CA-13
- Adam Gray (Dem · incumbent)
- Kevin Lincoln (Rep)
Favors Dem
Democrats90%
Democrats are favored, winning 89,801 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Favors Dem
Democrats90%
Democrats are favored, winning 89,801 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Forecast detail
as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
Estimated margin
D+10.8
5th–95th interval
R+3.3 to D+24.8
Estimated margin
D+10.8
5th–95th interval
R+3.3 to D+24.8
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.