VA-7
- Eugene Vindman (Dem · incumbent)
- Doug Ollivant (Rep)
Favors Dem
Democrats94%
Democrats are favored, winning 94,254 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Favors Dem
Democrats94%
Democrats are favored, winning 94,254 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Forecast detail
as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
Estimated margin
D+13.4
5th–95th interval
R+0.6 to D+27.4
Estimated margin
D+13.4
5th–95th interval
R+0.6 to D+27.4
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.