Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,940 polls in the corpus · page 3 of 20
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived October 1, 2026 · 21 polls | ||||||
| DHM Research | WA-3 | Sep 17–Sep 27, 2026 | 543 lv | John Braun 48.0% Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 47.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Ohio Senate | Sep 28–Sep 29, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Sherrod Brown 44.0% Jon Husted 43.0% Other 4.0% Ind 2.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | Maine Senate | Sep 20–Sep 22, 2026 | 982 lv | Troy Jackson 50.0% Susan Collins 47.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| RMG Research rep sponsor | Alabama Senate | Sep 21–Sep 25, 2026 | 800 rv | Barry Moore 54.0% Everett Wess 33.0% | R+21.0 | Source |
| Change Research dem sponsor | TX-10 | Sep 18–Sep 22, 2026 | 613 lv | Chris Gober 48.0% Caitlin Rourk 41.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Lighthouse Research | UT-1 | Aug 31–Sep 10, 2026 | 515 rv | Ben McAdams 62.7% Riley Owen 21.2% Other 3.3% | D+41.5 | Source |
| Lighthouse Research | UT-2 | Sep 10–Sep 24, 2026 | 515 rv | Blake Moore 39.0% Peter Crosby 34.0% Other 4.9% | R+5.0 | Source |
| Lighthouse Research | UT-3 | Sep 2–Sep 15, 2026 | 508 rv | Celeste Maloy 44.5% Kent Udell 26.4% Other 2.8% | R+18.1 | Source |
| Lighthouse Research | UT-4 | Sep 8–Sep 17, 2026 | 513 lv | Mike Kennedy 41.7% Jonny Larsen 32.9% Other 5.7% | R+8.8 | Source |
| Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor | TX-15 | Sep 24–Sep 28, 2026 | 400 lv | Bobby Pulido 54.0% Monica De La Cruz 41.0% | D+13.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Sep 10–Sep 15, 2026 | 2,102 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | VA-1 | Sep 23–Sep 28, 2026 | 609 lv | Shannon Taylor 50.0% Rob Wittman 46.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | VA-5 | Sep 23–Sep 28, 2026 | 600 lv | John McGuire 51.0% Tom Perriello 45.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | NY-17 | Sep 27–Sep 29, 2026 | 400 lv | Cait Conley 47.9% Mike Lawler 45.6% | D+2.3 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | North Carolina Senate | Sep 27–Sep 29, 2026 | 698 rv | Roy Cooper 49.3% Michael Whatley 37.8% | D+11.5 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | North Carolina Senate | Sep 27–Sep 29, 2026 | 642 lv | Roy Cooper 50.8% Michael Whatley 38.5% | D+12.3 | Source |
| Arrived September 30, 2026 · 18 polls | ||||||
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Michigan Senate | Sep 24–Sep 28, 2026 | 1,028 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 50.0% Mike Rogers 49.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Michigan Senate | Sep 24–Sep 28, 2026 | 1,203 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 51.0% Mike Rogers 48.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| co/efficient | Maine Senate | Sep 28–Sep 30, 2026 | 1,240 lv | Susan Collins 48.0% Troy Jackson 46.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | TX-9 | Sep 18–Sep 19, 2026 | 560 rv | Alex Mealer 45.0% Leticia Gutierrez 39.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Zenith Research ind sponsor | South Dakota Senate | Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026 | 500 lv | Mike Rounds 53.0% Brian Bengs 47.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| The Bullfinch Group | CA-6 | Sep 1–Sep 6, 2026 | 927 lv | Richard Pan 36.7% Kevin Kiley 36.5% | D+0.2 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Iowa Senate | Sep 28–Sep 29, 2026 | 738 lv | Ashley Hinson 48.5% Josh Turek 46.6% Other 1.7% | R+1.9 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Iowa Senate | Sep 28–Sep 29, 2026 | 738 lv | Ashley Hinson 51.2% Josh Turek 48.8% | R+2.4 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Sep 4–Sep 15, 2026 | 885 lv | Roy Cooper 48.0% Michael Whatley 37.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| Impact Research/ National Research Inc. | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,500 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Impact Research dem sponsor | MT-1 | Sep 20–Sep 23, 2026 | 500 lv | Sam Forstag 47.0% Aaron Flint 44.0% Nick Sheedy 2.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| The Argument/Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,603 rv | Dem 52.8% Rep 47.2% | D+5.6 | Source |
| The Argument/Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 21, 2026 | n/a lv | Dem 54.7% Rep 45.3% | D+9.4 | Source |
| Suffolk University | Ohio Senate | Sep 23–Sep 27, 2026 | 500 lv | Sherrod Brown 46.6% Jon Husted 44.0% Other 2.0% Ind 1.0% | D+2.6 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Minnesota Senate | Sep 28–Sep 29, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Dem 46.0% Rep 45.0% Other 2.0% Ind 1.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Marist University | Michigan Senate | Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026 | 1,235 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 54.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | Generic ballot | Sep 26–Sep 28, 2026 | 2,200 rv | Rep 50.0% Dem 50.0% | Even | Source |
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | Generic ballot | Sep 26–Sep 28, 2026 | n/a lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 29, 2026 · 12 polls | ||||||
| Pulse Decision Science rep sponsor | Texas Senate | Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026 | 800 lv | Ken Paxton 48.0% James Talarico 45.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Quinnipiac University | Generic ballot | Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026 | 1,032 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 39.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Ohio Senate | Sep 26–Sep 27, 2026 | 735 rv | Sherrod Brown 45.2% Jon Husted 41.2% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Ohio Senate | Sep 26–Sep 27, 2026 | 680 lv | Sherrod Brown 46.3% Jon Husted 42.6% | D+3.7 | Source |
| Cygnal/Beacon Research | Michigan Senate | Sep 18–Sep 21, 2026 | 600 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 45.0% Mike Rogers 40.0% Other 0.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| MassINC Polling Group | Massachusetts Senate | Sep 14–Sep 22, 2026 | 800 lv | Ed Markey 54.0% John Deaton 28.0% Ind 3.0% Other 2.0% | D+26.0 | Source |
| DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor | WI-1 | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 495 lv | Bryan Steil 48.0% Mitchell Berman 48.0% | Even | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 25–Sep 28, 2026 | 1,423 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 37.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 25–Sep 28, 2026 | 1,003 lv | Dem 53.0% Rep 38.0% | D+15.0 | Source |
| DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor | OH-9 | Sep 22–Sep 23, 2026 | 481 lv | Derek Merrin 48.0% Marcy Kaptur 48.0% | Even | Source |
| Angus Reid Global | Generic ballot | Sep 19–Sep 25, 2026 | 919 rv | Dem 56.0% Rep 40.0% | D+16.0 | Source |
| Marist University | Ohio Senate | Sep 24–Sep 27, 2026 | 1,298 rv | Sherrod Brown 51.0% Jon Husted 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 28, 2026 · 15 polls | ||||||
| Change Research | Florida Senate | Sep 25–Sep 27, 2026 | 1,063 lv | Ashley Moody 48.0% Dem 47.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 16, 2026 | 1,046 lv | Dem 50.0% Rep 43.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | MT-1 | Sep 19–Sep 24, 2026 | 314 lv | Aaron Flint 45.9% Sam Forstag 45.4% Nick Sheedy 5.4% | R+0.5 | Source |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | Montana Senate | Sep 19–Sep 24, 2026 | 604 lv | Kurt Alme 45.1% Seth Bodnar 26.1% Alani Bankhead 18.9% Other 2.7% | R+26.2 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates dem sponsor | OH-15 | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2026 | 500 lv | Don Leonard 46.0% Mike Carey 45.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Sep 21–Sep 27, 2026 | 18,786 lv | Dem 50.3% Rep 42.8% | D+7.5 | Source |
| GBAO ind sponsor | Nebraska Senate | Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026 | 800 lv | Pete Ricketts 47.0% Dem 47.0% | — | Source |
| GBAO ind sponsor | Nebraska Senate | Apr 16–Apr 20, 2026 | 800 lv | Dem 46.0% Pete Ricketts 45.0% | — | Source |
| Braun Research | VT-1 | Sep 10–Sep 21, 2026 | 732 lv | Becca Balint 46.9% Gerald Malloy 30.3% Ind 0.5% | D+16.7 | Source |
| Braun Research | VT-1 | Sep 10–Sep 21, 2026 | 817 a | Becca Balint 43.3% Gerald Malloy 28.3% Ind 0.8% | D+15.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | NY-23 | Sep 22–Sep 23, 2026 | 626 lv | Nick Langworthy 52.0% Aaron Gies 35.0% | R+17.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | North Carolina Senate | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 1,115 lv | Roy Cooper 53.0% Michael Whatley 42.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | Michigan Senate | Sep 19–Sep 22, 2026 | 800 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Stratus Intelligence rep sponsor | Texas Senate | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2026 | 865 lv | Ken Paxton 48.0% James Talarico 48.0% | Even | Source |
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 26–Sep 27, 2026 | 1,090 lv | Chris Pappas 47.4% Rep 40.5% Other 1.1% | D+6.9 | Source |
| Arrived September 27, 2026 · 2 polls | ||||||
| Big Data Poll | Texas Senate | Sep 24–Sep 26, 2026 | 698 lv | James Talarico 46.8% Ken Paxton 44.9% Other 8.3% | D+1.9 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Texas Senate | Sep 24–Sep 26, 2026 | 793 rv | James Talarico 46.4% Ken Paxton 43.8% Other 9.8% | D+2.6 | Source |
| Arrived September 26, 2026 · 4 polls | ||||||
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | South Carolina Senate | Sep 23–Sep 25, 2026 | 1,087 lv | Rep 43.4% Annie Andrews 42.3% | R+1.1 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Maine Senate | Sep 22–Sep 23, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Troy Jackson 46.4% Susan Collins 45.6% | D+0.8 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Iowa Senate | Sep 22–Sep 23, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Josh Turek 47.4% Ashley Hinson 45.7% Other 1.6% | D+1.7 | Source |
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | Alaska Senate | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2026 | 1,079 lv | Mary Peltola 45.5% Rep 0.7% | D+44.8 | Source |
| Arrived September 25, 2026 · 11 polls | ||||||
| Big Data Poll | Michigan Senate | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2026 | 678 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 46.7% Mike Rogers 42.1% | D+4.6 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Michigan Senate | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2026 | 725 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 45.4% Mike Rogers 41.0% | D+4.4 | Source |
| Opinion Diagnostics | North Carolina Senate | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 857 lv | Roy Cooper 52.0% Michael Whatley 44.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Torchlight Strategies rep sponsor | Michigan Senate | Sep 15–Sep 19, 2026 | 643 lv | Mike Rogers 44.4% Abdul El-Sayed 43.1% | R+1.3 | Source |
| Remington | MO-2 | Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026 | 565 lv | Ann Wagner 43.0% Fred Wellman 42.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Georgia Senate | Sep 22–Sep 23, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Jon Ossoff 50.0% Mike Collins 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Aug 8–Aug 13, 2026 | 2,045 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| GBAO ind sponsor | Nebraska Senate | Sep 3–Sep 8, 2026 | 800 lv | Dem 47.0% Pete Ricketts 46.0% | — | Source |
| Slingshot Strategies | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Sep 22, 2026 | 1,007 lv | James Talarico 49.0% Ken Paxton 44.0% Other 3.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Georgia Senate | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 712 rv | Jon Ossoff 51.0% Mike Collins 40.1% | D+10.9 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Georgia Senate | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 678 lv | Jon Ossoff 55.4% Mike Collins 44.6% | D+10.8 | Source |
| Arrived September 24, 2026 · 32 polls | ||||||
| Wedgewood Polls | Kansas Senate | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2026 | 500 lv | Adam Hamilton 50.0% Roger Marshall 48.0% Other 2.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| SurveyUSA | NM-2 | Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 | 554 lv | Gabe Vasquez 46.0% Greg Cunningham 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | VT-1 | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 830 lv | Becca Balint 66.0% Gerald Malloy 30.0% Ind 0.0% | D+36.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | ME-2 | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 622 lv | Matthew Dunlap 51.0% Paul LePage 45.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | ME-1 | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 657 lv | Chellie Pingree 57.0% Ronald Russell 35.0% | D+22.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Louisiana Senate | Jul 21–Jul 22, 2026 | 518 rv | Julia Letlow 41.0% Jamie Davis 37.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | Maine Senate | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,301 lv | Troy Jackson 51.0% Susan Collins 47.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | Massachusetts Senate | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 556 lv | Ed Markey 53.0% John Deaton 30.0% Other 9.0% | D+23.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | Rhode Island Senate | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 595 lv | Jack Reed 53.0% Raymond McKay 33.0% Ind 5.0% | D+20.0 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | MN-1 | Sep 18–Sep 21, 2026 | 500 lv | Jake Johnson 47.0% Brad Finstad 46.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 22, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 48.0% Rep 43.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | NH-1 | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 707 lv | Stefany Shaheen 46.0% Anthony DiLorenzo 42.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | NH-2 | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 694 lv | Maggie Goodlander 56.0% Lily Tang Williams 35.0% Ind 3.0% | D+21.0 | Source |
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | Florida Senate | Sep 14–Sep 21, 2026 | 830 lv | Ashley Moody 51.0% Dem 40.0% | R+11.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,392 lv | Chris Pappas 50.0% Rep 42.0% Other 2.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | MI-4 | Sep 13–Sep 16, 2026 | 500 lv | Sean McCann 47.0% Bill Huizenga 46.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Ohio Senate | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 695 lv | Sherrod Brown 47.3% Jon Husted 46.8% Ind 2.0% Other 1.2% | D+0.5 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Ohio Senate | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 695 lv | Sherrod Brown 47.6% Jon Husted 47.2% | D+0.4 | Source |
| Emerson College | Generic ballot | Sep 12–Sep 15, 2026 | 1,500 rv | Dem 36.5% Rep 28.6% Other 9.8% | D+7.9 | Source |
| Impact Research dem sponsor | MN-2 | Sep 9–Sep 13, 2026 | 500 lv | Matt Little 52.0% Eric Pratt 40.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | Maine Senate | Aug 28–Sep 14, 2026 | 650 lv | Troy Jackson 48.0% Susan Collins 43.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Franklin & Marshall College | PA-7 | Sep 9–Sep 20, 2026 | 350 rv | Bob Brooks 45.0% Ryan Mackenzie 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |