Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Sep 5, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,469 polls in the corpus · page 15 of 15
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls | ||||||
| YouGov Blue | Texas Senate | Jul 15–Jul 31, 2026 | 1,001 lv | James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 45.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Siena University | Texas Senate | Jul 27–Jul 30, 2026 | 619 lv | James Talarico 47.0% Ken Paxton 43.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| 2040 Strategy Group dem sponsor | Arkansas Senate | Jul 17–Jul 25, 2026 | 586 lv | Tom Cotton 46.0% Hallie Shoffner 43.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | Kansas Senate | Jul 8–Jul 13, 2026 | 600 lv | Roger Marshall 47.0% Adam Hamilton 43.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Change Research dem sponsor | North Carolina Senate | Aug 3–Aug 6, 2026 | 915 lv | Roy Cooper 50.1% Michael Whatley 42.9% | D+7.1 | Source |
| Change Research dem sponsor | North Carolina Senate | Jul 29–Aug 1, 2026 | 967 rv | Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 41.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| Alaska Survey Research | Alaska Senate | Aug 2–Aug 5, 2026 | 1,371 lv | Mary Peltola 50.8% Dan Sullivan 49.2% | D+1.6 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Jul 23–Jul 31, 2026 | 800 a | Roy Cooper 47.0% Michael Whatley 33.0% Other 1.0% | D+14.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Jul 23–Jul 31, 2026 | 717 rv | Roy Cooper 51.0% Michael Whatley 35.0% Other 2.0% | D+16.0 | Source |
| YouGov | North Carolina Senate | Jul 23–Jul 31, 2026 | 466 lv | Roy Cooper 53.0% Michael Whatley 42.0% Other 1.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| Tulchin Research dem sponsor | Ohio Senate | Jul 29–Aug 4, 2026 | 600 lv | Sherrod Brown 47.0% Jon Husted 43.0% Ind 2.0% Other 2.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Kansas Senate | Aug 7–Aug 8, 2026 | n/a rv | Roger Marshall 46.0% Adam Hamilton 45.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates ind sponsor | Montana Senate | Aug 1–Aug 4, 2026 | 800 lv | Kurt Alme 45.0% Seth Bodnar 30.0% Alani Bankhead 15.0% Other 6.0% | R+30.0 | Source |
| Hart Research Associates ind sponsor | Montana Senate | Aug 1–Aug 4, 2026 | 800 lv | Kurt Alme 46.0% Seth Bodnar 46.0% | — | Source |
| Hart Research Associates ind sponsor | Montana Senate | Aug 1–Aug 4, 2026 | 800 lv | Kurt Alme 52.0% Alani Bankhead 38.0% | R+14.0 | Source |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Maine Senate | Aug 6–Aug 10, 2026 | 1,000 rv | Troy Jackson 48.0% Susan Collins 46.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Texas Senate | Aug 9–Aug 10, 2026 | 1,000 lv | Ken Paxton 47.3% James Talarico 46.3% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Harper Polling | North Carolina Senate | Aug 9–Aug 10, 2026 | 600 lv | Roy Cooper 51.5% Michael Whatley 39.0% | D+12.5 | Source |
| The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor | Idaho Senate | Aug 4–Aug 7, 2026 | 608 lv | Jim Risch 34.0% Todd Achilles 30.0% Other 4.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor | Idaho Senate | Aug 4–Aug 7, 2026 | 608 lv | Todd Achilles 38.0% Jim Risch 33.0% | I+5.0 | Source |
| Change Research ind sponsor | Idaho Senate | Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 | n/a lv | Jim Risch 42.0% Dem 13.0% Ind 3.0% Other 1.0% | R+39.0 | Source |
| Change Research ind sponsor | Idaho Senate | Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 | n/a lv | Jim Risch 43.0% Ind 8.0% Other 2.0% | R+35.0 | Source |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Ohio Senate | Aug 6–Aug 10, 2026 | 1,008 rv | Sherrod Brown 53.0% Jon Husted 45.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Michigan Senate | Aug 6–Aug 10, 2026 | 1,006 rv | Mike Rogers 51.0% Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Wedgewood Polls | Ohio Senate | Aug 11–Aug 13, 2026 | 800 lv | Sherrod Brown 48.0% Jon Husted 44.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Peak Insights rep sponsor | Idaho Senate | Aug 11–Aug 13, 2026 | 500 lv | Jim Risch 52.0% Ind 9.0% Other 2.0% | R+43.0 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | Michigan Senate | Aug 6–Aug 10, 2026 | 800 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 50.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Massachusetts Senate | Aug 5–Aug 12, 2026 | 800 rv | Ed Markey 51.0% John Deaton 30.0% | D+21.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Massachusetts Senate | Aug 5–Aug 12, 2026 | 800 rv | Dem 49.0% John Deaton 25.0% | D+24.0 | Source |
| Data for Progress | Alaska Senate | Jul 28–Aug 4, 2026 | 605 lv | Mary Peltola 47.0% Rep 3.0% | D+44.0 | Source |
| Data for Progress | Alaska Senate | Jul 28–Aug 4, 2026 | 578 lv | Mary Peltola 49.0% Rep 3.0% | D+46.0 | Source |
| Data for Progress | Alaska Senate | Jul 28–Aug 4, 2026 | 567 lv | Mary Peltola 53.0% Dan Sullivan 47.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| InsiderAdvantage | Georgia Senate | Aug 16–Aug 17, 2026 | 800 lv | Jon Ossoff 50.1% Mike Collins 42.6% | D+7.5 | Source |
| Hendrix College | Arkansas Senate | Aug 11–Aug 12, 2026 | 1,217 lv | Hallie Shoffner 47.4% Tom Cotton 44.0% Other 3.0% | D+3.4 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Michigan Senate | Aug 6–Aug 10, 2026 | 1,528 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 42.6% Mike Rogers 39.2% | D+3.4 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Michigan Senate | Aug 6–Aug 10, 2026 | 1,215 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 45.4% Mike Rogers 42.3% | D+3.2 | Source |
| J.L. Partners | Arkansas Senate | Aug 14–Aug 18, 2026 | 803 lv | Tom Cotton 51.0% Hallie Shoffner 35.0% Other 4.0% | R+16.0 | Source |
| SurveyUSA | Minnesota Senate | Aug 13–Aug 17, 2026 | 661 lv | Dem 46.0% Rep 41.0% Ind 1.0% Other 1.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. | Michigan Senate | Aug 11–Aug 17, 2026 | 800 rv | Abdul El-Sayed 46.0% Mike Rogers 39.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Cole Hargrave | Oklahoma Senate | Aug 3–Aug 6, 2026 | 500 rv | Kevin Hern 49.0% Dem 25.0% Other 3.0% Ind 1.0% | R+24.0 | Source |
| Cole Hargrave | Oklahoma Senate | Aug 3–Aug 6, 2026 | 500 rv | Kevin Hern 48.0% Dem 27.0% Ind 5.0% Other 2.0% | R+21.0 | Source |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | Michigan Senate | Aug 9–Aug 11, 2026 | 877 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 48.0% Mike Rogers 47.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| St. Anselm | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 17–Aug 18, 2026 | 1,411 lv | Chris Pappas 49.0% Scott Brown 37.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| St. Anselm | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 17–Aug 18, 2026 | 1,411 lv | Chris Pappas 48.0% Rep 41.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| High Point University | North Carolina Senate | Aug 3–Aug 12, 2026 | 660 lv | Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 45.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| High Point University | North Carolina Senate | Aug 3–Aug 12, 2026 | 800 rv | Roy Cooper 48.0% Michael Whatley 41.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| YouGov | Texas Senate | Aug 5–Aug 13, 2026 | 1,200 rv | James Talarico 42.0% Ken Paxton 39.0% Other 3.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Suffolk University | Iowa Senate | Aug 20–Aug 23, 2026 | 500 lv | Ashley Hinson 45.4% Josh Turek 40.8% Other 4.0% | R+4.6 | Source |
| Impact Research dem sponsor | Nebraska Senate | Aug 9–Aug 13, 2026 | 600 lv | Dem 47.0% Pete Ricketts 47.0% | — | Source |
| Impact Research dem sponsor | South Carolina Senate | Aug 18–Aug 24, 2026 | 700 lv | Rep 41.0% Annie Andrews 41.0% Other 5.0% | Even | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | Massachusetts Senate | Aug 20–Aug 24, 2026 | 893 lv | Dem 38.0% John Deaton 25.0% Other 16.0% | D+13.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | Massachusetts Senate | Aug 20–Aug 24, 2026 | 906 lv | Ed Markey 49.0% John Deaton 30.0% Other 7.0% | D+19.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 20–Aug 24, 2026 | 1,846 lv | Rep 45.0% Chris Pappas 43.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 20–Aug 24, 2026 | 1,846 lv | Chris Pappas 45.0% Scott Brown 40.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | Rhode Island Senate | Aug 20–Aug 24, 2026 | 722 lv | Jack Reed 51.0% Raymond McKay 31.0% Ind 4.0% | D+20.0 | Source |
| Slingshot Strategies | Texas Senate | Aug 21–Aug 24, 2026 | 1,000 lv | James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 42.0% Other 1.0% Ind 0.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| Impact Research ind sponsor | South Dakota Senate | Aug 13–Aug 17, 2026 | 500 lv | Mike Rounds 44.0% Brian Bengs 44.0% | Even | Source |
| Data for Progress dem sponsor | Mississippi Senate | Aug 5–Aug 15, 2026 | 1,018 lv | Cindy Hyde-Smith 44.0% Scott Colom 38.0% Ty Pinkins 7.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Data for Progress dem sponsor | Mississippi Senate | Aug 5–Aug 15, 2026 | 1,018 lv | Cindy Hyde-Smith 47.0% Scott Colom 41.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| EPIC-MRA | Michigan Senate | Aug 22–Aug 28, 2026 | 600 lv | Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% Mike Rogers 43.0% | D+4.0 | Source |
| Wedgewood Polls | Iowa Senate | Aug 27–Aug 29, 2026 | 600 lv | Ashley Hinson 50.0% Josh Turek 48.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | Iowa Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 500 rv | Josh Turek 41.0% Ashley Hinson 36.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | Iowa Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 323 lv | Josh Turek 48.0% Ashley Hinson 41.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | Ohio Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 500 rv | Sherrod Brown 40.0% Jon Husted 33.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | Ohio Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 306 lv | Sherrod Brown 46.0% Jon Husted 41.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | Maine Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 499 rv | Troy Jackson 40.0% Susan Collins 40.0% | Even | Source |
| Abacus Data | Maine Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 327 lv | Troy Jackson 50.0% Susan Collins 42.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| Abacus Data | South Carolina Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 500 rv | Annie Andrews 34.0% Rep 34.0% | Even | Source |
| Abacus Data | South Carolina Senate | Aug 26–Aug 28, 2026 | 306 lv | Rep 51.0% Annie Andrews 38.0% | R+13.0 | Source |