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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 4, 2026, 10:30 PM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 8 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Impact Research dem sponsor WI-3 May 26–May 31, 2026 500 lv Rebecca Cooke 50.0% Derrick Van Orden 46.0% D+4.0 Source
Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov Generic ballot May 19–May 26, 2026 862 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 37.0% Other 2.0% D+4.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot May 29–Jun 2, 2026 1,200 a Dem 41.0% Rep 34.0% Ind 11.0% D+7.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot May 29–Jun 2, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 36.0% Ind 11.0% D+6.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 16, 2026 1,200 a Dem 41.0% Rep 31.0% D+10.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot Feb 13–Feb 16, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 35.0% D+11.0 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Jun 1–Jun 2, 2026 894 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 42.3% D+4.7 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Jun 1–Jun 4, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot May 29–Jun 1, 2026 1,719 a Dem 45.0% Rep 41.9% D+3.1 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot May 29–Jun 1, 2026 1,537 rv Dem 47.6% Rep 43.1% D+4.5 Source
Change Research ind sponsor AK-1 Mar 17–Mar 20, 2026 624 lv Nick Begich III 44.8% Bill Hill 13.0% Dem 3.8% R+31.8 Source
Change Research ind sponsor WI-6 Mar 17–Mar 20, 2026 640 lv Glenn Grothman 41.7% Ind 37.7% — Source
GBAO dem sponsor MI-4 May 28–Jun 1, 2026 500 lv Sean McCann 48.0% Bill Huizenga 45.0% D+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jun 3–Jun 8, 2026 3,578 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 37.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 5–Jun 8, 2026 1,567 a Dem 37.0% Rep 33.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 5–Jun 8, 2026 1,437 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 1–Jun 7, 2026 29,264 rv Dem 45.8% Rep 41.9% D+3.9 Source
The Argument/Verasight Generic ballot May 29–Jun 3, 2026 3,008 rv Dem 53.0% Rep 47.0% D+6.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Jun 2–Jun 3, 2026 1,500 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Jun 7–Jun 8, 2026 1,200 lv Dem 50.3% Rep 39.5% D+10.8 Source
HarrisX Generic ballot May 20–Jun 7, 2026 2,010 a Dem 43.0% Rep 42.0% D+1.0 Source
HarrisX Generic ballot May 20–Jun 7, 2026 n/a rv Dem 44.0% Rep 43.0% D+1.0 Source
HarrisX Generic ballot May 20–Jun 7, 2026 n/a lv Dem 46.0% Rep 45.0% D+1.0 Source
Noble Predictive Insights Generic ballot Jun 1–Jun 4, 2026 2,585 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 41.0% D+6.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot May 28–Jun 5, 2026 1,045 lv Dem 48.0% Rep 45.0% D+3.0 Source
Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot May 29–Jun 7, 2026 2,400 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Research Co. Generic ballot Jun 4–Jun 6, 2026 1,001 a Dem 38.0% Rep 33.0% Other 8.0% D+5.0 Source
Change Research Generic ballot May 5–May 10, 2026 2,244 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 15, 2026 1,195 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 38.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 13–Jun 15, 2026 1,547 a Dem 39.0% Rep 36.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 13–Jun 15, 2026 1,402 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% D+2.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 1,012 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 44.0% D+6.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor TN-5 May 11–May 13, 2026 558 lv Rep 47.0% Chaz Molder 41.0% R+6.0 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Jun 16–Jun 17, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 16, 2026 1,200 a Dem 43.0% Rep 34.0% D+9.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot Jun 12–Jun 16, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 44.0% Rep 36.0% D+8.0 Source
Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor AZ-6 Jun 8–Jun 11, 2026 500 lv JoAnna Mendoza 47.0% Juan Ciscomani 45.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 19–Jun 22, 2026 1,679 a Dem 38.0% Rep 35.0% D+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 19–Jun 22, 2026 1,517 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 43.0% D+2.0 Source
GBAO dem sponsor OH-7 Jun 16–Jun 20, 2026 500 lv Max Miller 44.0% Brian Poindexter 43.0% R+1.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jun 18–Jun 22, 2026 1,262 a Dem 35.0% Rep 31.0% Other 3.0% D+4.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jun 18–Jun 22, 2026 978 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 36.0% Other 3.0% D+5.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Jun 18–Jun 22, 2026 1,003 lv Dem 51.0% Rep 45.0% D+6.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jun 9–Jun 15, 2026 1,514 a Dem 44.0% Rep 41.0% D+3.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jun 9–Jun 15, 2026 1,166 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 45.0% D+2.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jun 9–Jun 15, 2026 827 lv Dem 53.0% Rep 45.0% D+8.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Jun 17–Jun 22, 2026 2,087 a Dem 48.0% Rep 42.0% D+6.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Jun 17–Jun 22, 2026 1,896 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 43.0% D+7.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 19–Jun 22, 2026 n/a rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
Quinnipiac University Generic ballot Jun 18–Jun 22, 2026 1,165 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 42.0% D+7.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor PA-8 Jun 8–Jun 11, 2026 500 lv Paige Cognetti 46.0% Rob Bresnahan 45.0% D+1.0 Source
GBAO dem sponsor AZ-2 Jun 11–Jun 15, 2026 500 lv Eli Crane 44.0% Jonathan Nez 41.0% Other 7.0% R+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor FL-7 May 20–May 21, 2026 570 rv Bale Dalton 41.0% Rep 39.0% D+2.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 8–Jun 14, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.8% Rep 41.9% D+3.9 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 15–Jun 21, 2026 n/a rv Dem 45.6% Rep 42.0% D+3.6 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Jun 17–Jun 23, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% D+3.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor NY-21 May 26–May 31, 2026 500 lv Anthony Constantino 45.0% Blake Gendebien 44.0% R+1.0 Source
Lake Research Partners dem sponsor PA-8 Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 400 lv Paige Cognetti 47.0% Rob Bresnahan 45.0% D+2.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 28, 2026 2,202 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
ActiVote Generic ballot Jun 6–Jun 28, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 52.6% Rep 47.4% D+5.2 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 28, 2026 2,971 rv Dem 47.4% Rep 39.0% D+8.4 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 28, 2026 2,604 lv Dem 50.2% Rep 41.0% D+9.2 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor MT-1 Jun 22–Jun 25, 2026 500 lv Sam Forstag 44.0% Rep 5.0% D+39.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 29, 2026 1,603 a Dem 37.0% Rep 35.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 29, 2026 1,426 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 42.0% D+3.0 Source
University of New Hampshire VT-1 Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 872 lv Becca Balint 57.0% Gerald Malloy 26.0% Ind 1.0% D+31.0 Source
University of New Hampshire VT-1 Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 871 lv Becca Balint 57.0% Rep 26.0% Ind 1.0% D+31.0 Source
The New York Times/Siena University AK-1 Jun 15–Jun 29, 2026 593 lv Nick Begich III 51.1% Dem 39.2% — Source
The Winston Group rep sponsor Generic ballot May 30–Jun 2, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 41.0% D+7.0 Source
St. Anselm NH-2 Jun 24–Jun 25, 2026 802 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 31.0% D+19.0 Source
Bedrock Polling Generic ballot May 17–May 18, 2026 1,010 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 43.0% D+2.0 Source
Pulse Decision Science rep sponsor TX-28 Jun 21–Jun 23, 2026 400 lv Tano Tijerina 46.0% Henry Cuellar 38.0% R+8.0 Source
Pulse Decision Science rep sponsor TX-28 Jun 21–Jun 23, 2026 400 lv Tano Tijerina 42.0% Henry Cuellar 33.0% R+9.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor NC-1 Jun 22–Jun 28, 2026 500 lv Don Davis 45.0% Laurie Buckhout 41.0% D+4.0 Source
AlphaROC Generic ballot Jun 27–Jun 28, 2026 1,000 a Dem 43.1% Rep 36.5% D+6.6 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 22–Jun 28, 2026 n/a rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 25–Jun 26, 2026 1,797 rv Dem 45.0% Rep 39.0% D+6.0 Source
Ragnar Research Partners rep sponsor TX-34 Jun 14–Jun 16, 2026 400 lv Eric Flores 44.0% Vicente Gonzalez 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Talker Research Generic ballot Jun 25–Jul 2, 2026 2,000 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 39.0% D+9.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 30, 2026 1,750 rv Dem 48.8% Rep 42.0% D+6.8 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Jun 26–Jun 30, 2026 2,016 a Dem 47.2% Rep 39.1% D+8.1 Source
FM3 Research dem sponsor WI-3 Jun 20–Jun 25, 2026 535 lv Rebecca Cooke 50.0% Derrick Van Orden 46.0% D+4.0 Source
Beacon Insights dem sponsor FL-25 May 1–May 2, 2026 461 rv Jared Moskowitz 42.9% Scott Singer 32.7% D+10.2 Source
Beacon Insights dem sponsor FL-25 May 1–May 2, 2026 461 rv Jared Moskowitz 40.1% Rep 38.5% D+1.6 Source
Data for Progress dem sponsor MI-7 Jun 24–Jun 30, 2026 772 lv William Lawrence 48.0% Tom Barrett 46.0% D+2.0 Source
Data for Progress dem sponsor MI-7 Jun 24–Jun 30, 2026 772 lv Tom Barrett 46.0% Dem 45.0% R+1.0 Source
Data for Progress dem sponsor MI-7 Jun 24–Jun 30, 2026 772 lv Tom Barrett 47.0% Dem 46.0% R+1.0 Source
Applecart dem sponsor TX-15 May 18–May 25, 2026 802 lv Bobby Pulido 48.0% Monica De La Cruz 46.0% D+2.0 Source
J.L. Partners Generic ballot Jun 24–Jun 26, 2026 625 lv Dem 49.9% Rep 42.4% D+7.5 Source
FM3 Research dem sponsor WI-3 Jun 20–Jun 25, 2026 535 lv Rebecca Cooke 50.0% Derrick Van Orden 46.0% D+4.0 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor OH-15 Jun 23–Jun 25, 2026 550 lv Mike Carey 45.0% Don Leonard 40.0% Other 3.0% R+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 3–Jul 6, 2026 1,602 a Dem 39.0% Rep 35.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 3–Jul 6, 2026 1,442 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% D+3.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor AL-2 Jun 22–Jun 25, 2026 400 lv Rhett Marques 45.0% Shomari Figures 44.0% R+1.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jun 29–Jul 5, 2026 30,997 rv Dem 45.4% Rep 42.1% D+3.3 Source
FM3 Research dem sponsor NY-17 Jun 27–Jul 1, 2026 509 lv Cait Conley 51.0% Mike Lawler 45.0% D+6.0 Source
Cygnal Political Generic ballot Jun 30–Jul 1, 2026 1,500 lv Dem 49.9% Rep 43.8% D+6.1 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Jul 3–Jul 7, 2026 1,140 lv Dem 47.1% Rep 42.3% D+4.8 Source
GBAO dem sponsor PA-7 Jun 29–Jul 2, 2026 n/a lv Bob Brooks 47.0% Ryan Mackenzie 43.0% D+4.0 Source
Data for Progress Generic ballot May 15–Jun 21, 2026 5,809 lv Dem 51.0% Rep 44.0% D+7.0 Source