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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 5, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 14 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Peak Insights rep sponsor Idaho Senate Jun 6–Jun 7, 2026 500 lv Jim Risch 55.0% Dem 15.0% Ind 5.0% Other 2.0% R+50.0 Source
Quantus Insights Maine Senate Jun 9–Jun 11, 2026 870 lv Dem 46.0% Susan Collins 45.0% D+1.0 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Jun 4–Jun 7, 2026 1,393 lv Mary Peltola 49.4% Rep 2.7% D+46.7 Source
Suffolk University Massachusetts Senate Jun 8–Jun 12, 2026 500 rv Ed Markey 55.0% John Deaton 29.8% D+25.2 Source
Suffolk University Massachusetts Senate Jun 8–Jun 12, 2026 500 rv Dem 53.8% John Deaton 26.2% D+27.6 Source
Wick Maine Senate Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 1,008 lv Dem 47.6% Susan Collins 45.4% D+2.2 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Jun 11–Jun 13, 2026 827 lv Mike Rogers 47.0% Dem 41.0% R+6.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Jun 11–Jun 13, 2026 827 lv Mike Rogers 45.0% Dem 41.0% R+4.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Jun 11–Jun 13, 2026 827 lv Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Change Research Florida Senate Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 1,273 rv Ashley Moody 46.0% Dem 42.0% R+4.0 Source
Change Research Florida Senate Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 1,015 lv Dem 46.0% Ashley Moody 46.0% Even Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor Ohio Senate Jun 2–Jun 4, 2026 600 lv Sherrod Brown 46.0% Jon Husted 42.0% Other 4.0% D+4.0 Source
Zenith Research dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 602 lv Abdul El-Sayed 45.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% D+3.0 Source
Zenith Research dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 602 lv Dem 44.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% D+2.0 Source
Zenith Research dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 11–Jun 14, 2026 602 lv Dem 43.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% D+1.0 Source
Public Opinion Strategies rep sponsor Montana Senate Jun 8–Jun 11, 2026 500 lv Kurt Alme 44.0% Alani Bankhead 25.0% Seth Bodnar 20.0% Other 4.0% R+19.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor Iowa Senate Jun 8–Jun 11, 2026 1,000 lv Josh Turek 47.0% Ashley Hinson 45.0% D+2.0 Source
SoCal Strategies rep sponsor Texas Senate Jun 21, 2026 800 lv Ken Paxton 48.5% James Talarico 47.1% R+1.5 Source
YouGov Texas Senate Jun 5–Jun 12, 2026 1,200 rv Ken Paxton 43.0% James Talarico 42.0% Other 3.0% R+1.0 Source
YouGov North Carolina Senate Jun 1–Jun 10, 2026 905 lv Roy Cooper 47.7% Michael Whatley 34.0% Other 2.8% D+13.7 Source
Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research Ohio Senate Jun 14–Jun 16, 2026 800 lv Sherrod Brown 48.0% Jon Husted 45.0% D+3.0 Source
Cygnal Political rep sponsor Iowa Senate Jun 16–Jun 19, 2026 600 lv Ashley Hinson 46.0% Josh Turek 44.2% R+1.8 Source
The New York Times/Siena University Maine Senate Jun 19–Jun 26, 2026 608 lv Dem 49.2% Susan Collins 47.0% D+2.2 Source
Wedgewood Polls Michigan Senate Jun 25–Jun 28, 2026 602 lv Abdul El-Sayed 49.0% Mike Rogers 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Wedgewood Polls Michigan Senate Jun 25–Jun 28, 2026 602 lv Mike Rogers 46.0% Dem 46.0% Even Source
Wedgewood Polls Michigan Senate Jun 25–Jun 28, 2026 602 lv Mike Rogers 48.0% Dem 41.0% R+7.0 Source
The New York Times/Siena University Texas Senate Jun 19–Jun 27, 2026 656 lv Ken Paxton 46.7% James Talarico 46.6% R+0.1 Source
GrayHouse Montana Senate Jun 23–Jun 24, 2026 500 lv Kurt Alme 41.0% Alani Bankhead 25.0% Seth Bodnar 17.0% Other 4.0% R+16.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jun 17–Jun 22, 2026 700 lv Rep 48.0% Annie Andrews 45.0% R+3.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Rhode Island Senate Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 627 lv Jack Reed 52.0% Raymond McKay 35.0% D+17.0 Source
A2 Insights Texas Senate Jun 23–Jun 28, 2026 618 lv James Talarico 48.4% Ken Paxton 46.1% D+2.3 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Maine Senate Jun 23–Jun 27, 2026 1,003 rv Susan Collins 50.0% Dem 47.0% R+3.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Massachusetts Senate Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 618 lv Ed Markey 50.0% John Deaton 34.0% D+16.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Massachusetts Senate Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 600 lv Dem 50.0% John Deaton 30.0% D+20.0 Source
The New York Times/Siena University Iowa Senate Jun 15–Jun 27, 2026 600 lv Ashley Hinson 48.5% Josh Turek 46.0% R+2.5 Source
The New York Times/Siena University Ohio Senate Jun 15–Jun 28, 2026 601 lv Jon Husted 49.8% Sherrod Brown 47.0% R+2.8 Source
The New York Times/Siena University North Carolina Senate Jun 15–Jun 27, 2026 601 lv Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 43.2% D+6.8 Source
The New York Times/Siena University Alaska Senate Jun 15–Jun 29, 2026 593 lv Dan Sullivan 47.5% Mary Peltola 45.1% R+2.4 Source
University of New Hampshire New Hampshire Senate Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 1,980 lv Chris Pappas 52.0% Scott Brown 38.0% D+14.0 Source
University of New Hampshire New Hampshire Senate Jun 18–Jun 23, 2026 2,157 lv Chris Pappas 47.0% Rep 44.0% D+3.0 Source
St. Anselm New Hampshire Senate Jun 24–Jun 25, 2026 1,614 rv Chris Pappas 48.0% Scott Brown 36.0% D+12.0 Source
St. Anselm New Hampshire Senate Jun 24–Jun 25, 2026 1,614 rv Chris Pappas 47.0% Rep 41.0% D+6.0 Source
Quantus Insights Michigan Senate Jun 29–Jun 30, 2026 947 lv Abdul El-Sayed 45.2% Mike Rogers 44.1% D+1.1 Source
Quantus Insights Michigan Senate Jun 29–Jun 30, 2026 947 lv Mike Rogers 45.3% Dem 44.4% R+0.9 Source
Quantus Insights Michigan Senate Jun 29–Jun 30, 2026 947 lv Dem 45.1% Mike Rogers 43.7% D+1.4 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Georgia Senate Jun 23–Jun 27, 2026 1,002 rv Jon Ossoff 56.0% Mike Collins 43.0% D+13.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Iowa Senate Jun 23–Jun 27, 2026 1,003 rv Josh Turek 50.0% Ashley Hinson 46.0% D+4.0 Source
Tavern Research Maine Senate Jul 3–Jul 6, 2026 1,074 lv Dem 52.0% Susan Collins 48.0% D+4.0 Source
Wedgewood Polls Maine Senate Jul 4–Jul 6, 2026 405 lv Susan Collins 50.0% Dem 46.0% R+4.0 Source
Wedgewood Polls Maine Senate Jul 4–Jul 6, 2026 405 lv Troy Jackson 48.0% Susan Collins 43.0% D+5.0 Source
Wedgewood Polls Maine Senate Jul 4–Jul 6, 2026 405 lv Dem 47.0% Susan Collins 47.0% Even Source
Wick Georgia Senate Jun 27–Jun 30, 2026 1,175 lv Jon Ossoff 46.7% Mike Collins 42.9% D+3.8 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 7, 2026 785 rv Troy Jackson 49.0% Susan Collins 44.0% D+5.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 7, 2026 785 rv Susan Collins 47.0% Dem 47.0% Even Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 7, 2026 785 rv Dem 45.0% Susan Collins 45.0% Even Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 7, 2026 785 rv Susan Collins 47.0% Dem 42.0% R+5.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 7, 2026 785 rv Susan Collins 47.0% Dem 38.0% R+9.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 7, 2026 785 rv Susan Collins 48.0% Dem 37.0% R+11.0 Source
Peak Insights rep sponsor New Hampshire Senate Jun 24–Jun 27, 2026 500 lv Chris Pappas 43.0% Rep 42.0% D+1.0 Source
Data for Progress dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 15–Jun 22, 2026 709 lv Abdul El-Sayed 47.0% Mike Rogers 46.0% D+1.0 Source
Data for Progress dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 15–Jun 22, 2026 709 lv Mike Rogers 46.0% Dem 45.0% R+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling North Carolina Senate Jul 10–Jul 11, 2026 759 rv Roy Cooper 48.0% Michael Whatley 44.0% D+4.0 Source
University of North Florida Florida Senate Jul 8–Jul 17, 2026 848 lv Ashley Moody 49.9% Dem 40.2% R+9.7 Source
University of North Florida Florida Senate Jul 8–Jul 17, 2026 848 lv Ashley Moody 50.0% Dem 41.6% R+8.4 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor Montana Senate Jun 18–Jun 24, 2026 800 lv Kurt Alme 47.0% Seth Bodnar 25.0% Alani Bankhead 22.0% R+25.0 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor Montana Senate Jun 18–Jun 24, 2026 800 lv Kurt Alme 47.0% Seth Bodnar 45.0% — Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor Montana Senate Jun 18–Jun 24, 2026 800 lv Kurt Alme 49.0% Alani Bankhead 43.0% R+6.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Maine Senate Jul 15–Jul 20, 2026 1,178 lv Troy Jackson 49.0% Susan Collins 46.0% D+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Annie Andrews 41.0% Rep 38.0% D+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Annie Andrews 42.0% Rep 39.0% D+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Annie Andrews 41.0% Rep 40.0% D+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Annie Andrews 42.0% Rep 39.0% D+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Rep 43.0% Annie Andrews 42.0% R+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Annie Andrews 42.0% Rep 41.0% D+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Rep 44.0% Annie Andrews 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026 577 rv Annie Andrews 42.0% Rep 36.0% D+6.0 Source
Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research Georgia Senate Jul 13–Jul 16, 2026 1,060 lv Jon Ossoff 52.0% Mike Collins 43.0% D+9.0 Source
GQR ind sponsor Montana Senate Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026 500 lv Kurt Alme 41.0% Seth Bodnar 27.0% Alani Bankhead 22.0% Other 6.0% R+19.0 Source
GQR ind sponsor Montana Senate Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026 500 lv Kurt Alme 44.0% Alani Bankhead 40.0% Other 13.0% R+4.0 Source
GQR ind sponsor Montana Senate Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026 500 lv Kurt Alme 52.0% Alani Bankhead 44.0% R+8.0 Source
GQR ind sponsor Montana Senate Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026 500 lv Seth Bodnar 44.0% Kurt Alme 40.0% Other 11.0% — Source
GQR ind sponsor Montana Senate Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026 500 lv Seth Bodnar 50.0% Kurt Alme 44.0% — Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Jul 22–Jul 24, 2026 600 lv Dem 45.5% Mike Rogers 44.7% D+0.8 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Jul 22–Jul 24, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 49.0% Abdul El-Sayed 38.7% R+10.3 Source
The Bullfinch Group Montana Senate Jul 13–Jul 16, 2026 793 lv Kurt Alme 36.0% Seth Bodnar 24.0% Alani Bankhead 22.0% R+14.0 Source
Slingshot Strategies Texas Senate Jul 15–Jul 17, 2026 1,048 lv James Talarico 45.0% Ken Paxton 40.0% Other 1.0% D+5.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research North Carolina Senate Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026 1,005 rv Roy Cooper 53.0% Michael Whatley 44.0% D+9.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Texas Senate Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026 1,006 rv James Talarico 51.0% Ken Paxton 48.0% D+3.0 Source
SoCal Strategies rep sponsor Michigan Senate Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 640 lv Mike Rogers 42.0% Abdul El-Sayed 41.0% R+1.0 Source
SoCal Strategies rep sponsor Michigan Senate Jul 28–Jul 30, 2026 640 lv Dem 44.0% Mike Rogers 40.0% D+4.0 Source
Wedgewood Polls Texas Senate Jul 30–Jul 31, 2026 800 lv James Talarico 48.0% Ken Paxton 46.0% D+2.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Jul 28–Jul 29, 2026 672 lv Mike Rogers 46.0% Dem 43.0% R+3.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Jul 28–Jul 29, 2026 672 lv Abdul El-Sayed 45.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% Even Source
EPIC-MRA Michigan Senate Jul 24–Jul 31, 2026 600 lv Dem 44.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% D+2.0 Source
EPIC-MRA Michigan Senate Jul 24–Jul 31, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 46.0% Abdul El-Sayed 43.0% R+3.0 Source
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center Texas Senate Jul 27–Jul 30, 2026 1,200 lv James Talarico 47.0% Ken Paxton 45.0% Other 2.0% D+2.0 Source
yes. every kid. foundation. Alabama Senate Jul 8–Jul 11, 2026 601 lv Barry Moore 47.0% Everett Wess 32.0% R+15.0 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor Maine Senate Jul 27–Aug 1, 2026 802 lv Troy Jackson 49.0% Susan Collins 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Emerson College Iowa Senate Aug 2–Aug 4, 2026 712 lv Ashley Hinson 47.5% Josh Turek 45.0% R+2.5 Source
Public Opinion Strategies rep sponsor South Dakota Senate Jul 6–Jul 9, 2026 500 lv Mike Rounds 56.0% Brian Bengs 33.0% R+23.0 Source