Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,940 polls in the corpus · page 4 of 20
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived September 24, 2026 · 32 polls | ||||||
| Franklin & Marshall College | PA-10 | Sep 9–Sep 20, 2026 | 378 rv | Janelle Stelson 47.0% Scott Perry 44.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Aspect Strategic ind sponsor | Montana Senate | Sep 7–Sep 15, 2026 | 715 lv | Kurt Alme 44.0% Seth Bodnar 32.0% Alani Bankhead 14.0% Other 3.0% | R+30.0 | Source |
| High Point University | North Carolina Senate | Sep 6–Sep 16, 2026 | 706 lv | Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Michigan Senate | Aug 10–Aug 20, 2026 | 779 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 50.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Michigan Senate | Aug 10–Aug 20, 2026 | 913 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Generic ballot | Sep 21–Sep 22, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 53.2% Rep 41.9% | D+11.3 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Michigan Senate | Sep 15–Sep 22, 2026 | 605 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 49.5% Mike Rogers 44.5% | D+5.0 | Source |
| GBAO | OK-5 | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 500 lv | Stephanie Bice 48.0% Jena Nelson 43.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Maine Senate | Sep 15–Sep 22, 2026 | 619 lv | Susan Collins 48.7% Troy Jackson 45.9% | R+2.7 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 15–Sep 22, 2026 | 613 lv | Chris Pappas 49.8% Rep 44.8% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 23, 2026 · 18 polls | ||||||
| co/efficient | Michigan Senate | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 843 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 45.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% Other 0.0% | Even | Source |
| co/efficient | Michigan Senate | Sep 21–Sep 23, 2026 | 843 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 50.0% Mike Rogers 50.0% | Even | Source |
| Hart Research Associates dem sponsor | Louisiana Senate | Sep 17–Sep 19, 2026 | 500 lv | Julia Letlow 48.0% Jamie Davis 44.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Echelon Insights | Generic ballot | Sep 17–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,002 lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor | CO-8 | Sep 16–Sep 17, 2026 | 400 lv | Gabe Evans 48.0% Manny Rutinel 46.3% | R+1.7 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 3,864 rv | Roy Cooper 52.0% Michael Whatley 41.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 3,511 lv | Roy Cooper 54.0% Michael Whatley 41.0% | D+13.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 3,742 lv | Roy Cooper 53.0% Michael Whatley 41.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Georgia Senate | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 3,416 rv | Jon Ossoff 51.0% Mike Collins 41.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Georgia Senate | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 3,301 lv | Jon Ossoff 52.0% Mike Collins 42.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Georgia Senate | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 3,071 lv | Jon Ossoff 51.0% Mike Collins 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 21, 2026 | n/a lv | Dem 52.0% Rep 42.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | North Carolina Senate | Sep 21–Sep 22, 2026 | 686 lv | Roy Cooper 48.4% Michael Whatley 43.3% Other 0.5% | D+5.1 | Source |
| CNN/SSRS | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 17, 2026 | 867 rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 41.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Marist University | Generic ballot | Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026 | 1,280 rv | Dem 53.0% Rep 41.0% Other 2.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,528 a | Dem 49.0% Rep 41.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 16–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,374 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Marist University | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 1,139 rv | Ken Paxton 52.0% James Talarico 43.0% | R+9.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 22, 2026 · 9 polls | ||||||
| ActiVote | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 52.8% Rep 47.2% | D+5.6 | Source |
| Alaska Survey Research | Alaska Senate | Sep 10–Sep 12, 2026 | 1,352 lv | Mary Peltola 48.4% Dan Sullivan 3.7% | D+44.7 | Source |
| Alaska Survey Research | Alaska Senate | Sep 10–Sep 12, 2026 | 1,352 lv | Mary Peltola 51.9% Dan Sullivan 48.1% | D+3.8 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 18–Sep 21, 2026 | 1,394 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 36.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 18–Sep 21, 2026 | 975 lv | Dem 52.0% Rep 38.0% | D+14.0 | Source |
| DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor | ME-2 | Aug 11–Aug 13, 2026 | 621 lv | Paul LePage 49.0% Matthew Dunlap 48.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Suffolk University | Michigan Senate | Sep 16–Sep 20, 2026 | 500 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 46.8% Mike Rogers 39.6% Other 0.6% | D+7.2 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | Sep 15–Sep 19, 2026 | 1,800 lv | James Talarico 47.0% Ken Paxton 46.0% Other 3.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Marist University | Iowa Senate | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 1,050 rv | Josh Turek 50.0% Ashley Hinson 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 21, 2026 · 9 polls | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage | Florida Senate | Sep 20–Sep 21, 2026 | 600 lv | Ashley Moody 49.0% Dem 42.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Generic ballot | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2026 | 1,389 lv | Dem 50.3% Rep 41.7% | D+8.6 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 1,277 a | Dem 37.0% Rep 29.0% Other 3.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Sep 17–Sep 20, 2026 | 979 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 35.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Miller Consulting Services dem sponsor | GA-11 | Aug 31–Sep 11, 2026 | 402 lv | Chris Harden 42.0% John Cowan 40.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor | VA-1 | Sep 15–Sep 17, 2026 | 519 lv | Rob Wittman 47.0% Shannon Taylor 46.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026 | 17,739 lv | Dem 49.3% Rep 43.0% | D+6.2 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Sep 7–Sep 13, 2026 | 18,127 lv | Dem 49.1% Rep 43.3% | D+5.7 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Sep 14–Sep 20, 2026 | 18,336 lv | Dem 49.7% Rep 42.6% | D+7.1 | Source |
| Arrived September 20, 2026 · 1 poll | ||||||
| Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 15, 2026 | 1,000 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 19, 2026 · 2 polls | ||||||
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Sep 13–Sep 16, 2026 | 4,150 rv | Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | Iowa Senate | Sep 16–Sep 18, 2026 | 1,089 lv | Ashley Hinson 44.0% Josh Turek 42.1% Other 3.4% | R+1.9 | Source |
| Arrived September 18, 2026 · 8 polls | ||||||
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | Texas Senate | Sep 15–Sep 17, 2026 | 1,079 lv | James Talarico 46.4% Ken Paxton 45.2% Other 2.5% | D+1.2 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Georgia Senate | Sep 14–Sep 16, 2026 | 645 lv | Jon Ossoff 49.0% Mike Collins 44.9% | D+4.1 | Source |
| John Zogby Strategies | Generic ballot | Sep 15–Sep 17, 2026 | 1,007 lv | Dem 48.0% Rep 42.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 16–Sep 18, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Chris Pappas 48.0% Rep 40.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| St. Pete Polls | Florida Senate | Sep 15–Sep 17, 2026 | 913 lv | Ashley Moody 45.2% Dem 44.8% | R+0.4 | Source |
| Emerson College | Kansas Senate | Sep 15–Sep 16, 2026 | 750 lv | Adam Hamilton 44.8% Roger Marshall 43.3% Other 3.7% | D+1.5 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | North Carolina Senate | Sep 16–Sep 17, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Roy Cooper 48.4% Michael Whatley 42.5% Other 1.6% | D+5.9 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Michigan Senate | Sep 16–Sep 17, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 46.6% Mike Rogers 44.7% Other 1.1% | D+1.9 | Source |
| Arrived September 17, 2026 · 23 polls | ||||||
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | Ohio Senate | Sep 14–Sep 16, 2026 | 1,085 lv | Sherrod Brown 45.4% Jon Husted 41.5% | D+3.9 | Source |
| Lake Research Partners dem sponsor | NC-9 | Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026 | 400 lv | Richard Hudson 46.0% Richard Ojeda 42.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Montana Senate | Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026 | 625 lv | Seth Bodnar 26.1% Kurt Alme 25.3% Alani Bankhead 24.5% | R+0.8 | Source |
| Tulchin Research dem sponsor | FL-27 | Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026 | 600 lv | Maria Elvira Salazar 47.0% Eliott Rodriguez 46.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Bedrock Polling | Generic ballot | Sep 10–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,004 rv | Dem 48.0% Rep 42.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Sep 8–Sep 15, 2026 | 2,000 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Sep 8–Sep 15, 2026 | n/a lv | Dem 52.0% Rep 46.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Harper Polling | North Carolina Senate | Sep 13–Sep 15, 2026 | 608 lv | Roy Cooper 49.2% Michael Whatley 34.1% Other 2.9% | D+15.1 | Source |
| co/efficient | Alaska Senate | Sep 14–Sep 17, 2026 | 799 lv | Mary Peltola 46.0% Rep 1.0% | D+45.0 | Source |
| co/efficient | Alaska Senate | Sep 14–Sep 17, 2026 | 799 lv | Dan Sullivan 49.0% Mary Peltola 46.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 4–Sep 9, 2026 | 779 rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 38.0% Other 0.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 4–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,200 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 28.0% Other 1.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| Public Opinion Strategies rep sponsor | PA-1 | Sep 11–Sep 14, 2026 | 400 rv | Brian Fitzpatrick 51.0% Bob Harvie 42.0% | R+9.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | AK-1 | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 800 lv | Nick Begich III 45.0% Bill Hill 31.0% Dem 9.0% Other 3.0% | R+36.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | AK-1 | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 800 lv | Nick Begich III 51.0% Bill Hill 35.0% Dem 11.0% Other 4.0% | R+40.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | AK-1 | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 800 lv | Nick Begich III 57.0% Bill Hill 43.0% | — | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | Alaska Senate | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 800 lv | Mary Peltola 46.0% Rep 3.0% | D+43.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | Alaska Senate | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 800 lv | Mary Peltola 50.0% Rep 3.0% | D+47.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | Alaska Senate | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 800 lv | Mary Peltola 53.0% Dan Sullivan 47.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Texas Senate | Sep 12–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,000 lv | James Talarico 47.4% Ken Paxton 46.4% Other 1.9% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Michigan Senate | Sep 12–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 48.2% Mike Rogers 45.7% Other 0.3% | D+2.5 | Source |
| ReconMR/Siena Research Institute/Texas A&M Bush School | Texas Senate | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 614 lv | James Talarico 49.0% Ken Paxton 43.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | Michigan Senate | Sep 10–Sep 14, 2026 | 803 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 16, 2026 · 19 polls | ||||||
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,211 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 44.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| SurveyUSA | Minnesota Senate | Sep 9–Sep 14, 2026 | 654 lv | Dem 42.0% Rep 42.0% Ind 2.0% Other 2.0% | Even | Source |
| Global Strategy Group dem sponsor | NE-1 | Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026 | 600 lv | Chris Backemeyer 43.0% Mike Flood 42.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Global Strategy Group dem sponsor | NE-1 | Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026 | 600 lv | Chris Backemeyer 49.0% Mike Flood 45.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Maine Senate | Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026 | 621 lv | Susan Collins 47.6% Troy Jackson 47.4% | R+0.2 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | Sep 13–Sep 15, 2026 | 2,947 rv | Dem 47.8% Rep 38.1% | D+9.7 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | Sep 13–Sep 15, 2026 | 2,633 lv | Dem 50.5% Rep 39.3% | D+11.2 | Source |
| co/efficient | Iowa Senate | Sep 14–Sep 16, 2026 | 831 lv | Ashley Hinson 46.0% Josh Turek 42.0% Other 2.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Wedgewood Polls | Nebraska Senate | Sep 14–Sep 16, 2026 | 500 lv | Pete Ricketts 52.0% Dem 48.0% | — | Source |
| Rutgers-Eagleton | MT-2 | Aug 27–Sep 7, 2026 | n/a rv | Troy Downing 48.0% Brian Miller 26.0% Ind 9.0% Other 5.0% | R+22.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | MT-1 | Sep 9–Sep 10, 2026 | 536 rv | Sam Forstag 45.0% Aaron Flint 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | NY-21 | Sep 9–Sep 10, 2026 | 557 rv | Anthony Constantino 48.0% Blake Gendebien 43.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | SC-1 | Sep 9–Sep 10, 2026 | 536 rv | Jenny Costa Honeycutt 41.0% Nancy Lacore 40.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| The Honest Poll | Generic ballot | Sep 7–Sep 13, 2026 | 1,633 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 40.0% Other 3.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| The Honest Poll | Generic ballot | Sep 7–Sep 13, 2026 | 1,392 lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 42.0% Other 3.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Ohio Senate | Sep 1–Sep 10, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Sherrod Brown 48.0% Jon Husted 45.0% Ind 3.0% Other 2.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Marquette Law School | Generic ballot | Sep 2–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,023 a | Dem 48.0% Rep 39.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| Marquette Law School | Generic ballot | Sep 2–Sep 9, 2026 | 866 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Marquette Law School | Generic ballot | Sep 2–Sep 9, 2026 | 583 lv | Dem 54.0% Rep 41.0% | D+13.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 15, 2026 · 12 polls | ||||||
| GBAO dem sponsor | NC-1 | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 500 lv | Don Davis 50.0% Laurie Buckhout 43.0% | D+7.0 | Source |