Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Oct 19, 2026, 10:30 PM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,940 polls in the corpus · page 7 of 20
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls | ||||||
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 1–Aug 4, 2025 | 1,702 a | Dem 40.0% Rep 35.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 1–Aug 4, 2025 | 1,528 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 38.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | Generic ballot | Jul 24–Jul 31, 2025 | 1,018 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies | Generic ballot | Jul 29–Aug 3, 2025 | n/a rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Jul 24–Jul 28, 2025 | 1,167 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 39.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 9–Aug 11, 2025 | 1,634 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 9–Aug 11, 2025 | 1,473 rv | Dem 42.0% Rep 40.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Aug 7–Aug 9, 2025 | 1,500 lv | Dem 47.4% Rep 46.4% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Generic ballot | Aug 11–Aug 13, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Echelon Insights | Generic ballot | Aug 14–Aug 18, 2025 | 1,057 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 46.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| SoCal Strategies rep sponsor | Generic ballot | Aug 19, 2025 | 700 a | Dem 42.0% Rep 37.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Aug 13–Aug 18, 2025 | 3,516 rv | Dem 40.0% Rep 39.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 15–Aug 18, 2025 | 1,564 a | Dem 41.0% Rep 33.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 15–Aug 18, 2025 | 1,404 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 39.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Aug 18–Aug 21, 2025 | 2,000 rv | Dem 47.0% Rep 47.0% | Even | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | Aug 18–Aug 21, 2025 | 1,500 a | Dem 49.0% Rep 41.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 22–Aug 25, 2025 | 1,520 a | Dem 41.0% Rep 36.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 22–Aug 25, 2025 | 1,374 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 41.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Aug 22–Aug 24, 2025 | 1,022 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 34.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Aug 22–Aug 24, 2025 | 895 rv | Dem 42.0% Rep 37.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | CA-22 | Aug 6–Aug 8, 2025 | 547 rv | Dem 42.0% David Valadao 42.0% | Even | Source |
| The Argument/Verasight | Generic ballot | Aug 8–Aug 17, 2025 | 1,562 rv | Dem 50.7% Rep 49.3% | D+1.4 | Source |
| Emerson College | Generic ballot | Aug 25–Aug 26, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Dem 43.3% Rep 43.0% | D+0.3 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | PA-8 | Aug 27–Aug 28, 2025 | 615 rv | Paige Cognetti 45.0% Rob Bresnahan 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Aug 31, 2025 | 2,202 rv | Dem 44.9% Rep 40.7% | D+4.2 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Generic ballot | Aug 21–Aug 26, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 45.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Sep 2, 2025 | 1,690 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 34.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Sep 2, 2025 | 1,548 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 39.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Aug 29–Sep 2, 2025 | 1,136 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 40.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | VA-1 | Aug 8–Aug 9, 2025 | 541 rv | Rob Wittman 41.0% Shannon Taylor 40.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 5–Sep 8, 2025 | 1,644 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 36.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 5–Sep 8, 2025 | 1,487 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 40.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Sep 2–Sep 3, 2025 | 1,500 lv | Dem 47.6% Rep 45.2% | D+2.4 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 12–Sep 15, 2025 | 1,565 a | Dem 37.0% Rep 33.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 12–Sep 15, 2025 | 1,418 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 41.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | TX-15 | Sep 10–Sep 11, 2025 | 533 rv | Monica De La Cruz 41.0% Bobby Pulido 38.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | Generic ballot | Sep 4–Sep 11, 2025 | 1,001 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 44.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| AtlasIntel | Generic ballot | Sep 12–Sep 16, 2025 | 1,066 a | Dem 51.8% Rep 43.5% | D+8.3 | Source |
| National Association of Independent Pollsters | Generic ballot | Sep 6–Sep 13, 2025 | 2,071 lv | Dem 47.0% Rep 46.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling | IA-3 | Sep 17–Sep 18, 2025 | 717 rv | Dem 44.0% Zach Nunn 44.0% | Even | Source |
| Echelon Insights | Generic ballot | Sep 18–Sep 22, 2025 | 1,071 lv | Dem 47.0% Rep 46.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 19–Sep 22, 2025 | 1,551 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 35.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 19–Sep 22, 2025 | 1,392 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 15–Sep 19, 2025 | 1,500 a | Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Sep 19–Sep 21, 2025 | 799 rv | Rep 39.0% Dem 36.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| CNN/SSRS | Generic ballot | Aug 21–Sep 1, 2025 | 2,077 a | Dem 52.0% Rep 47.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| CNN/SSRS | Generic ballot | Aug 21–Sep 1, 2025 | 1,768 rv | Dem 52.0% Rep 48.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Wick | Generic ballot | Apr 29–Apr 30, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Dem 42.0% Rep 39.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Generic ballot | Sep 22–Sep 27, 2025 | 1,313 rv | Dem 47.1% Rep 45.2% | D+1.9 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 26–Sep 29, 2025 | 1,655 a | Dem 41.0% Rep 35.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 26–Sep 29, 2025 | 1,517 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| The Argument/Verasight | Generic ballot | Sep 15–Sep 18, 2025 | 1,541 rv | Dem 53.0% Rep 47.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Generic ballot | Sep 17–Sep 22, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 41.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Sep 25–Sep 29, 2025 | 1,126 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 40.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Sep 22–Sep 24, 2025 | 2,000 rv | Rep 46.0% Dem 45.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Oct 3–Oct 5, 2025 | 2,200 rv | Dem 46.1% Rep 43.3% | D+2.8 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor | Generic ballot | Feb 13–Feb 17, 2025 | 1,600 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 43.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor | Generic ballot | Jun 9–Jun 11, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 46.0% Dem 44.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Jun 18–Jun 19, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 52.0% Dem 44.0% | R+8.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 4–Oct 6, 2025 | 1,643 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 33.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 4–Oct 6, 2025 | 1,486 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 39.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Oct 3–Oct 7, 2025 | 864 rv | Dem 40.0% Rep 38.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Jun 9, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 35.0% Dem 35.0% Other 8.0% | Even | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Generic ballot | Oct 6–Oct 8, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 43.0% Dem 42.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Oct 10–Oct 12, 2025 | 2,202 rv | Dem 45.9% Rep 43.3% | D+2.6 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 10–Oct 13, 2025 | 1,621 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 34.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 10–Oct 13, 2025 | 1,466 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 40.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Oct 7–Oct 8, 2025 | 1,500 lv | Dem 47.5% Rep 45.3% | D+2.2 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | PA-1 | Oct 10–Oct 11, 2025 | 585 lv | Brian Fitzpatrick 41.0% Bob Harvie 41.0% | Even | Source |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Generic ballot | Oct 2–Oct 6, 2025 | 2,565 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Generic ballot | Oct 13–Oct 14, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Dem 43.9% Rep 42.5% | D+1.4 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies | Generic ballot | Oct 8–Oct 12, 2025 | n/a rv | Dem 48.0% Rep 47.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | May 20–May 21, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Dem 48.0% Rep 45.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Feb 20–Feb 21, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 48.0% Dem 46.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | Apr 16, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Jun 19–Jun 21, 2025 | 800 lv | Dem 48.4% Rep 46.0% | D+2.4 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | Jul 1–Jul 2, 2025 | 1,500 lv | Dem 47.1% Rep 45.7% | D+1.4 | Source |
| J.L. Partners | Generic ballot | Oct 14–Oct 15, 2025 | 1,004 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 37.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | WI-3 | Oct 14–Oct 15, 2025 | 609 rv | Rebecca Cooke 44.0% Derrick Van Orden 42.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | AZ-6 | Oct 14–Oct 15, 2025 | 581 rv | JoAnna Mendoza 42.0% Juan Ciscomani 41.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Oct 15–Oct 20, 2025 | 3,439 rv | Dem 41.0% Rep 38.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 17–Oct 20, 2025 | 1,620 a | Dem 40.0% Rep 35.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 17–Oct 20, 2025 | 1,447 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Echelon Insights | Generic ballot | Oct 16–Oct 20, 2025 | 1,010 lv | Dem 48.0% Rep 46.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Oct 17–Oct 19, 2025 | 2,200 rv | Dem 45.7% Rep 42.8% | D+2.9 | Source |
| PRRI | Generic ballot | Aug 15–Sep 8, 2025 | 5,543 a | Dem 33.0% Rep 30.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Quinnipiac University | Generic ballot | Oct 16–Oct 20, 2025 | 1,327 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 41.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| The Argument/Verasight | Generic ballot | Oct 10–Oct 16, 2025 | 1,530 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Oct 24–Oct 26, 2025 | 2,202 rv | Dem 45.3% Rep 42.3% | D+2.9 | Source |
| Normington, Petts & Associates | Generic ballot | Sep 11–Sep 16, 2025 | 800 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 24–Oct 27, 2025 | 1,618 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 34.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 24–Oct 27, 2025 | 1,472 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 40.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 23–Oct 27, 2025 | 1,197 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Oct 24–Oct 26, 2025 | 805 rv | Rep 39.0% Dem 39.0% | Even | Source |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | Generic ballot | Oct 16–Oct 20, 2025 | 1,000 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | Oct 26–Oct 28, 2025 | 2,984 rv | Dem 42.6% Rep 41.4% | D+1.2 | Source |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | Generic ballot | Oct 16–Oct 23, 2025 | 1,047 rv | Dem 47.0% Rep 46.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Generic ballot | Oct 21–Oct 27, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 46.0% Dem 44.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | Oct 24–Oct 29, 2025 | 1,567 a | Dem 46.0% Rep 39.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Oct 24–Oct 28, 2025 | 2,203 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% | D+2.0 | Source |