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535

IN-2

  • Jamee Decio (Dem)
  • Rudy Yakym (Rep · incumbent)

Favors Rep

Republicans98%

Republicans are favored, winning 97,993 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Rep

Republicans98%

Republicans are favored, winning 97,993 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

R+17.4

5th–95th interval

R+31.3 to R+3.5

Estimated margin

R+17.4

5th–95th interval

R+31.3 to R+3.5

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.