VA-10
- Suhas Subramanyam (Dem · incumbent)
- Dave Beckwith (Rep)
Favors Dem
Democrats97%
Democrats are favored, winning 96,512 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Favors Dem
Democrats97%
Democrats are favored, winning 96,512 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Forecast detail
as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
Estimated margin
D+15.4
5th–95th interval
D+1.4 to D+29.3
Estimated margin
D+15.4
5th–95th interval
D+1.4 to D+29.3
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.