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535

NY-13

  • Darializa Avila Chevalier (Dem)
  • Jomo M. Williams (Rep)

Favors Dem

Democrats100%

Democrats are favored, winning 100,000 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Dem

Democrats100%

Democrats are favored, winning 100,000 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

D+77.7

5th–95th interval

D+63.8 to D+91.7

Estimated margin

D+77.7

5th–95th interval

D+63.8 to D+91.7

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.