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535

CO-4

  • Eileen Laubacher (Dem)
  • Lauren Boebert (Rep · incumbent)

Tossup

Republicans54%

This race is a Tossup — the leading side wins 53,845 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Tossup

Republicans54%

This race is a Tossup — the leading side wins 53,845 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

R+0.8

5th–95th interval

R+14.8 to D+13.2

Estimated margin

R+0.8

5th–95th interval

R+14.8 to D+13.2

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.