Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 PM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,939 polls in the corpus · page 1 of 20

Pollster	Race	Fielded	Sample	Results	Margin	Source
Arrived October 19, 2026 · 8 polls
Ipsos	Generic ballot	Oct 16–Oct 19, 2026	1,679 a	Dem 40.0% Rep 29.0% Other 3.0%	D+11.0	Source
Ipsos	Generic ballot	Oct 16–Oct 19, 2026	1,279 rv	Dem 47.0% Rep 35.0%	D+12.0	Source
co/efficient	Iowa Senate	Oct 15–Oct 19, 2026	863 lv	Ashley Hinson 48.0% Josh Turek 45.0% Other 2.0%	R+3.0	Source
Morning Consult	Generic ballot	Oct 12–Oct 18, 2026	17,706 lv	Dem 50.4% Rep 43.1%	D+7.3	Source
Quantus Insights	Georgia Senate	Oct 15–Oct 17, 2026	755 lv	Jon Ossoff 52.7% Mike Collins 45.4%	D+7.3	Source
YouGov	Massachusetts Senate	Oct 5–Oct 12, 2026	800 rv	Ed Markey 56.0% John Deaton 29.0% Ind 6.0% Other 3.0%	D+27.0	Source
TIPP Insights	Generic ballot	Sep 29–Oct 1, 2026	1,328 rv	Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0%	D+4.0	Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs	Texas Senate	Oct 10–Oct 14, 2026	2,000 lv	James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 46.0% Other 3.0%	D+2.0	Source
Arrived October 18, 2026 · 6 polls
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor	South Carolina Senate	Oct 16–Oct 18, 2026	1,095 lv	Rep 48.6% Annie Andrews 45.6% Other 0.8%	R+3.0	Source
ActiVote	Ohio Senate	Sep 26–Oct 18, 2026	400 lv	Jon Husted 50.2% Sherrod Brown 49.8%	R+0.4	Source
SurveyMonkey	Generic ballot	Sep 28–Oct 12, 2026	17,649 rv	Dem 55.0% Rep 45.0%	D+10.0	Source
Ipsos	Generic ballot	Oct 9–Oct 13, 2026	2,032 rv	Dem 50.0% Rep 42.0%	D+8.0	Source
Ipsos	Generic ballot	Oct 9–Oct 13, 2026	2,032 lv	Dem 52.0% Rep 44.0%	D+8.0	Source
YouGov	Texas Senate	Oct 8–Oct 16, 2026	1,458 lv	James Talarico 51.0% Ken Paxton 49.0%	D+2.0	Source
Arrived October 17, 2026 · 4 polls
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor	Iowa Senate	Oct 13–Oct 15, 2026	1,094 lv	Ashley Hinson 45.9% Josh Turek 44.2% Other 3.5%	R+1.7	Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor	Minnesota Senate	Oct 13–Oct 15, 2026	1,079 lv	Dem 48.1% Rep 44.6% Other 1.1% Ind 0.8%	D+3.5	Source
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.	PA-10	Oct 5–Oct 11, 2026	300 lv	Janelle Stelson 49.0% Scott Perry 46.0%	D+3.0	Source
ActiVote	Florida Senate	Sep 27–Oct 15, 2026	400 lv	Ashley Moody 53.1% Dem 46.9%	R+6.2	Source
Arrived October 16, 2026 · 12 polls
Peak Insights rep sponsor	Montana Senate	Oct 7–Oct 12, 2026	500 lv	Kurt Alme 44.0% Seth Bodnar 29.0% Alani Bankhead 12.0% Other 3.0%	R+32.0	Source
Change Research	Generic ballot	Sep 15–Sep 24, 2026	2,021 rv	Dem 46.0% Rep 39.0%	D+7.0	Source
RMG Research	Generic ballot	Oct 5–Oct 13, 2026	2,000 rv	Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0%	D+8.0	Source
RMG Research	Generic ballot	Oct 5–Oct 13, 2026	n/a lv	Dem 54.0% Rep 43.0%	D+11.0	Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor	ME-2	Oct 12–Oct 14, 2026	500 lv	Matthew Dunlap 50.0% Paul LePage 46.0%	D+4.0	Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov	Ohio Senate	Sep 29–Oct 9, 2026	1,000 lv	Sherrod Brown 48.0% Jon Husted 42.0% Ind 5.0% Other 3.0%	D+6.0	Source
Torchlight Strategies rep sponsor	OH-1	Sep 29–Oct 2, 2026	400 lv	Greg Landsman 45.8% Eric Conroy 44.2% Nathan Weise 5.4%	D+1.6	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Kansas Senate	Oct 13–Oct 14, 2026	1,200 lv	Roger Marshall 48.0% Adam Hamilton 47.0%	R+1.0	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Maine Senate	Oct 13–Oct 14, 2026	1,200 lv	Troy Jackson 49.0% Susan Collins 47.0%	D+2.0	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Texas Senate	Oct 13–Oct 14, 2026	1,200 lv	Ken Paxton 49.0% James Talarico 48.0%	R+1.0	Source
Hendrix College	Arkansas Senate	Oct 8–Oct 13, 2026	709 lv	Tom Cotton 50.0% Hallie Shoffner 41.0% Other 4.5%	R+9.0	Source
Concord Public Opinion Partners ind sponsor	Montana Senate	Oct 6–Oct 8, 2026	405 lv	Seth Bodnar 37.0% Kurt Alme 35.0% Alani Bankhead 13.0% Other 1.0%	R+22.0	Source
Arrived October 15, 2026 · 10 polls
The Tyson Group rep sponsor	Michigan Senate	Oct 6–Oct 8, 2026	600 lv	Mike Rogers 46.0% Abdul El-Sayed 44.0%	R+2.0	Source
The Tyson Group rep sponsor	Michigan Senate	Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026	600 lv	Abdul El-Sayed 44.0% Mike Rogers 43.0%	D+1.0	Source
Lake Research Partners dem sponsor	South Dakota Senate	Aug 26–Aug 30, 2026	500 lv	Brian Bengs 51.0% Mike Rounds 41.0%	I+10.0	Source
Research & Polling Inc.	NM-1	Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026	380 lv	Melanie Stansbury 53.0% Didi Okpareke 35.0%	D+18.0	Source
Research & Polling Inc.	NM-3	Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026	362 lv	Teresa Leger Fernández 53.0% Martin Zamora 39.0%	D+14.0	Source
AP-NORC	Generic ballot	Oct 8–Oct 12, 2026	1,119 a	Dem 43.0% Rep 34.0%	D+9.0	Source
AP-NORC	Generic ballot	Oct 8–Oct 12, 2026	925 rv	Dem 47.0% Rep 38.0%	D+9.0	Source
ActiVote	Texas Senate	Sep 30–Oct 14, 2026	400 lv	James Talarico 51.9% Ken Paxton 48.1%	D+3.8	Source
Marist University	Iowa Senate	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	1,100 lv	Josh Turek 48.0% Ashley Hinson 45.0%	D+3.0	Source
Marist University	Iowa Senate	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	1,100 rv	Josh Turek 51.0% Ashley Hinson 44.0%	D+7.0	Source
Arrived October 14, 2026 · 22 polls
ActiVote	Generic ballot	Oct 4–Oct 14, 2026	1,000 lv	Dem 53.3% Rep 46.7%	D+6.6	Source
Wedgewood Polls	Mississippi Senate	Oct 12–Oct 14, 2026	511 lv	Cindy Hyde-Smith 52.0% Scott Colom 48.0%	R+4.0	Source
SurveyUSA	Minnesota Senate	Oct 9–Oct 12, 2026	718 lv	Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% Other 2.0% Ind 2.0%	D+3.0	Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research	Generic ballot	Oct 9–Oct 12, 2026	1,202 rv	Dem 54.0% Rep 45.0%	D+9.0	Source
The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor	Generic ballot	Oct 1–Oct 6, 2026	1,200 a	Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% Ind 18.0%	D+3.0	Source
The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor	Generic ballot	Oct 1–Oct 6, 2026	1,000 rv	Dem 40.0% Rep 36.0% Ind 18.0%	D+4.0	Source
YouGov	Iowa Senate	Oct 6–Oct 12, 2026	2,245 lv	Josh Turek 47.0% Ashley Hinson 46.0%	D+1.0	Source
MDW Communications	Florida Senate	Oct 4–Oct 10, 2026	2,351 lv	Ashley Moody 47.6% Dem 42.4%	R+5.2	Source
Christopher Newport University	VA-2	Oct 1–Oct 10, 2026	702 lv	Elaine Luria 46.0% Jen Kiggans 43.0%	D+3.0	Source
Emerson College	RI-2	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	406 lv	Seth Magaziner 55.2% Victor Mellor 39.1%	D+16.1	Source
DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor	KY-6	Oct 2–Oct 5, 2026	606 lv	Zach Dembo 46.0% Ralph Alvarado 40.0% Ind 5.0% Other 1.0%	D+6.0	Source
Emerson College	RI-1	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	394 lv	Gabe Amo 53.9% Kellie Keenan 25.9% Ind 6.1%	D+28.1	Source
YouGov	Generic ballot	Oct 10–Oct 12, 2026	1,393 rv	Dem 46.0% Rep 39.0%	D+7.0	Source
YouGov	Generic ballot	Oct 10–Oct 12, 2026	1,176 lv	Dem 49.0% Rep 41.0%	D+8.0	Source
YouGov	Generic ballot	Oct 10–Oct 12, 2026	1,021 lv	Dem 51.0% Rep 40.0%	D+11.0	Source
YouGov	Texas Senate	Sep 25–Oct 5, 2026	861 lv	James Talarico 50.0% Ken Paxton 47.0% Other 1.0%	D+3.0	Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs	TX-9	Oct 3–Oct 7, 2026	677 lv	Alex Mealer 48.0% Leticia Gutierrez 42.0%	R+6.0	Source
Research & Polling Inc.	New Mexico Senate	Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026	1,125 lv	Ben Ray Luján 53.0% Larry Marker 37.0%	D+16.0	Source
Suffolk University	Maine Senate	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	500 lv	Troy Jackson 49.0% Susan Collins 47.0%	D+2.0	Source
Emerson College	Rhode Island Senate	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	800 lv	Jack Reed 59.0% Raymond McKay 25.0% Ind 7.0%	D+34.0	Source
Marist University	Texas Senate	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	n/a lv	James Talarico 47.0% Ken Paxton 45.0%	D+2.0	Source
Marist University	Texas Senate	Oct 8–Oct 11, 2026	1,196 rv	James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 44.0%	D+4.0	Source
Arrived October 13, 2026 · 9 polls
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research	Florida Senate	Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026	716 lv	Ashley Moody 52.0% Dem 41.0%	R+11.0	Source
Quantus Insights	Texas Senate	Oct 9–Oct 11, 2026	854 lv	Ken Paxton 47.2% James Talarico 46.7% Other 2.2%	R+0.5	Source
VoteNexus dem sponsor	GA-3	Oct 2–Oct 7, 2026	301 lv	Brian Jack 50.0% Maura Keller 45.0%	R+5.0	Source
Change Research dem sponsor	North Carolina Senate	Oct 1–Oct 7, 2026	829 lv	Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 40.0% Other 1.0%	D+10.0	Source
TrueDot	Generic ballot	Oct 5–Oct 9, 2026	974 lv	Dem 49.0% Rep 42.0%	D+7.0	Source
SurveyUSA	MN-1	Oct 4–Oct 12, 2026	565 lv	Jake Johnson 46.0% Brad Finstad 44.0%	D+2.0	Source
Cygnal	Generic ballot	Oct 7–Oct 10, 2026	1,500 lv	Dem 51.0% Rep 42.0%	D+9.0	Source
SurveyUSA	North Carolina Senate	Oct 7–Oct 11, 2026	643 lv	Roy Cooper 54.0% Michael Whatley 40.0%	D+14.0	Source
ReconMR/Siena Research Institute/Texas A&M Bush School	Texas Senate	Oct 5–Oct 8, 2026	617 lv	James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 44.0%	D+4.0	Source
Arrived October 12, 2026 · 6 polls
20/20 Insight dem sponsor	GA-7	Oct 6–Oct 9, 2026	457 lv	Anthony Kozycki 47.0% Rich McCormick 45.0%	D+2.0	Source
Morning Consult	Generic ballot	Oct 5–Oct 11, 2026	17,654 lv	Dem 49.7% Rep 43.1%	D+6.6	Source
Research & Polling Inc.	NM-2	Oct 1–Oct 9, 2026	383 lv	Gabe Vasquez 48.0% Greg Cunningham 44.0%	D+4.0	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Alaska Senate	Oct 9–Oct 10, 2026	1,200 lv	Mary Peltola 48.2% Rep 2.2%	D+46.0	Source
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.	Minnesota Senate	Oct 5–Oct 7, 2026	800 lv	Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0%	D+4.0	Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor	North Carolina Senate	Oct 8–Oct 10, 2026	1,091 lv	Roy Cooper 48.8% Michael Whatley 40.9% Other 1.4%	D+7.9	Source
Arrived October 11, 2026 · 7 polls
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor	PA-1	Oct 1–Oct 8, 2026	1,032 lv	Brian Fitzpatrick 46.0% Bob Harvie 46.0%	Even	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Alaska Senate	Oct 9–Oct 10, 2026	1,200 lv	Mary Peltola 50.0% Dan Sullivan 48.0%	D+2.0	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Michigan Senate	Oct 9–Oct 10, 2026	1,200 lv	Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 46.0%	D+2.0	Source
InsiderAdvantage	Kansas Senate	Oct 9–Oct 10, 2026	1,200 lv	Adam Hamilton 48.0% Roger Marshall 47.0%	D+1.0	Source
Focaldata	Generic ballot	Oct 2–Oct 5, 2026	2,201 lv	Dem 52.0% Rep 44.0%	D+8.0	Source
Focaldata	Generic ballot	Oct 2–Oct 5, 2026	2,275 rv	Dem 49.0% Rep 43.0%	D+6.0	Source
Focaldata	Generic ballot	Oct 2–Oct 5, 2026	2,553 a	Dem 47.0% Rep 41.0%	D+6.0	Source
Arrived October 10, 2026 · 3 polls
Noble Predictive Insights	Generic ballot	Oct 5–Oct 7, 2026	2,527 rv	Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0%	D+5.0	Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor	Texas Senate	Oct 6–Oct 8, 2026	1,086 lv	James Talarico 47.1% Ken Paxton 43.6% Other 1.8%	D+3.5	Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor	Georgia Senate	Oct 7–Oct 9, 2026	1,101 lv	Jon Ossoff 51.0% Mike Collins 43.0%	D+8.0	Source
Arrived October 9, 2026 · 18 polls
Wedgewood Polls	Michigan Senate	Oct 8–Oct 9, 2026	607 lv	Abdul El-Sayed 53.0% Mike Rogers 47.0%	D+6.0	Source
Alaska Survey Research	AK-1	Oct 1–Oct 3, 2026	1,512 lv	Nick Begich III 49.8% Bill Hill 39.9% Eric Hafner 6.9% Other 3.4%	R+42.9	Source
Alaska Survey Research	AK-1	Oct 1–Oct 3, 2026	1,512 lv	Nick Begich III 52.7% Bill Hill 47.3%	—	Source
Morning Consult	Minnesota Senate	Oct 2–Oct 7, 2026	1,000 rv	Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0%	D+4.0	Source
co/efficient rep sponsor	NC-1	Oct 6–Oct 8, 2026	623 lv	Laurie Buckhout 43.0% Don Davis 42.0% Other 2.0%	R+1.0	Source
GrayHouse rep sponsor	Arkansas Senate	Sep 30–Oct 4, 2026	550 lv	Tom Cotton 50.0% Hallie Shoffner 39.0% Other 4.0%	R+11.0	Source
Impact Research	CO-4	Sep 21–Sep 24, 2026	403 lv	Lauren Boebert 45.0% Eileen Laubacher 40.0% Ind 9.0%	R+5.0	Source
SurveyUSA	CA-48	Oct 1–Oct 7, 2026	518 lv	Marni von Wilpert 47.0% Jim Desmond 38.0%	D+9.0	Source
Z to A Research dem sponsor	Michigan Senate	Sep 28–Oct 1, 2026	483 lv	Abdul El-Sayed 49.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% Other 0.0%	D+7.0	Source
Impact Research dem sponsor	NY-21	Sep 29–Oct 4, 2026	500 lv	Anthony Constantino 48.0% Blake Gendebien 45.0%	R+3.0	Source
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government	Maine Senate	Sep 30–Oct 5, 2026	800 lv	Troy Jackson 50.0% Susan Collins 46.0%	D+4.0	Source
Lake Research Partners dem sponsor	KY-6	Sep 30–Oct 4, 2026	400 lv	Zach Dembo 48.0% Ralph Alvarado 45.0%	D+3.0	Source
Siena University	NY-21	Sep 30–Oct 6, 2026	496 lv	Blake Gendebien 46.0% Anthony Constantino 42.0% Ind 5.0%	D+4.0	Source