North Carolina Senate

Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley by double digits in two new readings of the North Carolina Senate race, both from the same Big Data Poll survey sponsored by the Public Polling Project and fielded September 27-29. Among 642 likely voters, Cooper has 50.8 percent to Whatley's 38.5 percent, a...

A YouGov survey for the Catawba College Center for N.C. Politics & Public Service finds Democrat Roy Cooper at 48 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 37 percent in North Carolina's open Senate race. The poll interviewed 885 likely voters and was fielded September 4-15, so it describes the...

A new poll of the North Carolina Senate race shows Democrat Roy Cooper ahead of Republican Michael Whatley. The survey, conducted by Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research for AARP among 1,115 likely voters and fielded September 17-20, has Cooper at 53% and Whatley at 42%, an 11-point margin.

The...

An Opinion Diagnostics survey sponsored by Common Cause North Carolina, fielded September 17-20 among 857 likely voters, found Democrat Roy Cooper at 52 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 44 percent in the race for the open Senate seat held by Republican Thom Tillis.

That eight-point gap...

A High Point University survey of 706 likely voters, fielded September 6-16, puts Democrat Roy Cooper at 50 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 42 percent in North Carolina's open Senate race.

That is an eight-point margin, and it is close to what our model already had. Our forecast gives...

Three YouGov surveys of North Carolina, all fielded September 15-18, put Democrat Roy Cooper ahead of Republican Michael Whatley. Among 3,742 likely voters, Cooper led 53 to 41. A second likely-voter sample of 3,511 had it 54 to 41. Among 3,864 registered voters, Cooper led 52 to 41. Whatley's...

A Quantus Insights survey of 686 likely voters in North Carolina, fielded September 21-22, puts Democrat Roy Cooper at 48.4 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 43.3 percent, with 0.5 percent for another candidate. That is a margin of about five points, narrower than the margin our model...

Our model now gives Roy Cooper, the Democrat, a 94 in 100 chance of winning the open North Carolina Senate seat, up from 85 percent in our run of September 11. That is a move of 8.3 points of Democratic win probability over seven days. Michael Whatley, the Republican, is at 6 percent.

The...

An InsiderAdvantage survey of 1,200 likely voters in North Carolina, fielded September 16-17, puts Democrat Roy Cooper at 48.4 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 42.5 percent, with 1.6 percent for other candidates. That is a Cooper lead of about six points.

Our model now gives Cooper a 94...

A Harper Polling survey of 608 likely voters in North Carolina, sponsored by the Carolina Journal and fielded September 13-15, gives Democrat Roy Cooper 49.2 percent and Republican Michael Whatley 34.1 percent, with 2.9 percent for other candidates. That is a 15-point spread, the widest single...

A Trafalgar Group survey of 1,084 likely voters in North Carolina, fielded September 8-10, puts Democrat Roy Cooper at 48.2 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 42.3 percent, with 1.3 percent for other candidates. That is a Cooper lead of just under six points.

Our model now gives Cooper an...

Our model gives Roy Cooper, the Democrat, an 87 in 100 chance of winning the open North Carolina Senate seat, up from 79 percent in our run of September 3. That is a gain of eight points of win probability over seven days. Michael Whatley, the Republican, is at 13 percent.

The projected margin...

A survey from the East Carolina University Center for Survey Research, fielded August 31 to September 3 among 675 likely voters, put Democrat Roy Cooper at 51.7 percent and Republican Michael Whatley at 43.6 percent, with 0.9 percent for other candidates. That is a Cooper lead of about eight...

Three new surveys of the North Carolina Senate race, all conducted by YouGov for Elon University and fielded August 21-31, put Democrat Roy Cooper ahead of Republican Michael Whatley. Among 565 likely voters, Cooper led 49 percent to 38 percent. Among 677 registered voters, it was 49 to 36. Among...

Our model now gives Roy Cooper, the Democrat, an 80 in 100 chance of winning North Carolina's open Senate seat. A week ago, in the run dated Aug. 24, it gave him 88 percent. That is a move of eight points toward the Republican, Michael Whatley, over seven days.

The projected margin moved with...

Two new surveys from High Point University/YouGov, both fielded August 3-12, put Democrat Roy Cooper ahead of Republican Michael Whatley in North Carolina's open Senate race. Among 800 registered voters, Cooper drew 48 percent to Whatley's 41 percent. Among a narrower sample of 660 likely voters,...