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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 4, 2026, 8:30 PM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 6 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Cygnal Political rep sponsor Generic ballot Feb 24–Feb 26, 2026 1,048 lv Dem 48.3% Rep 44.6% D+3.7 Source
Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot Feb 27–Mar 3, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 44.0% D+6.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor NC-1 Jan 29–Feb 2, 2026 500 lv Don Davis 42.0% Laurie Buckhout 39.0% Other 9.0% D+3.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Mar 3–Mar 4, 2026 1,500 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 44.8% D+4.2 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 6–Mar 9, 2026 1,403 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 6–Mar 9, 2026 1,561 a Dem 40.0% Rep 36.0% D+4.0 Source
Marist University Generic ballot Mar 2–Mar 4, 2026 1,392 rv Dem 53.0% Rep 44.0% D+9.0 Source
Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov Generic ballot Feb 18–Feb 23, 2026 824 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 37.0% Other 3.0% D+5.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 6–Mar 8, 2026 2,202 rv Dem 46.5% Rep 42.8% D+3.7 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor TX-23 Mar 10–Mar 11, 2026 521 rv Brandon Herrera 42.0% Katy Padilla Stout 40.0% R+2.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 2–Mar 8, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Feb 23–Mar 1, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
Blueprint Polling FL-27 Mar 6–Mar 8, 2026 451 rv Maria Elvira Salazar 47.0% Dem 40.0% R+7.0 Source
Blueprint Polling FL-27 Mar 6–Mar 8, 2026 451 rv Maria Elvira Salazar 46.0% Eliott Rodriguez 43.0% R+3.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Mar 4–Mar 9, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Mar 6–Mar 10, 2026 1,782 a Dem 44.5% Rep 38.9% D+5.6 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Mar 6–Mar 10, 2026 1,534 rv Dem 47.7% Rep 42.0% D+5.7 Source
Noble Predictive Insights Generic ballot Mar 2–Mar 5, 2026 2,659 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 43.0% D+1.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Feb 26–Mar 7, 2026 1,004 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Mar 12–Mar 16, 2026 1,033 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 9–Mar 15, 2026 26,634 rv Dem 44.5% Rep 41.7% D+2.8 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 13–Mar 16, 2026 2,200 rv Dem 47.6% Rep 40.2% D+7.3 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 13–Mar 16, 2026 1,593 a Dem 39.0% Rep 35.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 13–Mar 16, 2026 1,427 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 41.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 12–Mar 16, 2026 1,147 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 40.0% D+4.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Mar 17–Mar 19, 2026 1,545 a Dem 35.0% Rep 32.0% D+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Mar 17–Mar 19, 2026 1,206 rv Dem 40.0% Rep 37.0% D+3.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Mar 16–Mar 17, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 49.2% Rep 41.0% D+8.2 Source
John Zogby Strategies Generic ballot Mar 17–Mar 18, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 46.3% Rep 45.8% Other 3.0% D+0.5 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Mar 17–Mar 18, 2026 1,064 lv Dem 46.7% Rep 41.7% D+5.0 Source
The Argument/Verasight Generic ballot Mar 12–Mar 17, 2026 1,519 rv Dem 54.0% Rep 46.0% D+8.0 Source
Survey 160 Generic ballot Mar 9–Mar 15, 2026 1,546 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 38.0% D+10.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor Generic ballot Feb 17–Feb 22, 2026 1,051 lv Dem 48.0% Rep 40.0% Ind 12.0% D+8.0 Source
St. Anselm NH-2 Mar 16–Mar 18, 2026 739 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 36.0% D+12.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Mar 16–Mar 18, 2026 1,530 a Dem 48.0% Rep 41.0% D+7.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Mar 16–Mar 18, 2026 1,370 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 43.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 20–Mar 23, 2026 1,664 a Dem 39.0% Rep 36.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 20–Mar 23, 2026 1,501 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Mar 20–Mar 23, 2026 985 rv Dem 40.0% Rep 38.0% D+2.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Mar 20–Mar 23, 2026 1,272 a Dem 35.0% Rep 31.0% Other 3.0% D+4.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 16–Mar 22, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
Quinnipiac University Generic ballot Mar 19–Mar 23, 2026 1,191 rv Dem 51.0% Rep 40.0% D+11.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor WI-3 Feb 12–Feb 17, 2026 500 lv Rebecca Cooke 49.0% Derrick Van Orden 48.0% D+1.0 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Mar 22–Mar 24, 2026 3,003 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 40.4% D+7.6 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Mar 25–Mar 26, 2026 1,472 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 41.3% D+5.7 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Mar 25–Mar 26, 2026 2,009 rv Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% D+2.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Mar 25–Mar 26, 2026 n/a lv Dem 52.0% Rep 48.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 27–Mar 30, 2026 1,674 a Dem 39.0% Rep 33.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Mar 27–Mar 30, 2026 1,502 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 39.0% D+6.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor PA-1 Mar 19–Mar 22, 2026 400 lv Brian Fitzpatrick 48.0% Bob Harvie 42.0% R+6.0 Source
CNN/SSRS Generic ballot Mar 26–Mar 30, 2026 951 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 42.0% D+6.0 Source
MDW Communications FL-28 Mar 3–Mar 7, 2026 514 lv Carlos Giménez 46.0% Dem 40.0% R+6.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 17–Mar 22, 2026 15,029 a Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Upswing Research dem sponsor ME-2 Feb 24–Feb 27, 2026 403 lv Paul LePage 52.0% Dem 45.0% R+7.0 Source
Change Research Generic ballot Feb 5–Feb 18, 2026 1,741 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 40.0% D+3.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 23–Mar 29, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 3–Apr 6, 2026 1,745 a Dem 38.0% Rep 36.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 3–Apr 6, 2026 1,558 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 42.0% D+2.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Apr 2–Apr 3, 2026 1,500 lv Dem 48.8% Rep 43.3% D+5.5 Source
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov Generic ballot Mar 26–Mar 30, 2026 1,000 a Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% D+3.0 Source
Winston Group rep sponsor Generic ballot Mar 15–Mar 17, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 40.0% D+9.0 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Apr 6–Apr 9, 2026 2,000 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Yale University Institution for Social and Policy Studies Generic ballot Mar 9–Mar 23, 2026 3,428 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 43.7% D+2.3 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 13, 2026 1,745 a Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 13, 2026 1,571 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% D+5.0 Source
Impact Research Generic ballot Mar 10–Mar 20, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Apr 8–Apr 15, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
John Zogby Strategies Generic ballot Apr 17–Apr 18, 2026 1,001 lv Dem 48.3% Rep 44.4% Other 3.6% D+3.9 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 2,203 rv Dem 45.4% Rep 42.2% D+3.3 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 13–Apr 19, 2026 27,869 rv Dem 44.6% Rep 42.3% D+2.3 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 6–Apr 12, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.6% Rep 41.8% D+3.8 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Mar 30–Apr 5, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.4% D+2.7 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 14, 2026 1,386 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 43.0% D+7.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 14, 2026 1,514 a Dem 49.0% Rep 41.0% D+8.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Apr 15–Apr 20, 2026 3,577 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 38.0% D+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Apr 15–Apr 20, 2026 4,557 a Dem 35.0% Rep 31.0% Other 3.0% D+4.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 2,880 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 45.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 1,703 a Dem 39.0% Rep 33.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 1,549 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% D+5.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 1,012 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 44.0% D+6.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Apr 8–Apr 16, 2026 870 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 44.0% D+4.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Apr 8–Apr 16, 2026 576 lv Dem 53.0% Rep 43.0% D+10.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Apr 8–Apr 16, 2026 982 a Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% D+3.0 Source
Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot Apr 15–Apr 19, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Generic ballot Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 1,001 rv Dem 52.0% Rep 47.0% D+5.0 Source
Survey 160 Generic ballot Apr 8–Apr 13, 2026 1,539 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 37.0% D+10.0 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Apr 21–Apr 23, 2026 1,452 lv Dem 46.5% Rep 42.3% D+4.2 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026 2,201 rv Dem 45.3% Rep 43.3% D+2.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 20–Apr 26, 2026 28,235 rv Dem 44.9% Rep 42.4% D+2.5 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026 1,834 a Dem 39.0% Rep 34.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026 1,645 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 41.0% D+5.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Apr 23–Apr 26, 2026 n/a lv Dem 50.0% Rep 50.0% Even Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 10–Apr 12, 2026 2,201 rv Dem 45.9% Rep 42.5% D+3.4 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026 1,014 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 37.0% D+4.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Apr 24–Apr 27, 2026 1,269 a Dem 36.0% Rep 31.0% Other 3.0% D+5.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Apr 24–Apr 26, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 50.3% Rep 40.2% D+10.1 Source
Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor WI-1 Mar 14–Mar 16, 2026 400 lv Bryan Steil 50.0% Mitchell Berman 41.0% R+9.0 Source
Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor VA-1 Mar 10–Mar 12, 2026 400 lv Rob Wittman 46.0% Shannon Taylor 42.0% R+4.0 Source
Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor NC-14 Mar 10–Mar 12, 2026 400 lv Tim Moore 48.0% LaKesha Womack 40.0% R+8.0 Source
The Argument/Verasight Generic ballot Apr 20–Apr 23, 2026 1,516 rv Dem 53.0% Rep 47.0% D+6.0 Source