IL-8
- Melissa Bean (Dem)
- Jennifer Davis (Rep)
Favors Dem
Democrats100%
Democrats are favored, winning 99,856 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Favors Dem
Democrats100%
Democrats are favored, winning 99,856 of 100,000 simulated elections.
Forecast detail
as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
Estimated margin
D+25.0
5th–95th interval
D+11.0 to D+38.9
Estimated margin
D+25.0
5th–95th interval
D+11.0 to D+38.9
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.