Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Sep 4, 2026, 10:30 PM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,469 polls in the corpus · page 7 of 15
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls | ||||||
| Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor | NC-10 | Mar 10–Mar 12, 2026 | 400 lv | Pat Harrigan 52.0% Ashley Bell 37.0% | R+15.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor | MN-1 | Mar 12–Mar 14, 2026 | 400 lv | Brad Finstad 52.0% Jake Johnson 42.0% | R+10.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor | AZ-6 | Mar 12–Mar 14, 2026 | 400 lv | JoAnna Mendoza 47.0% Juan Ciscomani 44.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor | CO-3 | Mar 10–Mar 12, 2026 | 400 lv | Jeff Hurd 46.0% Dem 41.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor | IA-3 | Mar 12–Mar 14, 2026 | 400 lv | Zach Nunn 48.0% Sarah Trone Garriott 42.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor | MI-4 | Mar 12–Mar 14, 2026 | 400 lv | Bill Huizenga 48.0% Sean McCann 42.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| KFF | Generic ballot | Apr 14–Apr 19, 2026 | 1,107 rv | Dem 43.0% Rep 34.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | IA-2 | Apr 13–Apr 14, 2026 | 673 rv | Lindsay James 36.0% Joe Mitchell 33.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | Apr 25–Apr 28, 2026 | 3,176 rv | Dem 48.3% Rep 38.0% | D+10.3 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | Apr 25–Apr 28, 2026 | 2,874 lv | Dem 50.4% Rep 39.4% | D+11.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | Apr 24–Apr 28, 2026 | 2,059 rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Sep 28–Oct 6, 2025 | 1,596 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Nov 6–Nov 10, 2025 | 1,572 rv | Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Dec 5–Dec 10, 2025 | 1,520 rv | Rep 43.0% Dem 43.0% | Even | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Jan 13–Jan 19, 2026 | 1,348 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Mar 8–Mar 12, 2026 | 1,540 rv | Dem 47.0% Rep 41.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Public Opinion Strategies | Generic ballot | Apr 21–Apr 27, 2026 | 1,000 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Change Research | Generic ballot | Sep 5–Sep 10, 2025 | 2,223 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 1–May 4, 2026 | 1,570 a | Dem 38.0% Rep 34.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 1–May 4, 2026 | 1,406 rv | Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | Apr 30–May 3, 2026 | n/a rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | Generic ballot | Apr 15–Apr 24, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 50.0% Rep 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Marist University | Generic ballot | Apr 27–Apr 30, 2026 | 1,155 rv | Dem 52.0% Rep 42.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| HarrisX | Generic ballot | Apr 29–May 5, 2026 | 2,569 a | Dem 46.0% Rep 45.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| HarrisX | Generic ballot | Apr 29–May 5, 2026 | 2,359 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 45.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| HarrisX | Generic ballot | Apr 29–May 5, 2026 | 1,891 lv | Dem 48.0% Rep 46.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| RMG Research | Generic ballot | May 4–May 6, 2026 | 2,000 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 41.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| co/efficient rep sponsor | ME-2 | Apr 26–Apr 28, 2026 | 918 lv | Paul LePage 50.0% Dem 40.0% | R+10.0 | Source |
| co/efficient rep sponsor | ME-2 | Apr 26–Apr 28, 2026 | 918 lv | Paul LePage 50.0% Matthew Dunlap 40.0% | R+10.0 | Source |
| co/efficient rep sponsor | WA-3 | Apr 25–Apr 29, 2026 | 982 lv | John Braun 41.0% Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 34.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| co/efficient rep sponsor | TX-34 | Apr 25–Apr 29, 2026 | 777 lv | Eric Flores 41.0% Vicente Gonzalez 40.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| co/efficient rep sponsor | NM-2 | Apr 26–Apr 28, 2026 | 879 lv | Gabe Vasquez 43.0% Greg Cunningham 41.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| co/efficient rep sponsor | NC-1 | Apr 25–Apr 29, 2026 | 842 lv | Don Davis 41.0% Laurie Buckhout 41.0% | Even | Source |
| Focaldata | Generic ballot | May 1–May 5, 2026 | 3,612 a | Dem 46.4% Rep 38.8% | D+7.7 | Source |
| Focaldata | Generic ballot | May 1–May 5, 2026 | 3,167 rv | Dem 49.0% Rep 42.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | May 8–May 11, 2026 | 993 rv | Dem 41.0% Rep 35.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | May 8–May 11, 2026 | 1,254 a | Dem 36.0% Rep 31.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Tavern Research | Generic ballot | Apr 6–Apr 9, 2026 | n/a lv | Dem 44.0% Rep 43.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| CNN/SSRS | Generic ballot | Apr 30–May 4, 2026 | n/a rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 9–May 11, 2026 | 1,547 a | Dem 37.0% Rep 34.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 9–May 11, 2026 | 1,408 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| AtlasIntel | Generic ballot | May 4–May 7, 2026 | 2,069 a | Dem 54.6% Rep 40.1% | D+14.5 | Source |
| GBAO | Generic ballot | Apr 8–Apr 15, 2026 | 2,000 rv | Dem 48.0% Rep 40.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | KY-6 | Apr 24–Apr 25, 2026 | 675 rv | Ralph Alvarado 37.0% Zach Dembo 37.0% | Even | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | KY-6 | Apr 24–Apr 25, 2026 | 675 rv | Ralph Alvarado 37.0% Dem 36.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | KY-6 | Apr 24–Apr 25, 2026 | 675 rv | Zach Dembo 38.0% Rep 33.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | KY-6 | Apr 24–Apr 25, 2026 | 675 rv | Rep 37.0% Dem 36.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Generic ballot | May 5–May 6, 2026 | 1,500 lv | Dem 48.5% Rep 42.4% | D+6.1 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | MI-7 | Apr 24–Apr 25, 2026 | 519 rv | Dem 45.0% Tom Barrett 44.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | MI-7 | Apr 24–Apr 25, 2026 | 519 rv | Dem 46.0% Tom Barrett 45.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Upswing Research dem sponsor | MT-1 | Apr 30–May 5, 2026 | 401 lv | Aaron Flint 47.0% Dem 43.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Upswing Research dem sponsor | MT-1 | Apr 30–May 5, 2026 | 401 lv | Aaron Flint 48.0% Sam Forstag 43.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| Zenith Research ind sponsor | NE-1 | May 8–May 11, 2026 | 401 rv | Mike Flood 45.0% Chris Backemeyer 38.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Zenith Research ind sponsor | NE-1 | May 8–May 11, 2026 | 401 rv | Mike Flood 44.0% Ind 36.0% | — | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates rep sponsor | OH-9 | Apr 18–Apr 20, 2026 | 400 lv | Derek Merrin 47.0% Marcy Kaptur 43.0% Other 3.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 13–May 15, 2026 | 1,397 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Generic ballot | May 11–May 15, 2026 | 1,507 rv | Dem 49.7% Rep 39.5% | D+10.3 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | May 15–May 17, 2026 | 2,203 rv | Dem 46.9% Rep 40.9% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | May 11–May 17, 2026 | 28,525 rv | Dem 45.5% Rep 42.3% | D+3.1 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 15–May 18, 2026 | 1,543 a | Dem 40.0% Rep 35.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 15–May 18, 2026 | 1,375 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Echelon Insights | Generic ballot | May 14–May 18, 2026 | 1,008 lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Ipsos | Generic ballot | May 15–May 18, 2026 | 1,271 a | Dem 35.0% Rep 31.0% Other 4.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor | PA-10 | Apr 20–Apr 23, 2026 | 400 rv | Janelle Stelson 51.0% Scott Perry 45.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Pan Atlantic SMS Group dem sponsor | ME-2 | May 8–May 18, 2026 | 418 lv | Dem 49.0% Paul LePage 41.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Quinnipiac University | Generic ballot | May 14–May 18, 2026 | 1,106 rv | Dem 50.0% Rep 39.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| Data for Progress | Generic ballot | May 15–May 18, 2026 | 1,149 lv | Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| John Zogby Strategies | Generic ballot | May 21–May 22, 2026 | n/a lv | Dem 49.0% Rep 42.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Generic ballot | May 12–May 18, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Impact Research/ National Research Inc. | Generic ballot | May 7–May 18, 2026 | 1,500 rv | Dem 48.0% Rep 40.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Impact Research/ National Research Inc. | Generic ballot | May 7–May 18, 2026 | 2,000 a | Dem 51.0% Rep 35.0% | D+16.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | May 18–May 19, 2026 | 1,520 a | Dem 51.0% Rep 41.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| Verasight | Generic ballot | May 18–May 19, 2026 | 1,413 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 43.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | May 18–May 24, 2026 | 29,255 rv | Dem 45.5% Rep 42.3% | D+3.2 | Source |
| Cygnal Political rep sponsor | Generic ballot | May 4–May 7, 2026 | 1,500 lv | Dem 47.9% Rep 40.8% | D+7.1 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 22–May 26, 2026 | 1,514 a | Dem 39.0% Rep 33.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 22–May 26, 2026 | 1,393 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 41.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Generic ballot | May 24–May 25, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Dem 49.8% Rep 41.3% | D+8.5 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | FL-13 | May 19–May 20, 2026 | 616 rv | Anna Paulina Luna 41.0% Leela Gray 39.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Z to A Research dem sponsor | NJ-7 | May 24–May 26, 2026 | 430 lv | Dem 46.0% Thomas Kean Jr. 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Z to A Research dem sponsor | NJ-7 | May 24–May 26, 2026 | 430 lv | Rebecca Bennett 47.0% Thomas Kean Jr. 43.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | May 24–May 27, 2026 | 3,121 rv | Dem 49.5% Rep 37.1% | D+12.4 | Source |
| Big Data Poll | Generic ballot | May 24–May 27, 2026 | 2,784 lv | Dem 51.4% Rep 38.3% | D+13.1 | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | WI-6 | May 18–May 28, 2026 | 437 lv | Glenn Grothman 55.0% Ind 45.0% | — | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | WI-6 | May 18–May 28, 2026 | 437 lv | Glenn Grothman 61.0% Brad Smith 39.0% | R+22.0 | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | AK-1 | May 18–May 27, 2026 | 452 lv | Nick Begich III 52.0% Bill Hill 48.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | AK-1 | May 18–May 27, 2026 | 452 lv | Nick Begich III 55.0% Dem 45.0% | — | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | WA-5 | May 18–May 25, 2026 | 578 lv | Ind 53.0% Michael Baumgartner 47.0% | — | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | WA-5 | May 18–May 25, 2026 | 578 lv | Michael Baumgartner 53.0% Carmela Conroy 47.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | WA-5 | May 18–May 25, 2026 | 578 lv | Michael Baumgartner 54.0% Dem 46.0% | R+8.0 | Source |
| Tavern Research ind sponsor | WA-5 | May 18–May 25, 2026 | 578 lv | Michael Baumgartner 54.0% Dem 46.0% | R+8.0 | Source |
| TIPP Insights | Generic ballot | May 26–May 28, 2026 | 1,332 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 41.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Morning Consult | Generic ballot | May 25–May 31, 2026 | n/a rv | Dem 45.4% Rep 42.2% | D+3.2 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 29–Jun 1, 2026 | 1,603 a | Dem 41.0% Rep 35.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Generic ballot | May 29–Jun 1, 2026 | 1,452 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| HarrisX/Harris Poll | Generic ballot | May 29–May 31, 2026 | 1,725 rv | Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Marquette University Law School | Generic ballot | May 20–May 26, 2026 | 1,001 a | Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Marquette University Law School | Generic ballot | May 20–May 26, 2026 | 779 rv | Dem 46.0% Rep 45.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Marquette University Law School | Generic ballot | May 20–May 26, 2026 | 576 lv | Dem 49.0% Rep 48.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| FM3 Research dem sponsor | MO-2 | May 26–May 31, 2026 | 600 lv | Ann Wagner 44.0% Fred Wellman 41.0% | R+3.0 | Source |