OH-7
This race is a Tossup — the leading side wins in 65 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 19, 2026, 8:30 PM EDT
Rating
Tossup
Win probability
D 65%
Estimated margin
D+4.0
5th–95th interval
R+12.6 to D+20.9
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: D+10.4
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedrock Polling | Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 | 866 lv | Dem 43.0% Rep 35.0% | D+8.0 | — | Source |
| co/efficient | Aug 5–Aug 6, 2026 | 615 lv | Dem 47.0% Rep 33.0% | D+14.0 | D+14.7 R+0.7 lean removed | Source |
| Tavern Research | Aug 4–Aug 5, 2026 | 635 lv | Dem 54.0% Rep 46.0% | D+8.0 | D+9.6 R+1.6 lean removed | Source |
| co/efficient | Jul 29–Jul 30, 2026 | n/a unknown | Dem 44.0% Rep 39.0% | D+5.0 | D+5.7 R+0.7 lean removed | Source |
| GBAO | Jun 16–Jun 20, 2026 | 500 lv | Rep 44.0% Dem 43.0% | R+1.0 | — | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.