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535

GA-12

  • Ceretta Smith (Dem)
  • Rick Allen (Rep · incumbent)

Favors Rep

Republicans88%

Republicans are favored, winning 87,753 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Rep

Republicans88%

Republicans are favored, winning 87,753 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

R+9.9

5th–95th interval

R+23.9 to D+4.1

Estimated margin

R+9.9

5th–95th interval

R+23.9 to D+4.1

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.