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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 4, 2026, 8:30 PM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 5 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Research Co. Generic ballot Jan 13–Jan 15, 2026 1,002 a Dem 42.0% Rep 36.0% D+6.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Jan 22–Jan 26, 2026 1,029 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 25, 2026 906 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 37.0% D+4.0 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Jan 22–Jan 24, 2026 2,909 lv Dem 48.2% Rep 44.2% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 1,683 a Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 1,519 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 38.0% D+5.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 25, 2026 2,204 rv Dem 44.8% Rep 42.8% D+2.0 Source
Data for Progress AK-1 Feb 28–Mar 7, 2025 1,008 lv Nick Begich III 46.0% Dem 46.0% — Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Jan 15–Jan 22, 2026 1,147 lv Dem 51.0% Rep 42.0% D+9.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 1,005 rv Dem 52.0% Rep 46.0% D+6.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jan 19–Jan 25, 2026 24,675 rv Dem 43.9% Rep 42.8% D+1.1 Source
The Argument/Verasight Generic ballot Jan 26–Jan 27, 2026 1,515 rv Dem 52.0% Rep 48.0% D+4.0 Source
KFF Generic ballot Jan 13–Jan 20, 2026 1,141 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 42.0% D+7.0 Source
Public Policy Polling Generic ballot Jan 29–Jan 30, 2026 652 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 41.0% D+7.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Jan 27–Jan 28, 2026 1,004 lv Dem 48.0% Rep 44.0% D+4.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Jan 28–Jan 29, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 54.0% Rep 46.0% D+8.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Jan 28–Jan 29, 2026 1,000 rv Rep 41.0% Dem 41.0% Other 13.0% Even Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Jan 28–Jan 29, 2026 n/a lv Dem 47.0% Rep 44.0% Other 2.0% D+3.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Jan 28–Jan 29, 2026 n/a lv Dem 52.0% Rep 48.0% D+4.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jan 30–Feb 1, 2026 2,201 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Generic ballot Jan 13–Jan 14, 2026 597 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 42.0% D+8.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jan 30–Feb 2, 2026 1,668 a Dem 36.0% Rep 34.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jan 30–Feb 2, 2026 1,501 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 40.0% D+4.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jan 21–Jan 28, 2026 869 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 44.0% D+4.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jan 21–Jan 28, 2026 577 lv Dem 52.0% Rep 45.0% D+7.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jan 21–Jan 28, 2026 1,003 a Dem 45.0% Rep 39.0% D+6.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Jan 21–Jan 27, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% D+2.0 Source
John Zogby Strategies Generic ballot Feb 4–Feb 5, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor MN-1 Feb 2–Feb 3, 2026 708 rv Brad Finstad 44.0% Jake Johnson 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 2–Feb 8, 2026 24,606 rv Dem 44.5% Rep 42.3% D+2.3 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jan 26–Feb 1, 2026 25,492 rv Dem 44.5% Rep 42.3% D+2.2 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 6–Feb 9, 2026 1,728 a Dem 39.0% Rep 31.0% D+8.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 6–Feb 9, 2026 1,549 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 38.0% D+6.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Feb 3–Feb 4, 2026 1,500 lv Dem 47.8% Rep 44.4% D+3.4 Source
Echelon Insights/GBAO Generic ballot Dec 9–Dec 16, 2025 2,593 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Feb 9–Feb 12, 2026 2,000 rv Rep 47.0% Dem 45.0% R+2.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Feb 10, 2026 1,148 a Dem 42.1% Rep 38.1% D+4.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Feb 10, 2026 957 rv Dem 46.2% Rep 41.7% D+4.5 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Feb 10, 2026 957 lv Dem 51.1% Rep 43.6% D+7.5 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 1,709 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 45.0% D+5.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 1,709 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% D+2.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 2,037 a Dem 42.0% Rep 40.0% D+2.0 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Feb 12, 2026 1,515 lv Dem 48.4% Rep 41.9% D+6.5 Source
TIPP Insights Generic ballot Jan 27–Jan 29, 2026 1,126 rv Dem 45.4% Rep 42.5% D+2.9 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 9–Feb 12, 2026 1,149 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% D+3.0 Source
The Argument/Verasight Generic ballot Feb 4–Feb 10, 2026 3,003 rv Dem 53.0% Rep 47.0% D+6.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 6–Feb 9, 2026 2,200 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 16, 2026 1,678 a Dem 39.0% Rep 33.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 16, 2026 1,509 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 40.0% D+7.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 16, 2026 846 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 37.0% D+4.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 16, 2026 2,200 rv Dem 44.8% Rep 43.4% D+1.5 Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor CA-40 Jan 14–Jan 19, 2026 800 lv Rep 44.0% Dem 44.0% Even Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor CA-40 Jan 14–Jan 19, 2026 800 lv Rep 44.0% Dem 43.0% R+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor MI-10 Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026 592 rv Christina Hines 44.0% Michael Bouchard Jr. 42.0% D+2.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor MI-10 Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026 592 rv Michael Bouchard Jr. 44.0% Dem 42.0% R+2.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor MI-10 Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026 592 rv Michael Bouchard Jr. 43.0% Dem 41.0% R+2.0 Source
Kaplan Strategies FL-27 Jul 25–Jul 27, 2025 804 lv Dem 44.0% Maria Elvira Salazar 42.0% D+2.0 Source
Kaplan Strategies FL-27 Jul 25–Jul 27, 2025 804 lv Maria Elvira Salazar 45.0% Dem 38.0% R+7.0 Source
Kaplan Strategies FL-27 Jul 25–Jul 27, 2025 804 lv Maria Elvira Salazar 45.0% Dem 35.0% R+10.0 Source
Kaplan Strategies FL-27 Jul 25–Jul 27, 2025 804 lv Maria Elvira Salazar 45.0% Dem 34.0% R+11.0 Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor CA-3 Jul 8–Jul 10, 2025 400 lv Rep 47.0% Dem 45.0% R+2.0 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Feb 16–Feb 18, 2026 1,805 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 41.3% D+8.7 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Feb 16–Feb 18, 2026 2,012 rv Dem 48.2% Rep 40.0% D+8.2 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor AK-1 Feb 11–Feb 12, 2026 600 lv Nick Begich III 41.0% Bill Hill 37.0% R+4.0 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor AK-1 Feb 11–Feb 12, 2026 600 lv Nick Begich III 46.0% Dem 39.0% — Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Feb 12–Feb 17, 2026 2,589 a Dem 43.0% Rep 39.0% D+4.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Feb 12–Feb 17, 2026 2,087 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 45.0% D+2.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Feb 19–Feb 23, 2026 1,002 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 46.0% D+4.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Feb 18–Feb 23, 2026 3,686 rv Dem 40.0% Rep 38.0% D+2.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Feb 18–Feb 23, 2026 4,638 a Dem 35.0% Rep 32.0% Other 4.0% D+3.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Feb 18–Feb 20, 2026 1,566 a Dem 50.0% Rep 40.0% D+10.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Feb 18–Feb 20, 2026 1,401 rv Dem 52.0% Rep 42.0% D+10.0 Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 18, 2026 1,200 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 41.0% D+8.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 20–Feb 23, 2026 1,551 a Dem 39.0% Rep 34.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 20–Feb 23, 2026 1,402 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
University of New Hampshire ME-2 Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 520 lv Paul LePage 48.0% Dem 47.0% R+1.0 Source
University of New Hampshire ME-2 Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 520 lv Paul LePage 47.0% Matthew Dunlap 46.0% R+1.0 Source
University of New Hampshire ME-2 Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 520 lv Paul LePage 48.0% Dem 44.0% R+4.0 Source
Talker Research Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 19, 2026 1,000 a Dem 42.0% Rep 36.0% D+6.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 20–Feb 22, 2026 2,202 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Feb 21–Feb 22, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 50.4% Rep 42.4% D+8.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 16–Feb 22, 2026 26,087 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
The Winston Group rep sponsor Generic ballot Jan 8–Jan 12, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% D+3.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 9–Feb 15, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
The Winston Group rep sponsor Generic ballot Nov 15–Nov 17, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% D+5.0 Source
The Winston Group rep sponsor Generic ballot Oct 15–Oct 16, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
The Winston Group rep sponsor Generic ballot Aug 30–Sep 1, 2025 1,000 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 25–Feb 27, 2026 1,523 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% D+5.0 Source
TIPP Insights Generic ballot Feb 24–Feb 27, 2026 1,264 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 44.2% D+0.8 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Feb 25–Feb 26, 2026 n/a lv Rep 50.0% Dem 50.0% Even Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Feb 25–Feb 26, 2026 1,999 rv Rep 50.0% Dem 50.0% Even Source
The Public Sentiment Institute Generic ballot Feb 28, 2026 316 rv Dem 40.7% Rep 32.8% Other 2.8% D+7.9 Source
The Public Sentiment Institute Generic ballot Feb 28, 2026 249 lv Dem 50.1% Rep 41.0% Other 1.7% D+9.1 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 27–Mar 2, 2026 1,512 a Dem 40.0% Rep 33.0% D+7.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Feb 27–Mar 2, 2026 1,363 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Mar 2–Mar 3, 2026 1,295 lv Dem 45.7% Rep 40.8% D+4.9 Source
GrayHouse rep sponsor Generic ballot Dec 6–Dec 8, 2025 2,058 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
GrayHouse rep sponsor Generic ballot Feb 20–Feb 23, 2026 1,394 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% D+3.0 Source
GrayHouse rep sponsor Generic ballot Jul 27–Jul 29, 2025 2,000 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 44.0% D+3.0 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Mar 2–Mar 4, 2026 2,000 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 46.0% Even Source