Dem D 100% D+53.2 D+44.1 0
MN-1 Favors Rep R 77% R+7.7 R+17.0 2 Mar 14, 2026
MN-2 Favors Dem D 99% D+23.0 D+13.5 3 Jun 21, 2026
MN-3 Favors Dem D 99% D+26.2 D+17.0 0
MN-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.0 D+34.8 0
MN-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+59.7 D+50.4 0
MN-6 Favors Rep R 94% R+15.8 R+25.0 0
MN-7 Favors Rep R 100% R+31.6 R+41.0 0
MN-8 Favors Rep R 74% R+6.7 R+16.0 0
MO-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+66.7 D+57.5 0
MO-2 Tossup R 61% R+2.8 R+12.0 1 May 31, 2026
MO-3 Favors Rep R 94% R+16.8 R+26.0 0
MO-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+35.4 R+44.7 0
MO-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+33.1 D+23.8 0
MO-6 Favors Rep R 100% R+34.5 R+43.8 0
MO-7 Favors Rep R 100% R+36.1 R+45.3 0
MO-8 Favors Rep R 100% R+45.0 R+54.4 0
MS-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+30.3 R+39.6 0
MS-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+33.2 D+24.0 0
MS-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.6 R+35.0 est. 0
MS-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+38.6 R+47.9 0
MT-1 Tossup D 56% D+1.7 R+7.7 6 Jun 25, 2026
MT-2 Favors Rep R 98% R+22.8 R+32.0 0
NC-1 Favors Dem D 85% D+10.9 D+1.7 3 Jun 28, 2026
NC-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+43.9 D+34.7 0
NC-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.7 R+35.0 est. 0
NC-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+55.1 D+45.7 0
NC-5 Favors Rep R 83% R+9.7 R+19.0 0
NC-6 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.7 R+35.0 est. 0
NC-7 Favors Rep R 77% R+7.9 R+17.2 0
NC-8 Favors Rep R 83% R+9.9 R+19.2 0
NC-9 Favors Rep R 81% R+9.0 R+18.5 0
NC-10 Favors Rep R 83% R+10.0 R+19.3 1 Mar 12, 2026
NC-11 Favors Rep R 67% R+4.4 R+13.6 1 Dec 17, 2025
NC-12 Favors Dem D 100% D+57.3 D+48.0 0
NC-13 Favors Rep R 77% R+7.8 R+17.2 0
NC-14 Favors Rep R 74% R+6.8 R+16.2 1 Mar 12, 2026
ND-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+29.7 R+39.0 0
NE-1 Favors Rep R 86% R+10.8 R+20.2 3 May 19, 2026
NE-2 Favors Dem D 77% D+7.7 R+1.8 0
NE-3 Favors Rep R 100% R+51.5 R+60.8 0
NH-1 Favors Dem D 95% D+17.2 D+8.0 0
NH-2 Favors Dem D 93% D+15.2 D+6.0 6 Jun 25, 2026
NJ-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+27.0 D+17.8 0
NJ-2 Favors Rep R 77% R+7.6 R+16.9 0
NJ-3 Favors Dem D 96% D+17.9 D+8.6 0
NJ-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+26.5 R+35.7 0
NJ-5 Favors Dem D 98% D+20.7 D+11.3 0
NJ-6 Favors Dem D 99% D+25.0 D+15.8 0
NJ-7 Tossup D 64% D+3.9 R+5.4 2 May 26, 2026
NJ-8 Favors Dem D 100% D+34.1 D+24.8 0
NJ-9 Favors Dem D 91% D+14.2 D+4.9 0
NJ-10 Favors Dem D 100% D+61.5 D+52.2 0
NJ-11 Favors Dem D 99% D+24.6 D+15.3 0
NJ-12 Favors Dem D 100% D+34.1 D+24.8 0
NM-1 Favors Dem D 98% D+22.1 D+12.8 0
NM-2 Favors Dem D 91% D+13.6 D+4.2 1 Apr 28, 2026
NM-3 Favors Dem D 98% D+21.9 D+12.6 0
NV-1 Favors Dem D 95% D+16.8 D+7.5 0
NV-2 Favors Rep R 99% R+24.6 R+35.0 est. 1 Jul 12, 2026
NV-3 Favors Dem D 88% D+12.0 D+2.8 0
NV-4 Favors Dem D 95% D+17.3 D+8.1 0
NY-1 Tossup R 54% R+1.0 R+10.4 1 Dec 11, 2025
NY-2 Favors Rep R 81% R+9.1 R+18.4 0
NY-3 Favors Dem D 89% D+13.0 D+3.6 0
NY-4 Favors Dem D 86% D+11.2 D+2.2 0
NY-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+55.0 D+45.8 0
NY-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+32.2 D+23.1 0
NY-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+65.6 D+56.2 0
NY-8 Favors Dem D 100% D+60.1 D+50.8 0
NY-9 Favors Dem D 100% D+57.8 D+48.6 0
NY-10 Favors Dem D 100% D+76.8 D+67.5 0
NY-11 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.0 R+28.2 0
NY-12 Favors Dem D 100% D+70.3 D+61.0 0
NY-13 Favors Dem D 100% D+76.3 D+67.0 0
NY-14 Favors Dem D 100% D+47.8 D+38.4 0
NY-15 Favors Dem D 100% D+64.3 D+55.1 0
NY-16 Favors Dem D 100% D+52.5 D+43.2 0
NY-17 Tossup D 58% D+2.0 R+6.4 2 Jul 22, 2026
NY-18 Favors Dem D 99% D+22.8 D+14.4 1 Jul 26, 2026
NY-19 Favors Dem D 87% D+11.5 D+2.2 0
NY-20 Favors Dem D 100% D+31.4 D+22.2 0
NY-21 Favors Rep R 85% R+11.1 R+24.0 2 Aug 8, 2026
NY-22 Favors Dem D 96% D+18.3 D+9.2 0
NY-23 Favors Rep R 98% R+22.4 R+31.6 0
NY-24 Favors Rep R 98% R+22.1 R+31.4 0
NY-25 Favors Dem D 100% D+30.8 D+21.6 0
NY-26 Favors Dem D 100% D+39.6 D+30.4 0
OH-1 Favors Dem D 97% D+18.5 D+9.2 0
OH-2 Favors Rep R 100% R+37.9 R+47.2 0
OH-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+50.6 D+41.4 0
OH-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+27.6 R+37.0 0
OH-5 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 0
OH-6 Favors Rep R 99% R+24.3 R+33.4 0
OH-7 Tossup D 65% D+4.0 R+15.0 5 Aug 10, 2026
OH-8 Favors Rep R 94% R+16.4 R+25.6 0
OH-9 Favors Dem D 83% D+9.9 D+0.7 1 Apr 20, 2026
OH-10 Favors Rep R 79% R+8.5 R+18.4 3 Jul 23, 2026
OH-11 Favors Dem D 100% D+67.9 D+58.7 0
OH-12 Favors Rep R 100% R+27.7 R+37.0 0
OH-13 Favors Dem D 87% D+11.4 D+2.2 0
OH-14 Favors Rep R 96% R+17.5 R+26.8 0
OH-15 Favors Rep R 66% R+4.1 R+13.0 2 Aug 9, 2026
OK-1 Favors Rep R 94% R+16.7 R+25.9 0
OK-2 Favors Rep R 100% R+43.7 R+52.8 0
OK-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 est. 0
OK-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+27.6 R+36.9 0
OK-5 Favors Rep R 88% R+12.0 R+21.4 0
OR-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+49.9 D+40.6 0
OR-2 Favors Rep R 98% R+22.0 R+31.2 0
OR-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+52.0 D+42.6 0
OR-4 Favors Dem D 95% D+17.2 D+7.8 0
OR-5 Favors Dem D 88% D+11.8 D+2.7 0
OR-6 Favors Dem D 94% D+16.0 D+6.8 0
PA-1 Tossup R 63% R+3.4 R+12.8 3 Aug 9, 2026
PA-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+52.2 D+42.9 0
PA-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.5 D+35.0 est. 0
PA-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+27.5 D+18.2 0
PA-5 Favors Dem D 100% D+39.9 D+30.6 0
PA-6 Favors Dem D 98% D+21.8 D+12.4 0
PA-7 Favors Dem D 78% D+8.1 R+1.0 1 Jul 2, 2026
PA-8 Favors Dem D 77% D+7.5 R+1.6 3 Jun 23, 2026
PA-9 Favors Rep R 100% R+31.6 R+41.0 0
PA-10 Favors Dem D 79% D+8.2 R+1.2 3 Apr 23, 2026
PA-11 Favors Rep R 95% R+16.6 R+25.8 0
PA-12 Favors Dem D 99% D+22.1 D+12.8 0
PA-13 Favors Rep R 100% R+39.2 R+48.4 0
PA-14 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.7 R+33.2 0
PA-15 Favors Rep R 100% R+33.8 R+43.0 0
PA-16 Favors Rep R 96% R+17.7 R+27.2 0
PA-17 Favors Dem D 95% D+17.0 D+7.8 0
RI-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+40.4 D+31.1 0
RI-2 Favors Dem D 99% D+26.0 D+16.8 0
SC-1 Favors Rep R 75% R+6.8 R+16.6 3 Jul 22, 2026
SC-2 Favors Rep R 84% R+10.1 R+19.4 0
SC-3 Favors Rep R 100% R+37.1 R+46.4 0
SC-4 Favors Rep R 91% R+13.4 R+22.6 0
SC-5 Favors Rep R 96% R+17.8 R+27.2 0
SC-6 Favors Dem D 100% D+32.1 D+22.8 0
SC-7 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.0 R+30.0 1 Jul 28, 2026
SD-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+34.6 R+44.0 0
TN-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+50.0 R+59.3 0
TN-2 Favors Rep R 100% R+29.3 R+38.6 0
TN-3 Favors Rep R 100% R+28.7 R+38.1 0
TN-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+33.8 R+43.2 0
TN-5 Favors Rep R 78% R+8.1 R+17.4 1 May 13, 2026
TN-6 Favors Rep R 99% R+26.6 R+36.0 0
TN-7 Favors Rep R 88% R+12.3 R+21.5 0
TN-8 Favors Rep R 100% R+37.3 R+46.7 0
TN-9 Favors Dem D 100% D+55.0 D+45.6 0
TX-1 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.7 R+35.0 est. 0
TX-2 Favors Rep R 98% R+22.4 R+31.4 0
TX-3 Favors Rep R 93% R+15.6 R+25.0 0
TX-4 Favors Rep R 100% R+27.5 R+36.8 0
TX-5 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.0 R+28.2 0
TX-6 Favors Rep R 98% R+22.2 R+31.4 0
TX-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+31.8 D+22.6 0
TX-8 Favors Rep R 100% R+27.1 R+36.4 0
TX-9 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.3 D+35.0 est. 0
TX-10 Favors Rep R 97% R+20.3 R+29.6 0
TX-11 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.6 R+35.0 est. 0
TX-12 Favors Rep R 96% R+17.7 R+27.0 0
TX-13 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.7 R+35.0 est. 0
TX-14 Favors Rep R 100% R+28.1 R+37.4 0
TX-15 Tossup R 64% R+3.8 R+14.2 3 Jul 27, 2026
TX-16 Favors Dem D 100% D+28.4 D+19.0 0
TX-17 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.3 R+32.6 0
TX-18 Favors Dem D 100% D+48.1 D+38.8 0
TX-19 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 est. 0
TX-20 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.2 D+35.0 est. 0
TX-21 Favors Rep R 95% R+16.6 R+25.8 0
TX-22 Favors Rep R 93% R+15.1 R+24.2 0
TX-23 Favors Rep R 93% R+15.3 R+24.6 1 Mar 11, 2026
TX-24 Favors Rep R 86% R+11.2 R+20.6 0
TX-25 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.8 R+35.0 est. 0
TX-26 Favors Rep R 95% R+17.1 R+26.4 0
TX-27 Favors Rep R 99% R+22.7 R+32.0 0
TX-28 Favors Dem D 92% D+14.6 D+5.6 2 Jun 23, 2026
TX-29 Favors Dem D 100% D+39.9 D+30.6 0
TX-30 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.4 D+35.0 est. 0
TX-31 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.5 R+28.8 0
TX-32 Favors Dem D 100% D+32.7 D+23.5 0
TX-33 Favors Dem D 100% D+46.7 D+37.6 0
TX-34 Favors Dem D 87% D+11.6 D+2.6 2 Jun 16, 2026
TX-35 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.1 D+34.8 0
TX-36 Favors Rep R 100% R+29.6 R+38.8 0
TX-37 Favors Dem D 100% D+59.9 D+50.6 0
TX-38 Favors Rep R 94% R+16.2 R+25.5 0
UT-1 Favors Rep R 98% R+21.6 R+31.0 0
UT-2 Favors Rep R 92% R+14.4 R+23.8 0
UT-3 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.6 R+32.8 0
UT-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+23.8 R+33.2 0
VA-1 Tossup R 63% R+3.5 R+12.8 1 Aug 9, 2025
VA-2 Favors Dem D 69% D+5.2 R+3.8 1 Jul 13, 2026
VA-3 Favors Dem D 100% D+49.6 D+40.2 0
VA-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.4 D+35.0 0
VA-5 Favors Rep R 70% R+5.4 R+15.0 1 Aug 1, 2026
VA-6 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.2 R+28.4 0
VA-7 Favors Dem D 87% D+11.8 D+2.6 0
VA-8 Favors Dem D 100% D+56.5 D+47.0 0
VA-9 Favors Rep R 100% R+35.8 R+45.2 0
VA-10 Favors Dem D 91% D+13.8 D+4.6 0
VA-11 Favors Dem D 100% D+43.4 D+34.0 0
VT-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+41.7 D+32.6 5 Jul 20, 2026
WA-1 Favors Dem D 100% D+35.7 D+26.4 0
WA-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+37.3 D+28.0 0
WA-3 Favors Dem D 88% D+12.3 D+3.8 2 Jul 10, 2026
WA-4 Favors Rep R 99% R+25.9 R+35.0 est. 0
WA-5 Favors Rep R 88% R+12.3 R+21.4 3 May 25, 2026
WA-6 Favors Dem D 99% D+23.0 D+13.6 0
WA-7 Favors Dem D 100% D+77.7 D+68.4 0
WA-8 Favors Dem D 95% D+17.5 D+8.2 0
WA-9 Favors Dem D 100% D+44.2 D+35.0 est. 0
WA-10 Favors Dem D 99% D+26.6 D+17.4 0
WI-1 Tossup R 54% R+1.0 R+10.2 2 Aug 9, 2026
WI-2 Favors Dem D 100% D+49.5 D+40.2 0
WI-3 Favors Dem D 73% D+6.3 R+2.8 4 Jun 25, 2026
WI-4 Favors Dem D 100% D+61.8 D+52.5 0
WI-5 Favors Rep R 97% R+19.9 R+29.0 0
WI-6 Favors Rep R 90% R+13.6 R+22.6 3 May 28, 2026
WI-7 Favors Rep R 96% R+18.0 R+27.2 0
WI-8 Favors Rep R 70% R+5.3 R+14.6 0
WV-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+32.9 R+42.2 0
WV-2 Favors Rep R 100% R+32.1 R+41.6 0
WY-1 Favors Rep R 100% R+38.3 R+47.6 0