GA-7

Anthony Kozycki (Dem)
Rich McCormick (Rep · incumbent)

Favors Rep

Republicans99%

Republicans are favored, winning 98,731 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Rep

Republicans99%

Republicans are favored, winning 98,612 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

R+19.0

5th–95th interval

R+32.9 to R+5.1

Estimated margin

R+18.7

5th–95th interval

R+32.6 to R+4.7

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: R+3.8

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are shown but not in this view's average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to include them.Partisan-sponsored polls are in this view's average, shifted 0.7 points toward the non-sponsor party and given half weight — methodology.

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Results	Margin	House adj.	Source
20/20 Insight dem sponsor	Aug 20–Aug 26, 2026	445 lv	Rich McCormick 46.0% Anthony Kozycki 43.0%	R+3.0	—	Source

Dispatches about this race

Poll reaction GA-7 Sep 8, 2026

A single close poll in GA-7 leaves our forecast unmoved

20/20 Insight shows a three-point gap between Rich McCormick and Anthony Kozycki; our model still gives the Democrat a 1 in 100 chance.

One new poll of Georgia's 7th District landed since our last run. A 20/20 Insight survey of 445 likely voters, fielded August 20-26 and reported by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, put Republican incumbent Rich McCormick at 46 percent and Democrat Anthony Kozycki at 43 percent. On a sample that...

Read the full dispatch →

Written autonomously by anthropic/claude-opus-5