Polls
Every poll this model reads, newest arrival first.
as of Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM EDT
Ordered by when each poll reached us, not when it was taken. A poll fielded in May that arrives today sits at the top; the dates in the “Fielded” column are the ones the pollster was in the field. Race pages order the same polls the other way, by field date, because there the question is what the numbers say now.
Polls from partisan-aligned sponsors are listed and labelled, but are not in the published average — flip “Partisan internals” in the header to bring them in. How they are treated.
1,469 polls in the corpus · page 11 of 15
| Pollster | Race | Fielded | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrived August 31, 2026 · 1,446 polls | ||||||
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Michigan Senate | May 5–May 8, 2025 | 600 rv | Dem 45.2% Mike Rogers 43.8% | D+1.4 | Source |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Michigan Senate | May 5–May 8, 2025 | 600 rv | Rep 41.0% Abdul El-Sayed 40.5% | R+0.5 | Source |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Michigan Senate | May 5–May 8, 2025 | 600 rv | Dem 41.4% Rep 40.5% | D+0.9 | Source |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | Michigan Senate | May 5–May 8, 2025 | 600 rv | Dem 45.1% Rep 39.1% | D+6.0 | Source |
| University of Georgia | Georgia Senate | Apr 15–Apr 24, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 49.0% Jon Ossoff 45.7% | R+3.3 | Source |
| University of Georgia | Georgia Senate | Apr 15–Apr 24, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Jon Ossoff 54.2% Rep 37.3% | D+16.9 | Source |
| University of Georgia | Georgia Senate | Apr 15–Apr 24, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Jon Ossoff 50.9% Rep 38.2% | D+12.7 | Source |
| University of Georgia | Georgia Senate | Apr 15–Apr 24, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Jon Ossoff 48.4% Rep 38.8% | D+9.6 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Georgia Senate | May 15–May 17, 2025 | 800 rv | Rep 44.3% Jon Ossoff 44.1% | R+0.2 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Georgia Senate | May 15–May 17, 2025 | 800 rv | Jon Ossoff 46.0% Rep 42.1% | D+3.9 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Georgia Senate | May 15–May 17, 2025 | 800 rv | Jon Ossoff 46.3% Rep 42.8% | D+3.5 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Georgia Senate | May 15–May 17, 2025 | 800 rv | Jon Ossoff 45.7% Mike Collins 43.3% | D+2.4 | Source |
| Cygnal Political | Georgia Senate | May 15–May 17, 2025 | 800 rv | Jon Ossoff 44.7% Rep 42.1% | D+2.6 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Rep 48.0% Dem 41.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Rep 48.0% Dem 42.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Rep 49.0% Dem 43.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Rep 49.0% Dem 43.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Rep 48.0% Dem 44.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Ken Paxton 49.0% Dem 45.0% | R+4.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Rep 47.0% Dem 44.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Ken Paxton 47.0% Dem 44.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Texas Senate | May 9–May 19, 2025 | 1,200 rv | Ken Paxton 48.0% Dem 46.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Cygnal Political rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jun 16–Jun 18, 2025 | 610 lv | Jon Ossoff 49.8% Rep 40.0% | D+9.8 | Source |
| Emerson College | North Carolina Senate | Jul 28–Jul 30, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Roy Cooper 46.7% Michael Whatley 41.4% | D+5.3 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jul 28–Aug 1, 2025 | 2,956 rv | Jon Ossoff 43.5% Mike Collins 40.6% | D+2.9 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jul 28–Aug 1, 2025 | 2,956 rv | Jon Ossoff 43.5% Rep 40.3% | D+3.2 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jul 28–Aug 1, 2025 | 2,956 rv | Jon Ossoff 43.6% Rep 39.0% | D+4.7 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jul 28–Aug 1, 2025 | 2,395 lv | Jon Ossoff 44.9% Mike Collins 44.1% | D+0.8 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jul 28–Aug 1, 2025 | 2,395 lv | Jon Ossoff 45.1% Rep 43.4% | D+1.7 | Source |
| TIPP Insights rep sponsor | Georgia Senate | Jul 28–Aug 1, 2025 | 2,395 lv | Jon Ossoff 45.2% Rep 42.0% | D+3.2 | Source |
| Data for Progress | Alaska Senate | Jul 21–Jul 27, 2025 | 678 lv | Dan Sullivan 46.0% Mary Peltola 45.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Upswing Research dem sponsor | Maine Senate | Mar 21–Mar 25, 2025 | 600 lv | Susan Collins 43.0% Dem 42.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Harper Polling | North Carolina Senate | Aug 11–Aug 12, 2025 | 600 lv | Roy Cooper 47.3% Michael Whatley 39.1% | D+8.2 | Source |
| Emerson College | Texas Senate | Aug 11–Aug 12, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Rep 45.2% Dem 38.1% | R+7.1 | Source |
| Emerson College | Texas Senate | Aug 11–Aug 12, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Ken Paxton 45.9% Dem 40.6% | R+5.3 | Source |
| GBAO dem sponsor | Texas Senate | Aug 13–Aug 18, 2025 | 800 lv | Dem 49.0% Ken Paxton 47.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Emerson College | Ohio Senate | Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025 | 1,000 rv | Jon Husted 49.5% Sherrod Brown 43.7% | R+5.8 | Source |
| Victory Insights | North Carolina Senate | Jul 28–Jul 30, 2025 | 600 lv | Roy Cooper 44.4% Michael Whatley 43.5% | D+0.9 | Source |
| Alaska Survey Research | Alaska Senate | Jul 29–Aug 1, 2025 | 1,613 lv | Dan Sullivan 46.7% Mary Peltola 42.5% | R+4.2 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Iowa Senate | Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025 | 572 rv | Dem 45.0% Rep 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Iowa Senate | Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025 | 572 rv | Rep 44.0% Dem 42.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Iowa Senate | Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025 | 572 rv | Rep 44.0% Dem 43.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Iowa Senate | Aug 18–Aug 19, 2025 | 572 rv | Rep 44.0% Josh Turek 43.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| St. Anselm | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 26–Aug 27, 2025 | 1,776 rv | Chris Pappas 48.0% Scott Brown 37.0% | D+11.0 | Source |
| St. Anselm | New Hampshire Senate | Aug 26–Aug 27, 2025 | 1,776 rv | Chris Pappas 48.0% Rep 30.0% | D+18.0 | Source |
| Change Research dem sponsor | North Carolina Senate | Sep 2–Sep 8, 2025 | 855 lv | Roy Cooper 48.0% Michael Whatley 41.0% | D+7.0 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Georgia Senate | Sep 9–Sep 12, 2025 | 624 rv | Jon Ossoff 37.8% Mike Collins 37.7% | D+0.1 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Georgia Senate | Sep 9–Sep 12, 2025 | 624 rv | Jon Ossoff 40.2% Rep 37.1% | D+3.1 | Source |
| Quantus Insights | Georgia Senate | Sep 9–Sep 12, 2025 | 624 rv | Jon Ossoff 42.1% Rep 35.4% | D+6.7 | Source |
| co/efficient | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 10–Sep 12, 2025 | 904 lv | Chris Pappas 46.0% Rep 43.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| co/efficient | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 10–Sep 12, 2025 | 904 lv | Chris Pappas 50.0% Scott Brown 40.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| co/efficient | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 10–Sep 12, 2025 | 904 lv | Chris Pappas 49.0% Rep 37.0% | D+12.0 | Source |
| Public Policy Polling dem sponsor | Maine Senate | Sep 8–Sep 9, 2025 | 642 rv | Dem 44.0% Susan Collins 35.0% | D+9.0 | Source |
| Harper Polling | North Carolina Senate | Sep 14–Sep 15, 2025 | 600 lv | Roy Cooper 46.1% Michael Whatley 41.9% | D+4.2 | Source |
| 1892 Polling rep sponsor | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 2–Sep 4, 2025 | 500 lv | Chris Pappas 45.0% Rep 43.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 17–Sep 23, 2025 | 1,225 lv | Chris Pappas 49.0% Rep 43.0% | D+6.0 | Source |
| University of New Hampshire | New Hampshire Senate | Sep 17–Sep 23, 2025 | 1,213 lv | Chris Pappas 52.0% Scott Brown 37.0% | D+15.0 | Source |
| The Tyson Group | Florida Senate | Oct 1–Oct 3, 2025 | 800 lv | Ashley Moody 44.0% Dem 37.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 50.0% Dem 44.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 49.0% Dem 46.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 48.0% James Talarico 45.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 48.0% Dem 46.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 50.0% James Talarico 44.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 50.0% Dem 45.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 50.0% Dem 45.0% | R+5.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Rep 49.0% Dem 47.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Ken Paxton 49.0% James Talarico 46.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Ken Paxton 49.0% Dem 46.0% | R+3.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Ken Paxton 49.0% Dem 47.0% | R+2.0 | Source |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs | Texas Senate | Sep 19–Oct 1, 2025 | 1,183 lv | Ken Paxton 48.0% Dem 47.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Zenith Research | Maine Senate | Oct 7–Oct 10, 2025 | 501 lv | Susan Collins 38.0% Dem 38.0% | Even | Source |
| Zenith Research | Maine Senate | Oct 7–Oct 10, 2025 | 501 lv | Dem 42.0% Susan Collins 37.0% | D+5.0 | Source |
| co/efficient | New Hampshire Senate | Oct 9–Oct 13, 2025 | 1,034 lv | Chris Pappas 45.0% Rep 42.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| co/efficient | New Hampshire Senate | Oct 9–Oct 13, 2025 | 1,034 lv | Chris Pappas 49.0% Scott Brown 39.0% | D+10.0 | Source |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025 | 1,032 rv | Rep 43.0% Dem 37.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025 | 1,031 rv | Dem 41.0% Ken Paxton 38.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025 | 1,031 rv | Rep 41.0% James Talarico 35.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025 | 1,032 rv | Ken Paxton 38.0% James Talarico 37.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025 | 1,032 rv | James Talarico 37.0% Rep 36.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | Texas Senate | Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025 | 1,032 rv | Rep 38.0% Dem 37.0% | R+1.0 | Source |
| Alaska Survey Research | Alaska Senate | Oct 10–Oct 15, 2025 | 1,708 lv | Mary Peltola 47.7% Dan Sullivan 45.9% | D+1.8 | Source |
| University of North Florida dem sponsor | Florida Senate | Oct 15–Oct 25, 2025 | 728 lv | Ashley Moody 49.0% Dem 38.0% | R+11.0 | Source |
| Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov | Ohio Senate | Oct 2–Oct 14, 2025 | 800 rv | Sherrod Brown 49.0% Jon Husted 48.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Data for Progress | Alaska Senate | Oct 17–Oct 23, 2025 | 823 rv | Mary Peltola 46.0% Dan Sullivan 45.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Rosetta Stone | Michigan Senate | Oct 23–Oct 25, 2025 | 637 lv | Mike Rogers 45.0% Abdul El-Sayed 31.0% | R+14.0 | Source |
| Rosetta Stone | Michigan Senate | Oct 23–Oct 25, 2025 | 637 lv | Mike Rogers 46.0% Dem 39.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Rosetta Stone | Michigan Senate | Oct 23–Oct 25, 2025 | 637 lv | Mike Rogers 47.0% Dem 40.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Maine People's Resource Center | Maine Senate | Oct 26–Oct 29, 2025 | 783 rv | Dem 44.8% Susan Collins 40.9% | D+3.9 | Source |
| Maine People's Resource Center | Maine Senate | Oct 26–Oct 29, 2025 | 783 rv | Susan Collins 45.8% Dem 41.7% | R+4.1 | Source |
| Harper Polling | North Carolina Senate | Nov 9–Nov 10, 2025 | 600 lv | Roy Cooper 48.1% Rep 38.0% | D+10.1 | Source |
| Harper Polling | North Carolina Senate | Nov 9–Nov 10, 2025 | 600 lv | Roy Cooper 47.3% Michael Whatley 38.6% | D+8.7 | Source |
| EPIC-MRA | Michigan Senate | Nov 6–Nov 11, 2025 | 600 lv | Dem 44.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% | D+2.0 | Source |
| EPIC-MRA | Michigan Senate | Nov 6–Nov 11, 2025 | 600 lv | Dem 43.0% Mike Rogers 42.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners | Texas Senate | Nov 12–Nov 17, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 40.0% | R+7.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners | Texas Senate | Nov 12–Nov 17, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Rep 46.0% James Talarico 40.0% | R+6.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners | Texas Senate | Nov 12–Nov 17, 2025 | 1,000 lv | Dem 44.0% Ken Paxton 43.0% | D+1.0 | Source |
| Ragnar Research Partners | Texas Senate | Nov 12–Nov 17, 2025 | 1,000 lv | James Talarico 44.0% Ken Paxton 44.0% | Even | Source |
| St. Anselm | New Hampshire Senate | Nov 18–Nov 19, 2025 | 2,212 rv | Chris Pappas 44.0% Scott Brown 36.0% | D+8.0 | Source |
| St. Anselm | New Hampshire Senate | Nov 18–Nov 19, 2025 | 2,212 rv | Chris Pappas 44.0% Rep 41.0% | D+3.0 | Source |
| Suffolk University | Massachusetts Senate | Nov 19–Nov 23, 2025 | 500 rv | Ed Markey 54.0% John Deaton 31.0% | D+23.0 | Source |