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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 5, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 13 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Emerson College Maine Senate Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026 1,075 lv Dem 46.2% Susan Collins 42.5% D+3.7 Source
Harper Polling North Carolina Senate Mar 22–Mar 23, 2026 600 lv Roy Cooper 48.9% Michael Whatley 41.1% D+7.8 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Mar 19–Mar 22, 2026 1,340 rv Rep 5.2% Dem 2.4% R+2.8 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Mar 19–Mar 22, 2026 1,340 rv Mary Peltola 52.4% Dan Sullivan 47.6% D+4.8 Source
YouGov North Carolina Senate Mar 9–Mar 18, 2026 872 lv Roy Cooper 48.0% Michael Whatley 34.0% Other 4.0% D+14.0 Source
Emerson College Florida Senate Mar 29–Mar 31, 2026 1,125 lv Ashley Moody 45.3% Dem 37.6% R+7.7 Source
Emerson College Florida Senate Mar 29–Mar 31, 2026 1,125 lv Ashley Moody 45.9% Dem 38.0% R+7.9 Source
Emerson College Florida Senate Mar 29–Mar 31, 2026 1,125 lv Ashley Moody 47.3% Dem 36.3% R+11.0 Source
Quantus Insights North Carolina Senate Mar 31–Apr 1, 2026 987 lv Roy Cooper 48.6% Michael Whatley 43.8% D+4.8 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Minnesota Senate Jul 8–Jul 11, 2025 604 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Minnesota Senate Jul 8–Jul 11, 2025 604 lv Dem 48.0% Rep 45.0% D+3.0 Source
Maine People's Resource Center Maine Senate Mar 20–Mar 31, 2026 1,167 lv Dem 48.3% Susan Collins 39.3% D+9.0 Source
Maine People's Resource Center Maine Senate Mar 20–Mar 31, 2026 1,167 lv Susan Collins 45.0% Dem 41.9% R+3.1 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Florida Senate Apr 2–Apr 3, 2026 574 rv Ashley Moody 43.0% Dem 40.0% R+3.0 Source
GBAO dem sponsor Iowa Senate Mar 10–Mar 16, 2026 1,200 lv Ashley Hinson 47.0% Josh Turek 43.0% R+4.0 Source
GBAO dem sponsor Iowa Senate Mar 10–Mar 16, 2026 1,200 lv Ashley Hinson 47.0% Dem 44.0% R+3.0 Source
MDW Communications Florida Senate Mar 27–Apr 3, 2026 1,834 lv Ashley Moody 43.4% Dem 42.2% R+1.2 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate Jul 30–Jul 31, 2025 552 rv Mike Rounds 41.0% Brian Bengs 28.0% R+13.0 Source
High Point University North Carolina Senate Mar 26–Apr 6, 2026 703 lv Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 42.0% D+8.0 Source
High Point University North Carolina Senate Mar 26–Apr 6, 2026 800 rv Roy Cooper 49.0% Michael Whatley 39.0% D+10.0 Source
Tavern Research Kansas Senate Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026 1,013 lv Ind 51.0% Roger Marshall 49.0% — Source
Tavern Research Kansas Senate Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026 1,013 lv Roger Marshall 54.0% Adam Hamilton 46.0% R+8.0 Source
Tavern Research Kansas Senate Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026 1,013 lv Roger Marshall 55.0% Dem 45.0% R+10.0 Source
Tavern Research Kansas Senate Jan 26–Jan 28, 2026 1,013 lv Roger Marshall 54.0% Dem 46.0% R+8.0 Source
Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov Ohio Senate Apr 7–Apr 14, 2026 1,000 rv Jon Husted 50.0% Sherrod Brown 47.0% R+3.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Mississippi Senate Apr 8–Apr 12, 2026 500 lv Cindy Hyde-Smith 42.0% Scott Colom 39.0% Ty Pinkins 6.0% R+3.0 Source
Echelon Insights Georgia Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 407 lv Jon Ossoff 52.0% Rep 43.0% D+9.0 Source
Echelon Insights Georgia Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 407 lv Jon Ossoff 51.0% Mike Collins 44.0% D+7.0 Source
Echelon Insights Florida Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 406 lv Ashley Moody 50.0% Dem 43.0% R+7.0 Source
Echelon Insights Ohio Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 413 lv Jon Husted 51.0% Sherrod Brown 45.0% R+6.0 Source
Echelon Insights Iowa Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 377 lv Dem 46.0% Ashley Hinson 44.0% D+2.0 Source
Echelon Insights Iowa Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 377 lv Josh Turek 46.0% Ashley Hinson 45.0% D+1.0 Source
Echelon Insights Maine Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 378 lv Dem 51.0% Susan Collins 45.0% D+6.0 Source
Echelon Insights Maine Senate Apr 3–Apr 9, 2026 378 lv Dem 48.0% Susan Collins 46.0% D+2.0 Source
University of New Hampshire New Hampshire Senate Apr 17–Apr 21, 2026 1,115 lv Chris Pappas 52.0% Scott Brown 38.0% D+14.0 Source
University of New Hampshire New Hampshire Senate Apr 17–Apr 21, 2026 1,130 lv Chris Pappas 49.0% Rep 42.0% D+7.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Massachusetts Senate Apr 16–Apr 20, 2026 603 lv Ed Markey 55.0% John Deaton 32.0% D+23.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Massachusetts Senate Apr 16–Apr 20, 2026 600 lv Dem 56.0% John Deaton 25.0% D+31.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Rhode Island Senate Apr 16–Apr 20, 2026 556 lv Jack Reed 52.0% Raymond McKay 34.0% D+18.0 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Apr 16–Apr 19, 2026 1,946 lv Mary Peltola 49.1% Rep 5.2% Ind 3.2% D+43.9 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Apr 16–Apr 19, 2026 1,946 lv Mary Peltola 50.2% Rep 6.2% D+44.0 Source
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Florida Senate Mar 25–Apr 13, 2026 434 lv Ashley Moody 49.0% Dem 42.0% R+7.0 Source
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Florida Senate Mar 25–Apr 13, 2026 414 lv Ashley Moody 51.0% Dem 38.0% R+13.0 Source
Slingshot Strategies Texas Senate Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 1,018 lv James Talarico 44.0% Rep 41.0% D+3.0 Source
Slingshot Strategies Texas Senate Apr 17–Apr 20, 2026 1,018 lv James Talarico 46.0% Ken Paxton 41.0% D+5.0 Source
YouGov Texas Senate Apr 10–Apr 20, 2026 1,200 rv James Talarico 40.0% Rep 33.0% D+7.0 Source
YouGov Texas Senate Apr 10–Apr 20, 2026 1,200 rv James Talarico 42.0% Ken Paxton 34.0% D+8.0 Source
Opinion Diagnostics North Carolina Senate Apr 21–Apr 24, 2026 830 rv Roy Cooper 50.4% Michael Whatley 41.4% D+9.0 Source
GQR dem sponsor Kansas Senate Apr 23–Apr 27, 2026 500 lv Roger Marshall 49.0% Dem 45.0% R+4.0 Source
Tavern Research ind sponsor Nebraska Senate May 8–May 11, 2026 1,165 lv Dem 47.0% Pete Ricketts 42.0% — Source
Tavern Research ind sponsor Nebraska Senate May 8–May 11, 2026 1,165 lv Pete Ricketts 48.0% Dem 39.0% — Source
Tavern Research ind sponsor Nebraska Senate May 8–May 11, 2026 1,165 lv Pete Ricketts 50.0% Dem 34.0% — Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate May 1–May 7, 2026 607 lv Mike Rogers 42.0% Abdul El-Sayed 41.0% R+1.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate May 1–May 7, 2026 606 lv Mike Rogers 43.0% Dem 41.0% R+2.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate May 1–May 7, 2026 606 lv Mike Rogers 42.0% Dem 39.0% R+3.0 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Apr 28–May 1, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 44.7% Abdul El-Sayed 39.8% R+4.9 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Apr 28–May 1, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 42.8% Dem 40.7% R+2.1 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Apr 28–May 1, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 43.8% Dem 41.5% R+2.3 Source
Harper Polling North Carolina Senate May 10–May 11, 2026 600 lv Roy Cooper 49.8% Michael Whatley 38.7% D+11.1 Source
Opinion Diagnostics North Carolina Senate Apr 21–Apr 24, 2026 830 rv Roy Cooper 50.4% Michael Whatley 41.4% D+9.0 Source
Cherry Communications rep sponsor Florida Senate May 1–May 9, 2026 604 lv Ashley Moody 48.0% Dem 40.0% R+8.0 Source
Change Research dem sponsor North Carolina Senate May 4–May 8, 2026 957 lv Roy Cooper 49.3% Michael Whatley 42.4% D+6.9 Source
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center Texas Senate Apr 22–May 6, 2026 1,223 lv Rep 45.0% James Talarico 44.0% Other 3.0% R+1.0 Source
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center Texas Senate Apr 22–May 6, 2026 1,223 lv James Talarico 45.0% Ken Paxton 45.0% Other 2.0% Even Source
Change Research Florida Senate May 13–May 16, 2026 1,593 lv Dem 47.0% Ashley Moody 45.0% D+2.0 Source
Change Research Florida Senate May 13–May 16, 2026 2,070 rv Ashley Moody 46.0% Dem 41.0% R+5.0 Source
Tavern Research ind sponsor Montana Senate May 13–May 18, 2026 607 lv Seth Bodnar 50.0% Kurt Alme 50.0% — Source
Tavern Research ind sponsor Montana Senate May 13–May 18, 2026 607 lv Kurt Alme 46.0% Seth Bodnar 26.0% Dem 24.0% Other 3.0% R+22.0 Source
Tavern Research ind sponsor Montana Senate May 13–May 18, 2026 607 lv Kurt Alme 58.0% Dem 42.0% R+16.0 Source
Pan Atlantic SMS Group dem sponsor Maine Senate May 8–May 18, 2026 827 lv Dem 48.0% Susan Collins 41.0% D+7.0 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate May 14–May 17, 2026 1,401 lv Mary Peltola 48.4% Rep 2.7% D+45.7 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Texas Senate May 22–May 23, 2026 643 rv James Talarico 45.0% Ken Paxton 38.0% Other 3.0% D+7.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Maine Senate May 21–May 25, 2026 1,250 lv Dem 51.0% Susan Collins 42.0% D+9.0 Source
Global Strategy Group dem sponsor Florida Senate May 18–May 21, 2026 1,000 lv Ashley Moody 46.0% Dem 43.0% R+3.0 Source
Slingshot Strategies Texas Senate May 27–May 28, 2026 1,670 lv James Talarico 47.0% Ken Paxton 44.0% Other 1.0% D+3.0 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor Michigan Senate May 20–May 23, 2026 1,456 rv Dem 45.0% Mike Rogers 38.4% D+6.6 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor Michigan Senate May 20–May 23, 2026 1,456 rv Abdul El-Sayed 39.8% Mike Rogers 39.7% D+0.1 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor Michigan Senate May 20–May 23, 2026 1,456 rv Dem 42.3% Mike Rogers 38.6% D+3.7 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor Michigan Senate May 20–May 23, 2026 1,163 lv Dem 47.8% Mike Rogers 41.0% D+6.9 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor Michigan Senate May 20–May 23, 2026 1,163 lv Abdul El-Sayed 43.4% Mike Rogers 42.1% D+1.3 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor Michigan Senate May 20–May 23, 2026 1,163 lv Dem 45.2% Mike Rogers 41.6% D+3.6 Source
The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor Idaho Senate May 29–Jun 1, 2026 774 rv Jim Risch 41.0% Todd Achilles 18.0% Dem 15.0% R+23.0 Source
The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor Idaho Senate May 29–Jun 1, 2026 774 rv Jim Risch 50.0% Dem 33.0% — Source
The Bullfinch Group ind sponsor Idaho Senate May 29–Jun 1, 2026 774 rv Jim Risch 40.0% Todd Achilles 36.0% R+4.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Maine Senate Jun 2–Jun 3, 2026 670 rv Dem 49.0% Susan Collins 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Ohio Senate May 28–Jun 1, 2026 1,015 rv Sherrod Brown 53.0% Jon Husted 45.0% D+8.0 Source
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov Maine Senate May 13–May 26, 2026 650 lv Dem 48.0% Susan Collins 43.0% D+5.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Minnesota Senate May 26–May 28, 2026 808 lv Dem 51.0% Rep 44.0% D+7.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Minnesota Senate May 26–May 28, 2026 808 lv Dem 51.0% Rep 44.0% D+7.0 Source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates rep sponsor Maine Senate Jun 1–Jun 3, 2026 800 lv Dem 46.0% Susan Collins 46.0% Even Source
Quantus Insights Texas Senate Jun 3–Jun 4, 2026 800 lv Ken Paxton 45.0% James Talarico 43.0% R+2.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Iowa Senate Jun 3–Jun 4, 2026 557 rv Ashley Hinson 46.0% Josh Turek 46.0% Even Source
Change Research ind sponsor Montana Senate Mar 17–Mar 20, 2026 616 lv Kurt Alme 36.8% Seth Bodnar 35.1% — Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate May 29–May 30, 2026 726 rv Mike Rounds 44.0% Brian Bengs 40.0% R+4.0 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate May 29–May 30, 2026 726 rv Brian Bengs 56.0% Dem 31.0% — Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate May 29–May 30, 2026 726 rv Mike Rounds 43.0% Brian Bengs 23.0% Dem 18.0% R+20.0 Source
Tavern Research Maine Senate Jun 5–Jun 8, 2026 1,642 lv Dem 51.0% Susan Collins 49.0% D+2.0 Source
Tavern Research Maine Senate Jun 5–Jun 8, 2026 1,642 lv Dem 52.0% Susan Collins 48.0% D+4.0 Source
Siena University Texas Senate Jun 1–Jun 4, 2026 807 lv James Talarico 46.0% Ken Paxton 46.0% Even Source
Tulchin Research dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 2–Jun 4, 2026 500 lv Abdul El-Sayed 46.0% Mike Rogers 41.0% D+5.0 Source