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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 4, 2026, 10:30 PM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 9 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Middle Seat dem sponsor FL-25 May 5–May 6, 2026 576 lv Dem 45.0% Scott Singer 33.0% D+12.0 Source
Middle Seat dem sponsor FL-25 May 5–May 6, 2026 576 lv Dem 43.0% Rep 34.0% D+9.0 Source
HarrisX Generic ballot Jul 9–Jul 10, 2026 1,019 rv Dem 52.0% Rep 48.0% D+4.0 Source
Zogby Analytics Generic ballot Jul 1–Jul 4, 2026 1,003 lv Dem 41.5% Rep 36.4% D+5.1 Source
GQR dem sponsor KY-6 Jun 24–Jun 28, 2026 n/a lv Ralph Alvarado 42.0% Zach Dembo 39.0% R+3.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jul 10–Jul 13, 2026 n/a rv Dem 46.0% Rep 43.0% D+3.0 Source
Emerson College dem sponsor WA-3 Jul 8–Jul 10, 2026 500 lv John Braun 43.0% Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 42.0% R+1.0 Source
Wedgewood Polls NV-2 Jul 9–Jul 12, 2026 350 lv Teresa Benitez-Thompson 48.0% Dave Flippo 46.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 10–Jul 13, 2026 1,612 a Dem 39.0% Rep 35.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 10–Jul 13, 2026 1,447 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Jul 11–Jul 12, 2026 1,776 rv Rep 50.0% Dem 50.0% Even Source
HarrisX/Harris Poll Generic ballot Jul 11–Jul 12, 2026 n/a lv Dem 51.0% Rep 49.0% D+2.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Jul 9–Jul 13, 2026 1,004 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 44.0% D+6.0 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Jul 13–Jul 14, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 45.0% D+2.0 Source
AlphaROC Generic ballot Jul 13–Jul 14, 2026 1,000 a Dem 42.1% Rep 37.3% Other 6.3% D+4.8 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jul 8–Jul 13, 2026 2,092 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 45.0% D+3.0 Source
St. Pete Polls FL-14 Jul 14–Jul 15, 2026 469 lv Kathy Castor 46.2% Mike Beltran 37.5% D+8.7 Source
St. Pete Polls FL-14 Jul 14–Jul 15, 2026 469 lv Kathy Castor 46.2% Rep 38.5% D+7.7 Source
Hart Research Associates/ Public Opinion Strategies Generic ballot Jul 8–Jul 12, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor ME-2 Jul 11–Jul 16, 2026 600 lv Matthew Dunlap 49.0% Paul LePage 48.0% D+1.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Jul 14–Jul 17, 2026 1,514 a Dem 48.0% Rep 42.0% D+6.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Jul 14–Jul 17, 2026 1,364 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 43.0% D+7.0 Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor CA-22 Jun 15–Jun 21, 2026 800 lv Randy Villegas 48.0% David Valadao 44.0% D+4.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 17–Jul 20, 2026 1,602 a Dem 39.0% Rep 33.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 17–Jul 20, 2026 1,432 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 41.0% D+5.0 Source
University of New Hampshire VT-1 Jul 15–Jul 20, 2026 949 lv Becca Balint 63.0% Gerald Malloy 25.0% Ind 2.0% D+38.0 Source
University of New Hampshire VT-1 Jul 15–Jul 20, 2026 948 lv Becca Balint 64.0% Rep 25.0% Ind 2.0% D+39.0 Source
Harper Polling rep sponsor MN-2 Jun 18–Jun 21, 2026 415 lv Dem 43.0% Eric Pratt 43.0% Even Source
Harper Polling rep sponsor MN-2 Jun 18–Jun 21, 2026 415 lv Dem 43.0% Eric Pratt 42.0% D+1.0 Source
Harper Polling rep sponsor MN-2 Jun 18–Jun 21, 2026 415 lv Matt Little 45.0% Eric Pratt 40.0% D+5.0 Source
FM3 Research dem sponsor OH-10 Jul 6–Jul 12, 2026 n/a lv Mike Turner 48.0% Kristina Knickerbocker 41.0% R+7.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Generic ballot Jul 17–Jul 20, 2026 1,003 rv Dem 53.0% Rep 46.0% D+7.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Jul 19–Jul 20, 2026 1,100 lv Dem 52.9% Rep 41.5% D+11.4 Source
J.L. Partners Generic ballot Jul 17–Jul 20, 2026 626 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 40.6% D+9.5 Source
Change Research Generic ballot Jun 10–Jun 17, 2026 1,714 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 38.0% D+5.0 Source
Change Research Generic ballot Jul 13–Jul 17, 2026 2,006 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 38.0% D+8.0 Source
SurveyUSA ind sponsor ID-1 Jul 7–Jul 14, 2026 480 lv Russ Fulcher 45.0% Kaylee Peterson 35.0% Sarah Zabel 6.0% R+10.0 Source
Pew Research Center Generic ballot Jul 6–Jul 12, 2026 2,779 rv Dem 43.0% Rep 37.0% D+6.0 Source
co/efficient NY-17 Jul 20–Jul 22, 2026 1,292 lv Mike Lawler 50.0% Cait Conley 45.0% R+5.0 Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor VA-2 Jul 9–Jul 13, 2026 700 lv Jen Kiggans 47.0% Elaine Luria 47.0% Even Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Jul 15–Jul 21, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 22–Jul 24, 2026 1,474 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 40.0% D+7.0 Source
Lake Research Partners dem sponsor CA-48 Jul 9–Jul 14, 2026 500 lv Marni von Wilpert 48.0% Jim Desmond 46.0% D+2.0 Source
Manhattan Institute Generic ballot Jul 1–Jul 6, 2026 1,121 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jul 24–Jul 26, 2026 1,003 rv Dem 40.0% Rep 38.0% Other 3.0% D+2.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jul 24–Jul 26, 2026 1,248 a Dem 36.0% Rep 32.0% Other 4.0% D+4.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group AK-1 Jul 13–Jul 16, 2026 546 lv Nick Begich III 46.0% Dem 32.0% Bill Hill 20.0% R+26.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group CA-6 Jul 13–Jul 16, 2026 741 lv Richard Pan 39.0% Kevin Kiley 35.0% D+4.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group IA-1 Jul 13–Jul 16, 2026 705 lv Christina Bohannan 40.0% Mariannette Miller-Meeks 35.0% Michael Bridgford 11.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 25–Jul 27, 2026 1,557 a Dem 40.0% Rep 34.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 25–Jul 27, 2026 1,405 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor CO-5 Jul 16–Jul 21, 2026 450 lv Jeff Crank 45.0% Jessica Killin 44.0% R+1.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jul 20–Jul 26, 2026 30,228 rv Dem 45.7% Rep 42.7% D+3.0 Source
CNN/SSRS Generic ballot Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026 914 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 39.0% D+8.0 Source
The Argument/Verasight Generic ballot Jul 20–Jul 26, 2026 3,000 rv Dem 54.0% Rep 46.0% D+8.0 Source
Quinnipiac University Generic ballot Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026 963 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 41.0% D+7.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor FL-8 Jul 17–Jul 18, 2026 633 rv Mike Haridopolos 44.0% Jennifer Jenkins 35.0% R+9.0 Source
Clarity Campaign Labs Generic ballot Jul 17–Jul 22, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 52.0% Rep 42.0% D+10.0 Source
Patriot Polling rep sponsor FL-2 Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026 922 lv Rep 62.2% Dem 35.1% R+27.1 Source
Patriot Polling rep sponsor FL-2 Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026 922 lv Rep 59.9% Dem 39.1% R+20.8 Source
Patriot Polling rep sponsor FL-2 Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026 922 lv Rep 60.9% Amanda Green 37.1% R+23.8 Source
Patriot Polling rep sponsor FL-2 Jul 22–Jul 26, 2026 922 lv Rep 58.5% Dem 39.1% R+19.4 Source
Keating Research, Inc. dem sponsor CO-3 Jul 21–Jul 23, 2026 500 lv Jeff Hurd 46.0% Dwayne Romero 45.0% R+1.0 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Jul 27–Jul 29, 2026 2,922 rv Dem 48.7% Rep 38.1% D+10.6 Source
Big Data Poll Generic ballot Jul 27–Jul 29, 2026 2,617 lv Dem 50.4% Rep 39.3% D+11.1 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor OH-10 Jul 20–Jul 23, 2026 700 lv Mike Turner 45.0% Kristina Knickerbocker 40.0% Other 4.0% R+5.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor OH-10 Jul 20–Jul 23, 2026 700 lv Mike Turner 49.0% Kristina Knickerbocker 42.0% R+7.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor FL-22 Jun 18–Jun 25, 2026 400 lv Rep 46.0% Pia Dandiya 45.0% R+1.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor SC-1 Jul 15–Jul 22, 2026 n/a lv Jenny Costa Honeycutt 43.0% Nancy Lacore 41.0% Other 2.0% R+2.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor SC-1 Jul 15–Jul 22, 2026 n/a lv Jenny Costa Honeycutt 50.0% Nancy Lacore 48.0% R+2.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Jul 14–Jul 20, 2026 2,064 a Dem 44.3% Rep 35.6% D+8.7 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jul 29–Aug 3, 2026 4,505 a Dem 36.0% Rep 30.0% Other 4.0% D+6.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Jul 29–Aug 3, 2026 3,542 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 37.0% Other 3.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 31–Aug 3, 2026 1,607 a Dem 41.0% Rep 33.0% D+8.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Jul 31–Aug 3, 2026 1,472 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 42.0% D+4.0 Source
Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor TX-15 Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026 n/a lv Bobby Pulido 51.0% Monica De La Cruz 45.0% D+6.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jul 22–Jul 29, 2026 886 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 44.0% D+2.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jul 22–Jul 29, 2026 573 lv Dem 51.0% Rep 45.0% D+6.0 Source
Marquette University Law School Generic ballot Jul 22–Jul 29, 2026 1,076 a Dem 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
MDW Communications dem sponsor FL-11 Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 1,044 lv Joe Strada 42.1% James Pericola 41.8% R+0.3 Source
Blueprint Polling dem sponsor SC-7 Jul 27–Jul 28, 2026 557 lv Russell Fry 41.1% John Vincent 36.7% R+4.4 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Aug 3–Aug 4, 2026 1,048 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 42.6% D+6.4 Source
Bedrock Polling Generic ballot May 20–May 24, 2026 1,776 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 41.0% D+5.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor IA-2 Jul 14–Jul 19, 2026 n/a lv Lindsay James 46.0% Joe Mitchell 45.0% D+1.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor IN-5 Jul 16–Jul 20, 2026 n/a lv Victoria Spartz 48.0% J. D. Ford 46.0% R+2.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group IL-4 Jul 31–Aug 3, 2026 653 rv Patty Garcia 34.0% Lupe Castillo 15.0% Chris Getty 9.0% Other 4.0% D+19.0 Source
John Zogby Strategies Generic ballot Aug 4–Aug 5, 2026 921 lv Dem 50.6% Rep 39.6% D+11.0 Source
DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor KY-6 Jul 29–Jul 30, 2026 474 lv Zach Dembo 47.0% Ralph Alvarado 47.0% Even Source
2040 Strategy Group dem sponsor AR-2 Apr 28–May 8, 2026 n/a lv Chris Jones 46.0% French Hill 43.0% D+3.0 Source
2040 Strategy Group dem sponsor AR-2 Apr 28–May 8, 2026 n/a rv Chris Jones 47.0% French Hill 41.0% D+6.0 Source
ActiVote Generic ballot Jul 29–Aug 8, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 52.5% Rep 47.5% D+5.0 Source
Tavern Research OH-7 Aug 4, 2026 635 lv Brian Poindexter 54.0% Max Miller 46.0% D+8.0 Source
RMG Research Generic ballot Jul 28–Aug 4, 2026 2,000 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 45.0% D+2.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 1,588 a Dem 40.0% Rep 32.0% D+8.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 1,419 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 40.0% D+6.0 Source
Alaska Survey Research AK-1 Aug 2–Aug 5, 2026 1,371 lv Bill Hill 33.2% Dem 14.7% Rep 4.2% I+29.0 Source
Alaska Survey Research AK-1 Aug 2–Aug 5, 2026 1,371 lv Nick Begich III 50.4% Bill Hill 34.4% Dem 15.2% R+16.0 Source
Survey 160 Generic ballot Jul 14–Jul 17, 2026 1,518 rv Dem 48.0% Rep 38.0% D+10.0 Source
AlphaROC Generic ballot Aug 8–Aug 10, 2026 1,000 a Dem 41.0% Rep 37.3% Ind 5.8% D+3.7 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor WI-1 Aug 6–Aug 9, 2026 400 lv Bryan Steil 49.0% Mitchell Berman 48.0% R+1.0 Source