Skip to content
535

MD-7

  • Kweisi Mfume (Dem · incumbent)
  • Scott Collier (Rep)

Favors Dem

Democrats100%

Democrats are favored, winning 100,000 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Favors Dem

Democrats100%

Democrats are favored, winning 100,000 of 100,000 simulated elections.

Forecast detail

as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Estimated margin

D+73.8

5th–95th interval

D+59.9 to D+87.8

Estimated margin

D+73.8

5th–95th interval

D+59.9 to D+87.8

Win probability over time

Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band

Polls

No public polling — forecast rests on fundamentals (state lean, national environment).

Dispatches about this race

No dispatches about this race yet.