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535

WY-1

  • Lisa F. Kinney (Dem)
  • Chuck Gray (Rep)

Favors Rep

Republicans100%

Republicans are favored, winning 100,000 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Rep

Republicans100%

Republicans are favored, winning 100,000 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

R+36.8

5th–95th interval

R+50.7 to R+22.9

Estimated margin

R+36.8

5th–95th interval

R+50.7 to R+22.9

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.