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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 10 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Bedrock Polling dem sponsor OH-7 Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 866 lv Brian Poindexter 43.0% Max Miller 35.0% D+8.0 Source
GBAO ind sponsor AK-1 Aug 3–Aug 5, 2026 500 lv Nick Begich III 46.0% Bill Hill 42.0% R+4.0 Source
Change Research ind sponsor ID-1 Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 n/a lv Russ Fulcher 46.0% Kaylee Peterson 25.0% Sarah Zabel 4.0% Other 2.0% R+21.0 Source
Change Research ind sponsor ID-1 Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 n/a lv Russ Fulcher 46.0% Sarah Zabel 25.0% Other 3.0% — Source
Cygnal Generic ballot Aug 6–Aug 7, 2026 1,500 lv Dem 48.8% Rep 41.9% D+6.9 Source
SurveyUSA NY-21 Aug 4–Aug 8, 2026 612 lv Blake Gendebien 43.0% Anthony Constantino 39.0% Ind 5.0% D+4.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor NY-18 Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026 500 lv Pat Ryan 53.0% Jacqueline Auringer 39.0% D+14.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor FL-13 Aug 4–Aug 6, 2026 500 lv Anna Paulina Luna 47.0% Leela Gray 44.0% Ind 4.0% R+3.0 Source
DCCC Targeting Team dem sponsor AL-2 Jul 29–Jul 30, 2026 421 lv Rhett Marques 46.0% Shomari Figures 46.0% Even Source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates rep sponsor FL-13 Aug 4–Aug 6, 2026 400 lv Anna Paulina Luna 49.0% Leela Gray 41.0% R+8.0 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 2,152 a Dem 47.5% Rep 41.1% D+6.4 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 1,913 rv Dem 48.8% Rep 43.2% D+5.6 Source
Focaldata Generic ballot Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026 1,857 lv Dem 51.4% Rep 45.3% D+6.1 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor OH-15 Aug 6–Aug 9, 2026 401 lv Mike Carey 41.0% Don Leonard 37.0% Other 10.0% R+4.0 Source
Data for Progress AK-1 Jul 28–Aug 4, 2026 605 lv Nick Begich III 47.0% Bill Hill 37.0% R+10.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026 1,166 a Dem 35.0% Rep 30.0% Other 4.0% D+5.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026 876 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 36.0% Other 4.0% D+5.0 Source
Expedition Strategies dem sponsor VA-5 Jul 29–Aug 1, 2026 602 lv John McGuire 47.0% Tom Perriello 44.0% R+3.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026 1,610 a Dem 39.0% Rep 32.0% D+7.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026 1,449 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 39.0% D+7.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026 1,200 a Dem 40.0% Rep 35.0% Ind 10.0% D+5.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026 1,000 rv Dem 42.0% Rep 37.0% Ind 10.0% D+5.0 Source
Echelon Insights Generic ballot Aug 13–Aug 17, 2026 1,004 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 44.0% D+6.0 Source
Hendrix College AR-2 Aug 11–Aug 12, 2026 1,112 lv Chris Jones 48.0% French Hill 44.0% D+4.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor PA-1 Aug 5–Aug 9, 2026 500 lv Brian Fitzpatrick 47.0% Bob Harvie 43.0% R+4.0 Source
J.L. Partners NY-21 Aug 15–Aug 17, 2026 500 lv Anthony Constantino 53.0% Blake Gendebien 40.0% R+13.0 Source
Emerson College Generic ballot Aug 16–Aug 17, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 50.7% Rep 43.0% D+7.6 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor MI-7 Aug 11–Aug 13, 2026 n/a lv William Lawrence 49.0% Tom Barrett 47.0% D+2.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Aug 10–Aug 16, 2026 29,685 rv Dem 46.2% Rep 42.3% D+3.9 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Aug 3–Aug 9, 2026 29,719 rv Dem 46.5% Rep 42.4% D+4.1 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 29,168 rv Dem 46.2% Rep 42.1% D+4.1 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jul 13–Jul 19, 2026 30,070 rv Dem 45.7% Rep 42.7% D+3.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Jul 6–Jul 12, 2026 30,858 rv Dem 45.5% Rep 42.8% D+2.7 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot May 4–May 10, 2026 28,573 rv Dem 45.4% Rep 42.3% D+3.1 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Apr 27–May 3, 2026 27,846 rv Dem 45.6% Rep 42.7% D+2.9 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Dec 22–Dec 28, 2025 22,258 rv Dem 43.8% Rep 43.5% D+0.3 Source
Tavern Research FL-22 Aug 10–Aug 12, 2026 551 lv Pia Dandiya 50.0% Casey Askar 50.0% Even Source
St. Anselm NH-2 Aug 17–Aug 18, 2026 701 lv Dem 50.0% Rep 35.0% D+15.0 Source
Noble Predictive Insights Generic ballot Aug 12–Aug 16, 2026 2,533 rv Dem 47.0% Rep 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 1,215 a Dem 35.0% Rep 29.0% Other 4.0% D+6.0 Source
Ipsos Generic ballot Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 951 rv Dem 41.0% Rep 35.0% Other 4.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 1,534 a Dem 37.0% Rep 31.0% D+6.0 Source
YouGov Generic ballot Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 1,377 rv Dem 46.0% Rep 40.0% D+6.0 Source
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center TX-15 Aug 18–Aug 22, 2026 700 lv Bobby Pulido 50.0% Monica De La Cruz 45.0% D+5.0 Source
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center TX-28 Aug 18–Aug 22, 2026 600 lv Henry Cuellar 45.0% Tano Tijerina 34.0% Other 6.0% D+11.0 Source
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center TX-34 Aug 18–Aug 22, 2026 700 lv Vicente Gonzalez 45.0% Eric Flores 42.0% Other 2.0% D+3.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 19, 2026 1,378 rv Dem 49.0% Rep 43.0% D+6.0 Source
Verasight Generic ballot Aug 14–Aug 19, 2026 1,514 a Dem 48.0% Rep 41.0% D+7.0 Source
ActiVote Generic ballot Aug 10–Aug 24, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 51.7% Rep 48.3% D+3.4 Source
McLaughlin & Associates Generic ballot Aug 18–Aug 24, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 48.0% Rep 43.0% D+5.0 Source
Quantus Insights OH-1 Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 509 lv Greg Landsman 47.9% Eric Conroy 44.6% D+3.3 Source
Angus Reid Global Generic ballot Aug 8–Aug 11, 2026 1,525 a Dem 45.0% Rep 36.0% D+9.0 Source
Angus Reid Global Generic ballot Aug 8–Aug 11, 2026 1,132 lv Dem 47.0% Rep 38.0% D+9.0 Source
Lake Research Partners dem sponsor KY-6 Aug 17–Aug 23, 2026 n/a lv Zach Dembo 45.0% Ralph Alvarado 44.0% D+1.0 Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor NC-3 Jul 27–Aug 2, 2026 n/a lv Greg Murphy 44.0% Raymond Smith Jr. 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Z to A Research dem sponsor MD-1 Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026 482 lv Andy Harris 52.0% Dan Schwartz 39.0% R+13.0 Source
Quantus Insights Generic ballot Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 1,200 lv Dem 49.7% Rep 42.8% D+6.9 Source
Alaska Survey Research AK-1 Aug 20–Aug 23, 2026 1,872 lv Nick Begich III 50.6% Bill Hill 39.1% Dem 4.6% R+11.5 Source
GQR dem sponsor PA-1 Aug 19–Aug 23, 2026 400 lv Brian Fitzpatrick 49.0% Bob Harvie 48.0% R+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor NC-7 Aug 19–Aug 20, 2026 517 rv David Rouzer 45.0% Kim Hardy 39.0% Other 3.0% R+6.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor NC-7 Aug 19–Aug 20, 2026 517 rv David Rouzer 49.0% Kim Hardy 43.0% R+6.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor MI-10 Aug 10–Aug 13, 2026 600 lv Michael Bouchard Jr. 45.0% Christina Hines 45.0% Even Source
Impact Research dem sponsor TN-5 Aug 19–Aug 24, 2026 500 lv Charlie Hatcher 48.0% Chaz Molder 40.0% Ind 0.0% R+8.0 Source
Wave Polling and Research/Verasight Generic ballot Aug 7–Aug 11, 2026 1,591 rv Dem 50.0% Rep 43.0% D+7.0 Source
Morning Consult Generic ballot Aug 24–Aug 30, 2026 28,429 rv Dem 47.1% Rep 42.3% D+4.8 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Apr 21–Apr 25, 2023 1,261 lv Mary Peltola 44.0% Dan Sullivan 41.0% D+3.0 Source
SurveyUSA Massachusetts Senate Feb 28–Mar 4, 2025 775 rv Ed Markey 45.0% John Deaton 26.0% D+19.0 Source
MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts Senate Oct 29–Nov 1, 2024 582 lv Rep 40.0% Ed Markey 34.0% R+6.0 Source
Victory Insights North Carolina Senate Nov 26–Nov 29, 2024 800 lv Roy Cooper 45.5% Rep 44.3% D+1.2 Source
Victory Insights North Carolina Senate Nov 26–Nov 29, 2024 800 lv Roy Cooper 45.1% Rep 44.1% D+1.0 Source
WPA Intelligence rep sponsor Georgia Senate Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025 500 lv Rep 46.0% Jon Ossoff 40.0% R+6.0 Source
WPA Intelligence rep sponsor Georgia Senate Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025 500 lv Jon Ossoff 47.0% Rep 31.0% D+16.0 Source
WPA Intelligence rep sponsor Georgia Senate Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025 500 lv Jon Ossoff 44.0% Rep 33.0% D+11.0 Source
WPA Intelligence rep sponsor Georgia Senate Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025 500 lv Jon Ossoff 45.0% Rep 32.0% D+13.0 Source
WPA Intelligence rep sponsor Georgia Senate Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025 500 lv Jon Ossoff 44.0% Mike Collins 34.0% D+10.0 Source
WPA Intelligence rep sponsor Georgia Senate Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025 500 lv Jon Ossoff 46.0% Rep 32.0% D+14.0 Source
Responsive Management Virginia Senate Dec 18, 2024–Jan 15, 2025 806 a Mark Warner 45.0% Rep 38.0% D+7.0 Source
The Tyson Group Georgia Senate Jan 30–Jan 31, 2025 600 lv Rep 49.0% Jon Ossoff 42.0% R+7.0 Source
The Tyson Group Georgia Senate Jan 30–Jan 31, 2025 600 lv Jon Ossoff 47.0% Rep 39.0% D+8.0 Source
The Tyson Group Georgia Senate Jan 30–Jan 31, 2025 600 lv Jon Ossoff 51.0% Rep 39.0% D+12.0 Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor Georgia Senate Feb 11–Feb 13, 2025 800 rv Rep 48.3% Jon Ossoff 44.5% R+3.8 Source
YouGov Massachusetts Senate Feb 14–Feb 20, 2025 700 a Ed Markey 35.0% Rep 33.0% D+2.0 Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov Ohio Senate Feb 14–Feb 21, 2025 800 rv Jon Husted 47.0% Sherrod Brown 41.0% R+6.0 Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov Ohio Senate Feb 14–Feb 21, 2025 800 rv Jon Husted 45.0% Dem 38.0% R+7.0 Source
Praecones Analytica New Hampshire Senate Feb 26–Mar 1, 2025 626 rv Rep 54.4% Dem 45.6% R+8.8 Source
Praecones Analytica New Hampshire Senate Feb 26–Mar 1, 2025 626 rv Dem 55.1% Scott Brown 44.9% D+10.2 Source
Praecones Analytica New Hampshire Senate Feb 26–Mar 1, 2025 626 rv Dem 58.9% Rep 41.1% D+17.8 Source
Target Insyght Michigan Senate Mar 3–Mar 6, 2025 600 rv Dem 42.0% Mike Rogers 41.0% D+1.0 Source
Target Insyght Michigan Senate Mar 3–Mar 6, 2025 600 rv Mike Rogers 41.0% Dem 35.0% R+6.0 Source
Target Insyght Michigan Senate Mar 3–Mar 6, 2025 600 rv Dem 46.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% D+2.0 Source
Public Policy Polling North Carolina Senate Mar 4–Mar 5, 2025 662 rv Roy Cooper 47.0% Rep 43.0% D+4.0 Source
Quantus Insights rep sponsor New Hampshire Senate Mar 17–Mar 19, 2025 650 rv Rep 53.0% Chris Pappas 44.0% R+9.0 Source
Change Research dem sponsor North Carolina Senate Mar 31–Apr 4, 2025 867 lv Roy Cooper 48.0% Rep 45.0% D+3.0 Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov Ohio Senate Apr 18–Apr 24, 2025 800 rv Jon Husted 49.0% Sherrod Brown 46.0% R+3.0 Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov Ohio Senate Apr 18–Apr 24, 2025 800 rv Jon Husted 50.0% Dem 44.0% R+6.0 Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor Georgia Senate Apr 24–Apr 27, 2025 1,426 lv Jon Ossoff 47.5% Mike Collins 42.8% D+4.7 Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor Georgia Senate Apr 24–Apr 27, 2025 1,426 lv Jon Ossoff 48.3% Rep 36.5% D+11.8 Source
Trafalgar Group rep sponsor Georgia Senate Apr 24–Apr 27, 2025 1,426 lv Jon Ossoff 46.4% Rep 37.5% D+8.9 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate May 5–May 8, 2025 600 rv Mike Rogers 46.9% Abdul El-Sayed 40.8% R+6.1 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate May 5–May 8, 2025 600 rv Mike Rogers 45.9% Dem 41.6% R+4.3 Source