SC-7
Republicans are favored, winning in 97 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 19, 2026, 8:30 PM EDT
Rating
Favors Rep
Win probability
R 97%
Estimated margin
R+19.0
5th–95th interval
R+36.0 to R+2.3
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: R+4.0
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling | Jul 27–Jul 28, 2026 | 557 lv | Rep 41.0% Dem 37.0% | R+4.0 | — | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.