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535

IL-11

  • Bill Foster (Dem · incumbent)
  • Jeff Walter (Rep)

Favors Dem

Democrats100%

Democrats are favored, winning 99,520 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Dem

Democrats100%

Democrats are favored, winning 99,520 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

D+22.0

5th–95th interval

D+8.0 to D+35.8

Estimated margin

D+22.0

5th–95th interval

D+8.0 to D+35.8

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.