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535

Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 4, 2026, 4:30 PM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 1 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived September 4, 2026 · 4 polls
SEA Polling dem sponsor FL-16 Aug 25–Aug 29, 2026 400 lv Kelly Kirschner 40.0% Sydney Gruters 39.0% D+1.0 Source
SEA Polling dem sponsor FL-9 Aug 24–Aug 30, 2026 400 lv Dan Green 41.0% Darren Soto 41.0% Even Source
SurveyUSA CA-48 Aug 27–Sep 1, 2026 522 lv Marni von Wilpert 45.0% Jim Desmond 42.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 21–Aug 26, 2026 1,000 a Dem 42.0% Rep 34.0% Ind 10.0% D+8.0 Source
Arrived September 3, 2026 · 2 polls
Global Strategy Group Kansas Senate Aug 12–Aug 16, 2026 800 lv Adam Hamilton 44.0% Roger Marshall 43.0% Other 5.0% D+1.0 Source
Emerson College Iowa Senate Aug 31–Sep 1, 2026 750 lv Ashley Hinson 49.5% Josh Turek 45.1% Other 0.8% R+4.4 Source
Arrived September 2, 2026 · 9 polls
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates rep sponsor New Hampshire Senate Aug 27–Aug 30, 2026 600 lv Chris Pappas 36.0% Ind 1.0% Rep 0.0% D+36.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Aug 28–Aug 30, 2026 2,100 rv Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% D+2.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Aug 28–Aug 30, 2026 n/a lv Rep 51.0% Dem 49.0% R+2.0 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Aug 20–Aug 23, 2026 1,495 lv Mary Peltola 50.6% Dan Sullivan 49.4% D+1.2 Source
GBAO dem sponsor AZ-2 Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 500 lv Eli Crane 46.0% Jonathan Nez 44.0% R+2.0 Source
Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor TX-35 Aug 27–Aug 31, 2026 n/a lv Carlos De La Cruz 45.0% Johnny Garcia 44.0% R+1.0 Source
Overton Insights Texas Senate Aug 24–Aug 26, 2026 1,167 lv Ken Paxton 50.0% James Talarico 50.0% Even Source
Abacus Data Michigan Senate Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 500 rv Abdul El-Sayed 41.0% Mike Rogers 35.0% D+6.0 Source
Abacus Data Michigan Senate Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 332 lv Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Arrived September 1, 2026 · 8 polls
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor FL-13 Aug 25–Aug 27, 2026 n/a lv Leela Gray 51.0% Anna Paulina Luna 46.0% D+5.0 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor FL-13 Aug 25–Aug 27, 2026 n/a lv Leela Gray 44.0% Anna Paulina Luna 43.0% Ind 7.0% D+1.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 1,589 a Dem 36.0% Rep 31.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 1,434 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 40.0% D+6.0 Source
Research & Polling Inc. New Mexico Senate Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026 516 lv Ben Ray Luján 53.0% Larry Marker 38.0% D+15.0 Source
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov Michigan Senate Aug 10–Aug 20, 2026 913 rv Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% D+4.0 Source
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov Michigan Senate Aug 10–Aug 20, 2026 779 lv Abdul El-Sayed 50.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% D+5.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 1,167 a Dem 38.0% Rep 31.0% Other 3.0% D+7.0 Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Ipsos Generic ballot Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 924 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 38.0% D+5.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Dec 9–Dec 11, 2024 1,500 lv Rep 48.4% Dem 44.4% R+4.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Dec 11–Dec 16, 2024 1,000 lv Rep 47.0% Dem 42.0% R+5.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Jan 9–Jan 12, 2025 1,500 lv Rep 46.8% Dem 44.6% R+2.2 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Jan 15–Jan 16, 2025 1,000 rv Rep 51.0% Dem 44.0% R+7.0 Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Generic ballot Jan 22–Jan 23, 2025 1,000 rv Rep 48.0% Dem 45.0% R+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jan 24–Jan 26, 2025 902 rv Rep 37.0% Dem 35.0% R+2.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Jan 22–Jan 27, 2025 1,000 lv Rep 48.0% Dem 40.0% R+8.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Jan 31–Feb 6, 2025 1,102 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 44.0% D+1.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Feb 4–Feb 5, 2025 1,500 lv Rep 47.2% Dem 46.2% R+1.0 Source
Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research Generic ballot Jan 27–Feb 1, 2025 3,000 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 43.0% Even Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Generic ballot Feb 10–Feb 12, 2025 1,000 rv Rep 48.0% Dem 44.0% R+4.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Feb 10–Feb 13, 2025 1,010 lv Rep 47.0% Dem 46.0% R+1.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Feb 11–Feb 18, 2025 1,000 lv Rep 48.0% Dem 41.0% R+7.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 16–Feb 18, 2025 1,602 a Rep 37.0% Dem 35.0% R+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 16–Feb 18, 2025 1,450 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 41.0% D+1.0 Source
co/efficient Generic ballot Feb 15–Feb 17, 2025 2,063 lv Rep 46.0% Dem 44.0% R+2.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Feb 21–Feb 23, 2025 891 rv Rep 40.0% Dem 38.0% R+2.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Mar 2–Mar 3, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 44.4% Rep 41.4% D+3.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Mar 3–Mar 9, 2025 1,036 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% D+2.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor Generic ballot Mar 4–Mar 7, 2025 2,000 rv Rep 45.7% Dem 43.7% R+2.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor Generic ballot Mar 4–Mar 7, 2025 1,655 lv Rep 47.8% Dem 45.1% R+2.7 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Mar 3–Mar 5, 2025 1,500 lv Dem 47.4% Rep 45.9% D+1.5 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Mar 10–Mar 13, 2025 1,007 lv Rep 47.0% Dem 46.0% R+1.0 Source
Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot Mar 7–Mar 11, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 47.0% D+1.0 Source
Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot Feb 25–Mar 2, 2025 1,000 rv Rep 46.0% Dem 44.0% R+2.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Mar 21–Mar 23, 2025 911 rv Rep 40.0% Dem 38.0% R+2.0 Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Generic ballot Mar 25–Mar 27, 2025 1,000 rv Rep 46.3% Dem 45.4% R+0.9 Source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research Generic ballot Mar 27–Apr 1, 2025 1,500 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 43.0% D+1.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Apr 1–Apr 3, 2025 1,500 lv Dem 47.5% Rep 46.5% D+1.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 5–Apr 8, 2025 1,735 a Dem 39.0% Rep 36.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 5–Apr 8, 2025 1,558 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 42.0% D+1.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 14, 2025 1,014 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 47.0% Even Source
Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot Apr 9–Apr 13, 2025 n/a rv Dem 48.0% Rep 46.0% D+2.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Apr 9–Apr 14, 2025 1,008 rv Rep 45.0% Dem 44.0% R+1.0 Source
Yale University Institution for Social and Policy Studies Generic ballot Apr 1–Apr 3, 2025 4,100 rv Dem 43.3% Rep 41.7% D+1.6 Source
RealClear Opinion Research Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 12, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 39.8% Rep 39.2% D+0.6 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Generic ballot Apr 18–Apr 21, 2025 1,104 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 42.0% D+7.0 Source
Noble Predictive Insights Generic ballot Apr 15–Apr 18, 2025 2,527 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor Generic ballot Apr 16–Apr 19, 2025 2,000 rv Dem 44.5% Rep 44.3% D+0.2 Source
McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor Generic ballot Apr 16–Apr 19, 2025 1,638 lv Rep 47.1% Dem 45.7% R+1.4 Source
The New York Times/Siena University Generic ballot Apr 21–Apr 24, 2025 913 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 44.0% D+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Apr 25–Apr 27, 2025 897 rv Rep 38.0% Dem 38.0% Even Source
TrueDot Generic ballot Apr 23–Apr 27, 2025 1,448 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% D+5.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Apr 22–Apr 29, 2025 1,000 lv Rep 45.0% Dem 43.0% R+2.0 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot May 3–May 5, 2025 3,128 rv Rep 42.3% Dem 40.2% R+2.1 Source
Normington, Petts & Associates Generic ballot Mar 12–Mar 19, 2025 800 rv Rep 50.0% Dem 50.0% Even Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Generic ballot May 5–May 7, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 45.2% Rep 44.8% D+0.4 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot May 8–May 12, 2025 1,000 lv Rep 48.0% Dem 47.0% R+1.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot May 6–May 8, 2025 1,500 lv Dem 47.1% Rep 46.6% D+0.5 Source
Verasight Generic ballot May 1–May 6, 2025 1,000 a Dem 47.0% Rep 41.0% D+6.0 Source
co/efficient Generic ballot May 7–May 9, 2025 1,462 lv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot May 16–May 19, 2025 1,553 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 42.0% D+1.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot May 16–May 18, 2025 885 rv Dem 40.0% Rep 39.0% D+1.0 Source
Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor ME-2 Apr 13–Apr 15, 2025 400 lv Paul LePage 48.0% Dem 43.0% R+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot May 23–May 26, 2025 1,484 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 41.0% D+2.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot May 21–May 26, 2025 1,000 lv Rep 47.0% Dem 43.0% R+4.0 Source
AtlasIntel Generic ballot May 21–May 27, 2025 3,469 a Dem 50.9% Rep 41.7% D+9.2 Source
Fabrizio Ward Generic ballot May 15–May 19, 2025 800 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 42.0% Even Source
YouGov Generic ballot May 30–Jun 2, 2025 1,606 a Dem 39.0% Rep 36.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot May 30–Jun 2, 2025 1,433 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 42.0% D+2.0 Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Generic ballot Jun 1–Jun 4, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 45.0% D+1.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 6–Jun 9, 2025 1,396 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 43.0% D+1.0 Source
J.L. Partners Generic ballot Jun 6, 2025 1,006 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 35.0% Other 4.0% D+7.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Jun 3–Jun 4, 2025 1,500 lv Dem 47.2% Rep 46.9% D+0.3 Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Generic ballot Jun 9–Jun 11, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 43.0% Even Source
Mellman Group dem sponsor ME-2 Jun 4–Jun 10, 2025 400 lv Dem 44.0% Paul LePage 43.0% D+1.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Jun 6–Jun 12, 2025 1,500 a Dem 45.0% Rep 37.0% D+8.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jun 11–Jun 16, 2025 3,458 rv Dem 40.0% Rep 39.0% D+1.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 13–Jun 16, 2025 1,349 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% D+3.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Jun 10–Jun 15, 2025 1,000 lv Rep 47.0% Dem 42.0% R+5.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 17, 2025 982 lv Rep 48.0% Dem 47.0% R+1.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Jun 5–Jun 14, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 45.0% D+5.0 Source
co/efficient Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 16, 2025 1,035 lv Dem 46.0% Rep 46.0% Even Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Jun 17–Jun 18, 2025 1,002 lv Rep 48.0% Dem 47.0% R+1.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 15, 2025 2,000 rv Dem 45.5% Rep 44.1% D+1.4 Source
McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 15, 2025 1,637 lv Dem 47.2% Rep 46.4% D+0.8 Source