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Polls

Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.

as of Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM EDT

Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.

Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.

1,469 polls in the corpus · page 12 of 15

Pollster Race Fielded Sample Results Margin Source
Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls
Suffolk University Massachusetts Senate Nov 19–Nov 23, 2025 500 rv Dem 52.0% John Deaton 29.0% D+23.0 Source
Change Research dem sponsor Texas Senate Nov 21–Nov 26, 2025 1,189 rv Rep 49.0% Dem 41.0% R+8.0 Source
Change Research dem sponsor Texas Senate Nov 21–Nov 26, 2025 1,189 rv Ken Paxton 50.0% Dem 42.0% R+8.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Nov 18–Nov 21, 2025 616 lv Mike Rogers 41.0% Abdul El-Sayed 38.0% R+3.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Nov 18–Nov 21, 2025 616 lv Mike Rogers 44.0% Dem 38.0% R+6.0 Source
Mitchell Research & Communications Michigan Senate Nov 18–Nov 21, 2025 616 lv Mike Rogers 42.0% Dem 40.0% R+2.0 Source
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Maine Senate Nov 29–Dec 7, 2025 820 lv Susan Collins 43.0% Dem 43.0% Even Source
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Maine Senate Nov 29–Dec 7, 2025 820 lv Dem 43.0% Susan Collins 42.0% D+1.0 Source
Emerson College Ohio Senate Dec 6–Dec 8, 2025 850 rv Jon Husted 48.8% Sherrod Brown 46.3% R+2.5 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Nov 21–Nov 22, 2025 704 rv Rep 42.0% Annie Andrews 36.0% R+6.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Minnesota Senate Jul 8–Jul 11, 2025 604 lv Dem 49.0% Rep 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Minnesota Senate Jul 8–Jul 11, 2025 604 lv Dem 48.0% Rep 45.0% D+3.0 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate Nov 13–Nov 14, 2025 814 rv Mike Rounds 52.0% Dem 30.0% — Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate Nov 13–Nov 14, 2025 814 rv Mike Rounds 44.0% Brian Bengs 31.0% R+13.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Kentucky Senate Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025 650 rv Andy Barr 49.0% Charles Booker 38.0% R+11.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Kentucky Senate Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025 650 rv Rep 46.0% Charles Booker 39.0% R+7.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Kentucky Senate Dec 18–Dec 19, 2025 650 rv Rep 41.0% Charles Booker 40.0% R+1.0 Source
Praecones Analytica New Hampshire Senate Dec 26–Dec 28, 2025 603 rv Chris Pappas 45.8% Scott Brown 28.0% D+17.8 Source
Praecones Analytica New Hampshire Senate Dec 26–Dec 28, 2025 603 rv Chris Pappas 42.3% Rep 35.6% D+6.7 Source
Guidant Polling and Strategy rep sponsor New Hampshire Senate Dec 9–Dec 11, 2025 600 lv Chris Pappas 47.0% Rep 44.0% D+3.0 Source
Guidant Polling and Strategy rep sponsor New Hampshire Senate Dec 9–Dec 11, 2025 600 lv Chris Pappas 49.0% Scott Brown 38.0% D+11.0 Source
Workbench Strategy dem sponsor Maine Senate Dec 11–Dec 16, 2025 900 lv Dem 50.4% Susan Collins 49.6% D+0.8 Source
Workbench Strategy dem sponsor Maine Senate Dec 11–Dec 16, 2025 900 lv Susan Collins 51.4% Dem 48.6% R+2.8 Source
Alaska Survey Research Alaska Senate Jan 8–Jan 11, 2026 1,681 lv Mary Peltola 48.0% Dan Sullivan 46.4% D+1.6 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Jan 2–Jan 6, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 44.1% Dem 43.7% R+0.4 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Jan 2–Jan 6, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 45.7% Dem 42.4% R+3.3 Source
Glengariff Group, Inc. Michigan Senate Jan 2–Jan 6, 2026 600 lv Mike Rogers 48.0% Abdul El-Sayed 41.6% R+6.4 Source
Emerson College Texas Senate Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026 1,165 rv Rep 48.2% Dem 42.5% R+5.7 Source
Emerson College Texas Senate Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026 1,165 rv Dem 45.8% Ken Paxton 45.5% D+0.3 Source
Emerson College Texas Senate Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026 1,165 rv Rep 48.0% Dem 42.6% R+5.4 Source
Emerson College Texas Senate Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026 1,165 rv Ken Paxton 45.6% James Talarico 45.6% Even Source
Emerson College Texas Senate Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026 1,165 rv Rep 46.9% James Talarico 44.1% R+2.8 Source
Emerson College Texas Senate Jan 10–Jan 12, 2026 1,165 rv Rep 47.1% James Talarico 43.6% R+3.5 Source
TIPP Insights rep sponsor North Carolina Senate Jan 12–Jan 15, 2026 1,512 rv Roy Cooper 48.4% Michael Whatley 24.2% D+24.2 Source
Change Research dem sponsor North Carolina Senate Jan 5–Jan 7, 2026 1,105 lv Roy Cooper 47.0% Michael Whatley 42.0% D+5.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Alaska Senate Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026 611 rv Mary Peltola 49.0% Dan Sullivan 47.0% D+2.0 Source
University of New Hampshire New Hampshire Senate Jan 15–Jan 19, 2026 2,038 lv Chris Pappas 50.0% Rep 45.0% D+5.0 Source
University of New Hampshire New Hampshire Senate Jan 15–Jan 19, 2026 2,017 lv Chris Pappas 52.0% Scott Brown 42.0% D+10.0 Source
Emerson College Michigan Senate Jan 24–Jan 25, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 47.3% Mike Rogers 41.6% D+5.7 Source
Emerson College Michigan Senate Jan 24–Jan 25, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 45.7% Mike Rogers 42.6% D+3.1 Source
Emerson College Michigan Senate Jan 24–Jan 25, 2026 1,000 lv Mike Rogers 42.8% Abdul El-Sayed 42.5% R+0.3 Source
Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 12–Jun 16, 2025 700 lv Mike Rogers 48.0% Dem 44.0% R+4.0 Source
Normington, Petts & Associates dem sponsor Michigan Senate Jun 12–Jun 16, 2025 700 lv Dem 47.0% Mike Rogers 45.0% D+2.0 Source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates rep sponsor Maine Senate Jan 20–Jan 24, 2026 800 lv Susan Collins 45.0% Dem 44.0% R+1.0 Source
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates rep sponsor Maine Senate Jan 20–Jan 24, 2026 800 lv Susan Collins 45.0% Dem 44.0% R+1.0 Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Senate Jan 20–Jan 31, 2026 1,502 lv Ken Paxton 45.0% Dem 43.0% Other 4.0% R+2.0 Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Senate Jan 20–Jan 31, 2026 1,502 lv Ken Paxton 46.0% James Talarico 44.0% Other 3.0% R+2.0 Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Senate Jan 20–Jan 31, 2026 1,502 lv Rep 45.0% Dem 43.0% Other 5.0% R+2.0 Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Senate Jan 20–Jan 31, 2026 1,502 lv Rep 44.0% James Talarico 43.0% Other 5.0% R+1.0 Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Senate Jan 20–Jan 31, 2026 1,502 lv Rep 46.0% Dem 43.0% Other 3.0% R+3.0 Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Texas Senate Jan 20–Jan 31, 2026 1,502 lv Rep 46.0% James Talarico 42.0% Other 3.0% R+4.0 Source
Emerson College Minnesota Senate Feb 6–Feb 8, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 47.1% Rep 40.6% D+6.5 Source
Emerson College Minnesota Senate Feb 6–Feb 8, 2026 1,000 lv Dem 46.6% Rep 40.2% D+6.4 Source
yes. every kid. foundation. New Hampshire Senate Jan 28–Jan 29, 2026 563 lv Chris Pappas 45.0% Rep 41.0% D+4.0 Source
Hart Research Associates dem sponsor Texas Senate Feb 6–Feb 12, 2026 803 lv Dem 49.0% Ken Paxton 45.0% D+4.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Nebraska Senate Feb 2–Feb 5, 2026 600 lv Pete Ricketts 48.0% Dem 47.0% — Source
Cygnal Political rep sponsor Massachusetts Senate Jan 22–Jan 25, 2026 800 lv Ed Markey 54.0% John Deaton 30.0% D+24.0 Source
Change Research dem sponsor Nebraska Senate Mar 28–Apr 1, 2025 524 lv Pete Ricketts 46.0% Dem 45.0% — Source
Change Research Iowa Senate Jan 8–Jan 11, 2026 1,108 lv Ashley Hinson 44.0% Josh Turek 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Change Research Iowa Senate Jan 8–Jan 11, 2026 1,108 lv Ashley Hinson 44.0% Dem 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Change Research Iowa Senate Jan 8–Jan 11, 2026 1,108 lv Ashley Hinson 44.0% Dem 41.0% R+3.0 Source
Change Research dem sponsor North Carolina Senate Jan 31–Feb 4, 2026 1,069 rv Roy Cooper 50.0% Michael Whatley 40.0% D+10.0 Source
American Pulse Research & Polling Montana Senate Feb 14–Feb 18, 2026 607 lv Rep 51.7% Dem 25.1% Seth Bodnar 15.9% R+26.6 Source
American Pulse Research & Polling Montana Senate Feb 14–Feb 18, 2026 607 lv Rep 50.6% Seth Bodnar 41.6% — Source
American Pulse Research & Polling Montana Senate Feb 14–Feb 18, 2026 607 lv Rep 55.7% Ind 37.0% — Source
American Pulse Research & Polling Montana Senate Feb 14–Feb 18, 2026 607 lv Rep 53.9% Dem 40.0% R+13.9 Source
University of New Hampshire Massachusetts Senate Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 616 lv Ed Markey 56.0% John Deaton 27.0% D+29.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Massachusetts Senate Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 611 lv Dem 59.0% John Deaton 23.0% D+36.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Maine Senate Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 1,097 lv Dem 41.0% Susan Collins 40.0% D+1.0 Source
University of New Hampshire Maine Senate Feb 12–Feb 16, 2026 1,105 lv Dem 49.0% Susan Collins 38.0% D+11.0 Source
yes. every kid. foundation. Montana Senate Jan 23–Jan 26, 2026 500 rv Rep 43.0% Dem 19.0% Seth Bodnar 15.0% R+24.0 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate Feb 17–Feb 18, 2026 685 rv Mike Rounds 47.0% Brian Bengs 35.0% R+12.0 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor South Dakota Senate Feb 17–Feb 18, 2026 685 rv Mike Rounds 49.0% Dem 32.0% — Source
University of North Florida Florida Senate Feb 21–Mar 2, 2026 772 lv Ashley Moody 45.0% Dem 38.0% R+7.0 Source
University of North Florida Florida Senate Feb 21–Mar 2, 2026 768 lv Ashley Moody 46.0% Dem 38.0% R+8.0 Source
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Maine Senate Feb 13–Mar 2, 2026 810 lv Susan Collins 44.0% Dem 44.0% Even Source
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Maine Senate Feb 13–Mar 2, 2026 810 lv Dem 44.0% Susan Collins 40.0% D+4.0 Source
Emerson College Georgia Senate Feb 28–Mar 2, 2026 1,000 lv Jon Ossoff 47.7% Mike Collins 43.3% D+4.4 Source
Emerson College Georgia Senate Feb 28–Mar 2, 2026 1,000 lv Jon Ossoff 48.9% Rep 41.4% D+7.5 Source
Emerson College Georgia Senate Feb 28–Mar 2, 2026 1,000 lv Jon Ossoff 47.1% Rep 43.7% D+3.4 Source
GrayHouse rep sponsor Arkansas Senate Feb 7–Feb 9, 2026 550 lv Tom Cotton 58.0% Hallie Shoffner 36.0% R+22.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Texas Senate Mar 4–Mar 5, 2026 576 rv James Talarico 44.0% Rep 43.0% D+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling dem sponsor Texas Senate Mar 4–Mar 5, 2026 576 rv James Talarico 47.0% Ken Paxton 45.0% D+2.0 Source
Quantus Insights Maine Senate Mar 3–Mar 5, 2026 800 lv Susan Collins 44.6% Dem 43.0% R+1.6 Source
Quantus Insights Maine Senate Mar 3–Mar 5, 2026 800 lv Dem 48.6% Susan Collins 41.8% D+6.8 Source
OnMessage Inc. Maine Senate Mar 3–Mar 8, 2026 600 lv Dem 42.0% Susan Collins 42.0% Even Source
OnMessage Inc. Maine Senate Mar 3–Mar 8, 2026 600 lv Dem 44.0% Susan Collins 42.0% D+2.0 Source
OnMessage Inc. Ohio Senate Mar 3–Mar 8, 2026 600 lv Sherrod Brown 47.0% Jon Husted 45.0% D+2.0 Source
EMC Research dem sponsor Ohio Senate Feb 10–Feb 22, 2026 1,343 lv Sherrod Brown 51.0% Jon Husted 47.0% D+4.0 Source
Quantus Insights Ohio Senate Mar 13–Mar 14, 2026 784 lv Jon Husted 45.5% Sherrod Brown 44.4% R+1.1 Source
Public Policy Polling North Carolina Senate Mar 13–Mar 14, 2026 556 rv Roy Cooper 47.0% Michael Whatley 44.0% D+3.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor South Carolina Senate Feb 25–Mar 1, 2026 700 lv Rep 47.0% Annie Andrews 42.0% R+5.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Texas Senate Mar 12–Mar 17, 2026 900 lv James Talarico 43.0% Rep 41.0% Other 7.0% D+2.0 Source
Impact Research dem sponsor Texas Senate Mar 12–Mar 17, 2026 900 lv James Talarico 44.0% Ken Paxton 43.0% Other 5.0% D+1.0 Source
Public Policy Polling ind sponsor Idaho Senate Mar 16–Mar 17, 2026 639 rv Jim Risch 48.0% Todd Achilles 34.0% R+14.0 Source
St. Anselm New Hampshire Senate Mar 16–Mar 18, 2026 1,491 rv Chris Pappas 47.0% Scott Brown 38.0% D+9.0 Source
St. Anselm New Hampshire Senate Mar 16–Mar 18, 2026 1,491 rv Chris Pappas 46.0% Rep 43.0% D+3.0 Source
Emerson College New Hampshire Senate Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026 1,100 lv Chris Pappas 45.4% Rep 43.7% D+1.7 Source
Emerson College New Hampshire Senate Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026 1,100 lv Chris Pappas 47.8% Scott Brown 39.3% D+8.5 Source
Emerson College Maine Senate Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026 1,075 lv Dem 47.8% Susan Collins 40.6% D+7.2 Source