Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,940 polls in the corpus · page 5 of 20
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived September 15, 2026 · 12 polls | ||||||
| Impact Research dem sponsor | ME-2 | Sep 8–Sep 12, 2026 | 500 lv | Paul LePage 49.0% Matthew Dunlap 49.0% | Even | Source |
| Cygnal Political rep sponsor | Iowa Senate | Sep 9–Sep 11, 2026 | 500 lv | Josh Turek 42.9% Ashley Hinson 42.9% Other 3.6% | Even | Source |
| co/efficient | Minnesota Senate | Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026 | 833 lv | Dem 43.0% Rep 42.0% Ind 2.0% Other 2.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | Texas Senate | Sep 8–Sep 10, 2026 | 625 lv | James Talarico 46.0% Ken Paxton 43.0% Other 3.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Rutgers-Eagleton | MT-1 | Aug 27–Sep 7, 2026 | 375 rv | Aaron Flint 42.0% Sam Forstag 41.0% Other 5.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,143 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 31.0% Other 2.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,455 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 39.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 14, 2026 | 1,051 lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 39.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Generic ballot | Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026 | 1,503 lv | Dem 51.3% Rep 42.8% | D+8.5 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Generic ballot | Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026 | 1,503 rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 42.2% | D+6.8 | Source |
| co/efficient | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 9–Sep 11, 2026 | 958 lv | Chris Pappas 46.0% Rep 46.0% | Even | Source |
| Arrived September 14, 2026 · 9 polls | ||||||
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Sep 7–Sep 13, 2026 | 30,013 rv | Dem 46.3% Rep 42.4% | D+3.9 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 14, 2026 | 896 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 37.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| The Honest Poll | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Sep 1, 2026 | 1,106 a | Dem 48.0% Rep 40.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| The Honest Poll | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Sep 1, 2026 | 951 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 41.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| The Honest Poll | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Sep 1, 2026 | 783 lv | Dem 53.0% Rep 43.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| StimSight Research | NJ-7 | Sep 8–Sep 12, 2026 | 498 lv | Rebecca Bennett 47.0% Thomas Kean Jr. 42.0% Other 1.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| SurveyUSA | NE-2 | Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026 | 182 lv | Denise Powell 46.0% Brinker Harding 42.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| SurveyUSA | Nebraska Senate | Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026 | 503 lv | Dem 46.0% Pete Ricketts 42.0% | — | Source |
| Bendixen & Amandi International dem sponsor | FL-27 | Aug 25–Aug 30, 2026 | 600 lv | Eliott Rodriguez 45.0% Maria Elvira Salazar 45.0% | Even | Source |
| Arrived September 13, 2026 · 5 polls | ||||||
| SoCal Strategies | Texas Senate | Sep 12–Sep 13, 2026 | 649 lv | James Talarico 50.0% Ken Paxton 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Sep 10–Sep 12, 2026 | 1,091 lv | Jon Ossoff 49.4% Mike Collins 42.8% Ind 1.3% | D+6.6 | Source |
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | North Carolina Senate | Sep 8–Sep 10, 2026 | 1,084 lv | Roy Cooper 48.2% Michael Whatley 42.3% Other 1.3% | D+5.9 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | NV-2 | Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026 | 500 lv | Teresa Benitez-Thompson 38.0% Dave Flippo 37.0% Other 14.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 8–Sep 11, 2026 | 1,750 lv | Dem 54.0% Rep 46.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 12, 2026 · 2 polls | ||||||
| ActiVote | Generic ballot | Aug 31–Sep 10, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 52.3% Rep 47.7% | D+4.6 | Source |
| Rutgers-Eagleton | Montana Senate | Aug 27–Sep 7, 2026 | 845 rv | Kurt Alme 38.0% Seth Bodnar 30.0% Alani Bankhead 16.0% Other 5.0% | R+22.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 11, 2026 · 7 polls | ||||||
| co/efficient | Kansas Senate | Sep 8–Sep 10, 2026 | 915 lv | Roger Marshall 49.0% Adam Hamilton 44.0% Other 2.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Iowa Senate | Sep 3–Sep 8, 2026 | 2,127 lv | Josh Turek 45.0% Ashley Hinson 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Iowa Senate | Sep 3–Sep 8, 2026 | 2,041 lv | Josh Turek 47.0% Ashley Hinson 43.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Iowa Senate | Sep 3–Sep 8, 2026 | 2,166 rv | Josh Turek 44.0% Ashley Hinson 43.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Minnesota Senate | Sep 8–Sep 10, 2026 | 720 lv | Dem 48.9% Rep 45.4% | D+3.5 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Florida Senate | Sep 8–Sep 10, 2026 | 733 lv | Ashley Moody 50.4% Dem 43.0% | R+7.4 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling ind sponsor | South Dakota Senate | Sep 8–Sep 9, 2026 | 629 rv | Mike Rounds 45.0% Brian Bengs 42.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 10, 2026 · 15 polls | ||||||
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Sep 1–Sep 2, 2026 | 1,500 lv | Dem 50.7% Rep 42.1% | D+8.6 | Source |
| Trafalgar Group rep sponsor | Michigan Senate | Sep 7–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,079 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 46.3% Mike Rogers 44.8% Other 0.2% | D+1.5 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Texas Senate | Sep 8–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,200 lv | James Talarico 47.1% Ken Paxton 45.6% Other 2.2% | D+1.5 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Ohio Senate | Sep 8–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Sherrod Brown 47.3% Jon Husted 41.9% | D+5.4 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | South Carolina Senate | Sep 8–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Rep 45.1% Annie Andrews 43.2% | R+1.9 | Source |
| Change Research | Florida Senate | Sep 7–Sep 9, 2026 | 1,107 lv | Dem 47.0% Ashley Moody 47.0% | Even | Source |
| Quinnipiac University | Generic ballot | Sep 3–Sep 6, 2026 | 970 rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 38.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | Texas Senate | Aug 30–Sep 1, 2026 | 895 lv | James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 44.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | North Carolina Senate | Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026 | 675 lv | Roy Cooper 51.7% Michael Whatley 43.6% Other 0.9% | D+8.1 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates dem sponsor | TN-9 | Sep 1–Sep 3, 2026 | 400 lv | Brent Taylor 48.0% Justin J. Pearson 44.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Maine Senate | Sep 2–Sep 8, 2026 | 1,378 rv | Troy Jackson 46.0% Susan Collins 44.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Maine Senate | Sep 2–Sep 8, 2026 | 1,335 lv | Troy Jackson 48.0% Susan Collins 44.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Aug 21–Aug 31, 2026 | 565 lv | Roy Cooper 49.0% Michael Whatley 38.0% Other 2.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Aug 21–Aug 31, 2026 | 677 rv | Roy Cooper 49.0% Michael Whatley 36.0% Other 2.0% | D+13.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Aug 21–Aug 31, 2026 | 800 a | Roy Cooper 39.0% Michael Whatley 29.0% Other 1.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 9, 2026 · 11 polls | ||||||
| YouGov | Texas Senate | Aug 27–Sep 4, 2026 | 1,000 rv | James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 43.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 25–Sep 1, 2026 | 1,200 lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 44.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| CNN/SSRS | Maine Senate | Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026 | 880 lv | Troy Jackson 48.0% Susan Collins 45.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| CNN/SSRS | Michigan Senate | Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026 | 843 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Tulchin Research dem sponsor | AL-2 | Aug 24–Aug 31, 2026 | n/a lv | Rhett Marques 47.0% Shomari Figures 47.0% | Even | Source |
| Impact Research dem sponsor | FL-22 | Aug 24–Aug 31, 2026 | n/a lv | Pia Dandiya 46.0% Casey Askar 44.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| GBAO | Generic ballot | Jul 15–Jul 20, 2026 | 1,000 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 38.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 4–Sep 8, 2026 | 1,464 rv | Dem 42.0% Rep 35.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 4–Sep 8, 2026 | 1,015 lv | Dem 49.0% Rep 38.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| Global Strategy Group dem sponsor | Kentucky Senate | Aug 24–Aug 27, 2026 | 600 lv | Andy Barr 49.0% Charles Booker 40.0% | R+9.0 | Source |
| Global Strategy Group dem sponsor | Iowa Senate | Aug 27–Aug 31, 2026 | 800 lv | Josh Turek 46.0% Ashley Hinson 42.0% Other 6.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 8, 2026 · 8 polls | ||||||
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Michigan Senate | Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026 | 600 lv | Mike Rogers 45.8% Abdul El-Sayed 44.4% | R+1.4 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Minnesota Senate | Aug 31–Sep 2, 2026 | 1,494 rv | Dem 40.0% Rep 38.0% Ind 4.1% Other 1.1% | D+2.0 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Minnesota Senate | Aug 31–Sep 2, 2026 | 1,192 lv | Dem 44.0% Rep 41.9% Ind 3.0% Other 1.0% | D+2.1 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Aug 31–Sep 6, 2026 | 29,427 rv | Dem 46.3% Rep 42.2% | D+4.1 | Source |
| Peak Insights rep sponsor | Montana Senate | Aug 23–Aug 25, 2026 | 600 lv | Kurt Alme 44.0% Seth Bodnar 22.0% Alani Bankhead 19.0% Other 2.0% | R+25.0 | Source |
| 20/20 Insight dem sponsor | GA-7 | Aug 20–Aug 26, 2026 | 445 lv | Rich McCormick 46.0% Anthony Kozycki 43.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Impact Research dem sponsor | NY-21 | Aug 30–Sep 2, 2026 | 500 lv | Anthony Constantino 47.0% Blake Gendebien 44.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Strategies 360 dem sponsor | NV-2 | Aug 22–Aug 26, 2026 | 400 lv | Dave Flippo 45.0% Teresa Benitez-Thompson 42.0% Other 7.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 6, 2026 · 3 polls | ||||||
| Focaldata | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 | 2,180 a | Dem 46.3% Rep 40.6% | D+5.8 | Source |
| Focaldata | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 | 1,914 rv | Dem 48.7% Rep 42.3% | D+6.5 | Source |
| Focaldata | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Sep 2, 2026 | 1,837 lv | Dem 52.0% Rep 44.9% | D+7.1 | Source |
| Arrived September 4, 2026 · 4 polls | ||||||
| SEA Polling dem sponsor | FL-16 | Aug 25–Aug 29, 2026 | 400 lv | Kelly Kirschner 40.0% Sydney Gruters 39.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| SEA Polling dem sponsor | FL-9 | Aug 24–Aug 30, 2026 | 400 lv | Dan Green 41.0% Darren Soto 41.0% | Even | Source |
| SurveyUSA | CA-48 | Aug 27–Sep 1, 2026 | 522 lv | Marni von Wilpert 45.0% Jim Desmond 42.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 21–Aug 26, 2026 | 1,000 a | Dem 42.0% Rep 34.0% Ind 10.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 3, 2026 · 2 polls | ||||||
| Global Strategy Group | Kansas Senate | Aug 12–Aug 16, 2026 | 800 lv | Adam Hamilton 44.0% Roger Marshall 43.0% Other 5.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Iowa Senate | Aug 31–Sep 1, 2026 | 750 lv | Ashley Hinson 49.5% Josh Turek 45.1% Other 0.8% | R+4.4 | Source |
| Arrived September 2, 2026 · 9 polls | ||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates rep sponsor | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 27–Aug 30, 2026 | 600 lv | Chris Pappas 36.0% Ind 1.0% Rep 0.0% | D+36.0 | Source |
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Aug 30, 2026 | 2,100 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Aug 30, 2026 | n/a lv | Rep 51.0% Dem 49.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Alaska Survey Research | Alaska Senate | Aug 20–Aug 23, 2026 | 1,495 lv | Mary Peltola 50.6% Dan Sullivan 49.4% | D+1.2 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | AZ-2 | Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 | 500 lv | Eli Crane 46.0% Jonathan Nez 44.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor | TX-35 | Aug 27–Aug 31, 2026 | n/a lv | Carlos De La Cruz 45.0% Johnny Garcia 44.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Overton Insights | Texas Senate | Aug 24–Aug 26, 2026 | 1,167 lv | Ken Paxton 50.0% James Talarico 50.0% | Even | Source |
| Abacus Data | Michigan Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 500 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 41.0% Mike Rogers 35.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | Michigan Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 332 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Arrived September 1, 2026 · 8 polls | ||||||
| Hart Research Associates dem sponsor | FL-13 | Aug 25–Aug 27, 2026 | n/a lv | Leela Gray 51.0% Anna Paulina Luna 46.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates dem sponsor | FL-13 | Aug 25–Aug 27, 2026 | n/a lv | Leela Gray 44.0% Anna Paulina Luna 43.0% Ind 7.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 | 1,589 a | Dem 36.0% Rep 31.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 | 1,434 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 40.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Research & Polling Inc. | New Mexico Senate | Aug 21–Aug 28, 2026 | 516 lv | Ben Ray Luján 53.0% Larry Marker 38.0% | D+15.0 | Source |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Michigan Senate | Aug 10–Aug 20, 2026 | 913 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | Michigan Senate | Aug 10–Aug 20, 2026 | 779 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 50.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 | 1,167 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 31.0% Other 3.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls | ||||||
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Aug 28–Aug 31, 2026 | 924 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 38.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Dec 9–Dec 11, 2024 | 1,500 lv | Rep 48.4% Dem 44.4% | R+4.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Generic ballot | Dec 11–Dec 16, 2024 | 1,000 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 42.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Jan 9–Jan 12, 2025 | 1,500 lv | Rep 46.8% Dem 44.6% | R+2.2 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Jan 15–Jan 16, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 51.0% Dem 44.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights rep sponsor | Generic ballot | Jan 22–Jan 23, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 48.0% Dem 45.0% | R+3.0 | Source |